Independiente Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#51.8:0.618:00Today1.0:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.97DAFX3.60BFR23.60BFRMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets41Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	3.45	3.71	9.1%
Betfair	1.85	3.60	3.60	9.6%
Dafabet	1.94	3.45	3.40	9.9%
1xBet	1.84	3.48	3.59	10.9%
Betano	1.95	3.35	3.30	11.4%
Bet365	1.85	3.50	3.40	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.48	3.50	12.3%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.50	13.2%
BetVictor	1.75	3.13	3.25	19.9%
Best of all books	1.95	3.60	3.71	6.0%
Average	1.87	3.39	3.47	11.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente Res.Defensa y Justicia Res.

Last 10#5Table position#91.89Points per game1.7813Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3663Defence rating3862Form rating3838H2H rating6274Goals model2657Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

Independiente Res.

6W 3D 1L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

20 Oct	A	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	2-1	W
13 Oct	H	Huracán Res.	3-0	W
7 Oct	A	Ferro 2	0-0	D
1 Oct	H	Boca Juniors Res.	2-1	W
24 Sep	A	Racing Club Res.	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Colón Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Atl. Rafaela 2	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Platense Res.	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Quilmes 2	2-1	W
19 Aug	H	Estudiantes La Plata Res	1-1	D

Defensa y Justicia Res.

3W 5D 2L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

20 Oct	H	Atl. Rafaela 2	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Platense Res.	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Quilmes 2	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Estudiantes La Plata Res	0-2	L
23 Sep	H	Tigre Res.	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	2-3	L
9 Sep	A	San Martín San Juan Res.	1-1	D
3 Sep	H	Independiente Riva. Res.	4-0	W
27 Aug	A	Deportivo Riestra Res.	3-3	D
20 Aug	H	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	1-1	D

Head to head

1Independiente Res. wins

2draws

2Defensa y Justicia Res. wins

5 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Independiente Res.

26 May 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Defensa y Justicia Res.1-1Independiente Res.
25 Sep 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Defensa y Justicia Res.5-2Independiente Res.
19 Apr 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.0-1Defensa y Justicia Res.
17 Feb 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Defensa y Justicia Res.0-2Independiente Res.
19 Jul 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Independiente Res.0-0Defensa y Justicia Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Independiente Res. sit 5th with 36 points from 19 games, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 9th with 32 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X26%3.39226%3.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.87 +1.1%X3.50 → 3.39 -3.1%23.40 → 3.44 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.83	1.96	5.7%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Betano	1.70	1.95	10.1%
BetVictor	1.61	1.73	19.9%
Best of all books	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Average	1.74	1.91	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
BetVictor	1.53	1.83	20.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.63	1.98	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente Res. 45%Draw 45%Defensa y Justicia Res. 10%

The statistical model rates Independiente Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Defensa y Justicia Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.39 | 3.44, which imply roughly 53.5% for a Independiente Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Independiente Res. are 5th (36 pts, 38-19 goals), Defensa y Justicia Res. 9th (32 pts, 38-24).

Over their last five matches, Independiente Res. averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Defensa y Justicia Res. averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	3.39	3.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.76	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.18	3.89

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.49	3.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.03	14.7	31.0
HT X	4.98	5.53	8.00
HT 2	22.0	15.5	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	11.9	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	7.68
1.5	1.20	3.32
2.5	1.74	1.91
3.5	2.72	1.31
4.5	4.55	1.10
5.5	12.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.27	3.22
2	1.34	2.69
2.25	1.54	2.16
2.75	1.93	1.69
3	2.18	1.53
3.25	2.60	1.41
3.75	3.48	1.22
4	4.70	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.81	1.31
-1	2.50	1.39
-0.75	2.05	1.60
-0.5	1.83	1.80
-0.25	1.59	2.07
0	1.37	2.61

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.04
-2	6.00	1.06
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.28	2.98
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.04	6.85
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.91	1.86

Next Reserve League matches

27 Oct	Platense Res. – Lanús Res.
27 Oct	Banfield Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.
27 Oct	Rosario Central Res. – Sarmiento Res.
27 Oct	Talleres Córdoba Res. – Aldosivi Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

22 Oct	Deportivo Riestra Res. 3-1 Central Córdoba SdE Res.
22 Oct	Atlético Tucumán Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
22 Oct	Godoy Cruz Res. 1-1 Instituto Res.
22 Oct	Huracán Res. 1-0 Boca Juniors Res.
22 Oct	Racing Club Res. 2-3 San Lorenzo Res.
22 Oct	Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-1 Barracas Central Res.