Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#310.8:1.01-1FTToday0.8:2.0#32

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07DAFX3.10DAF23.56PINMargin at best8.7%Books9Markets45Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	3.10	3.60	9.3%
Dafabet	2.00	3.10	3.60	10.0%
Betano	2.02	3.05	3.50	10.9%
1xBet	2.02	3.02	3.54	10.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.02	3.44	12.2%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.40	12.7%
William Hill	2.05	2.80	3.50	13.1%
BetVictor	1.91	2.75	3.20	20.0%
Best of all books	2.05	3.10	3.60	8.8%
Average	2.00	2.98	3.49	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sarmiento Res.Tigre Res.

Last 10#31Table position#320.89Points per game0.894Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3357Form rating4338H2H rating6252Goals model4852Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 22:00 UTC

Sarmiento Res.

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

15 Oct	A	San Lorenzo Res.	1-1	D
8 Oct	H	Vélez Sársfield Res.	0-1	L
1 Oct	A	River Plate Res.	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Atl. Rafaela 2	3-1	W
15 Sep	H	Racing Club Res.	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Instituto Res.	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-1	D
25 Aug	H	Aldosivi Res.	0-0	D
19 Aug	A	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	2-0	W
11 Aug	H	Unión Santa Fe Res.	0-0	D

Tigre Res.

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

14 Oct	H	Argentinos Juniors Res.	0-1	L
7 Oct	A	Aldosivi Res.	0-1	L
29 Sep	H	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	2-1	W
23 Sep	A	Defensa y Justicia Res.	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Unión Santa Fe Res.	1-5	L
10 Sep	H	Atlético Tucumán Res.	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Godoy Cruz Res.	2-2	D
27 Aug	H	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1-3	L
20 Aug	A	Barracas Central Res.	3-1	W
13 Aug	H	Talleres Córdoba Res.	0-1	L

Head to head

1Sarmiento Res. wins

3draws

2Tigre Res. wins

6 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 6: 1W 3D 2L for Sarmiento Res.

20 May 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Tigre Res.1-3Sarmiento Res.
22 Oct 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Tigre Res.1-1Sarmiento Res.
22 May 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Sarmiento Res.0-1Tigre Res.
16 Aug 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Tigre Res.1-0Sarmiento Res.
10 Apr 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	Sarmiento Res.1-1Tigre Res.
5 Oct 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	Tigre Res.1-1Sarmiento Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 20 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Reserve League table, Sarmiento Res. sit 31st with 16 points from 18 games, while Tigre Res. are 32nd with 16 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X30%2.98226%3.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 2.02 -1.5%X2.97 → 2.97 0.0%23.40 → 3.45 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.42	1.51	7.5%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Betano	2.25	1.53	9.8%
BetVictor	2.02	1.42	19.9%
Best of all books	2.42	1.53	6.7%
Average	2.30	1.50	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
William Hill	2.00	1.67	9.9%
BetVictor	1.83	1.53	20.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.69	6.8%
Average	1.99	1.64	11.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarmiento Res. 35%Draw 35%Tigre Res. 30%

The statistical model rated Sarmiento Res. at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Tigre Res. at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 2.98 | 3.49, which imply roughly 50% for a Sarmiento Res. win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Sarmiento Res. are 31st (16 pts, 16-26 goals), Tigre Res. 32nd (16 pts, 15-25).

Over their last five matches, Sarmiento Res. averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tigre Res. averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sarmiento Res. or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	2.98	3.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.65	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	1.91	4.28

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.19	3.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.35	15.5	41.5
HT X	4.90	4.30	7.53
HT 2	28.3	15.9	6.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	6.70	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.20
1.5	1.42	2.47
2.5	2.30	1.50
3.5	4.22	1.13
4.5	7.70	1.02
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.55
1.25	1.26	3.30
1.75	1.53	2.16
2	1.73	1.88
2.25	2.00	1.63
2.75	2.65	1.35
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	4.00	1.17
4	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.02	1.27
-0.75	2.30	1.47
-0.5	1.93	1.66
-0.25	1.71	1.93
0	1.42	2.44
+0.25	1.30	2.86

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.58	1.23
+0.5	1.23	3.16
+0.75	1.13	4.50
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.31	3.05
8.5	1.49	2.38
9	1.71	2.04
9.5	1.97	1.75
10	2.23	1.55
10.5	2.55	1.43

Next Reserve League matches

21 Oct	Belgrano Córdoba Res. – Estudiantes La Plata Res
21 Oct	Gimnasia La Plata Res. – Talleres Córdoba Res.
21 Oct	River Plate Res. – Vélez Sársfield Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

20 Oct	Newell's Old Boys Res. 2-1 Platense Res.
20 Oct	Aldosivi Res. 2-1 Banfield Res.
20 Oct	Argentinos Juniors Res. 1-2 Rosario Central Res.
15 Oct	Boca Juniors Res. 1-0 Ferro 2
15 Oct	Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1-2 Belgrano Córdoba Res.
15 Oct	Talleres Córdoba Res. 3-0 Unión Santa Fe Res.