River Plate Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.• Reserve League, Argentina

#41.4:1.422:00Tomorrow2.2:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40WHX3.25BFR23.00B365Margin at best5.8%Books8Markets41Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.26	3.15	2.90	10.5%
1xBet	2.33	3.06	2.84	10.8%
Betfair	2.20	3.25	2.88	10.9%
Bet365	2.15	3.20	3.00	11.1%
Betano	2.20	3.15	2.92	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.31	3.06	2.76	12.2%
William Hill	2.40	2.80	2.75	13.7%
BetVictor	2.15	2.80	2.63	20.2%
Best of all books	2.40	3.25	3.00	5.8%
Average	2.25	3.06	2.83	12.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

River Plate Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.

Last 10#4Table position#11.76Points per game2.356Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 50.239Attack rating6113Defence rating8832Form rating6850H2H rating5036Goals model6437Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

River Plate Res.

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

13 Oct	A	Instituto Res.	2-3	L
6 Oct	A	Racing Club Res.	2-2	D
1 Oct	H	Sarmiento Res.	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Boca Juniors Res.	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Argentinos Juniors Res.	0-0	D
8 Sep	H	Aldosivi Res.	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	Unión Santa Fe Res.	2-2	D
18 Aug	A	Atlético Tucumán Res.	4-1	W
11 Aug	H	Godoy Cruz Res.	0-0	D

Vélez Sársfield Res.

6W 4D 0L · goals 16:2 · per match 1.6 for, 0.2 against

15 Oct	H	Racing Club Res.	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Sarmiento Res.	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	Argentinos Juniors Res.	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Ferro 2	4-0	W
15 Sep	A	Aldosivi Res.	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Unión Santa Fe Res.	0-0	D
25 Aug	H	Atlético Tucumán Res.	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Godoy Cruz Res.	1-1	D
11 Aug	H	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2-0	W

Head to head

3River Plate Res. wins

1draws

5Vélez Sársfield Res. wins

9 meetings · goals 7:12 · last 9: 3W 1D 5L for River Plate Res.

21 May 2026Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.1-0River Plate Res.
29 Oct 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.2-1River Plate Res.
28 May 2025Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.1-0Vélez Sársfield Res.
17 Dec 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.1-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
1 Aug 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	Vélez Sársfield Res.0-1River Plate Res.
23 Feb 2024Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.2-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
30 Aug 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.0-1Vélez Sársfield Res.
27 May 2023Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.1-4Vélez Sársfield Res.
16 Jul 2022Reserve League	Reserve League	River Plate Res.0-2Vélez Sársfield Res.

Reserve League tableAperturaupdated 20 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Reserve League table, River Plate Res. sit 4th with 37 points from 21 games, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 1st with 47 points from 20.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	42:13	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	36:12	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	33:26	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	29:20	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	38:19	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	40:27	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	27:18	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	38:24	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	26:28	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	23:19	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	25:16	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	24:18	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	27:29	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	27:21	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	23:17	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	25:22	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	17:20	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	25:18	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	23:23	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	20:21	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	22:24	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	19:17	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	14:18	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	21:33	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	15:23	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	17:28	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	11:24	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	16:26	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	15:25	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	20:30	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	16:59	-43	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.25X29%3.06231%2.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
BetVictor	1.82	1.54	19.9%
Best of all books	2.15	1.78	2.7%
Average	2.00	1.66	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Average	1.76	1.84	11.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

River Plate Res. 10%Draw 45%Vélez Sársfield Res. 45%

The statistical model rates River Plate Res. at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vélez Sársfield Res. at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.06 | 2.84, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: River Plate Res. are 4th (37 pts, 29-20 goals), Vélez Sársfield Res. 1st (47 pts, 42-13).

Over their last five matches, River Plate Res. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Vélez Sársfield Res. averaged 2.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vélez Sársfield Res..

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.06	2.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.49	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.99	3.49

2nd half

1	X	2
2.68	2.31	3.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.65	14.9	31.5
HT X	5.40	4.78	6.68
HT 2	26.5	15.1	4.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	8.70	2.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.23
1.5	1.29	2.90
2.5	2.00	1.66
3.5	3.47	1.20
4.5	6.48	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.05
1.75	1.37	2.47
2	1.49	2.15
2.25	1.73	1.81
2.75	2.24	1.46
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.66	1.32
-0.5	2.02	1.42
-0.25	1.94	1.69
0	1.63	1.94
+0.25	1.44	2.28
+0.5	1.28	2.39

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-1.5	4.95	1.11
-1.25	4.45	1.14
-1	3.65	1.16
+0.75	1.23	3.42
+1	1.10	5.20
+1.5	1.06	6.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.81	1.92

Next Reserve League matches

21 Oct	Belgrano Córdoba Res. – Estudiantes La Plata Res
21 Oct	Gimnasia La Plata Res. – Talleres Córdoba Res.

All Reserve League fixtures and the table

Latest Reserve League results

20 Oct	Newell's Old Boys Res. 2-1 Platense Res.
20 Oct	Aldosivi Res. 2-1 Banfield Res.
20 Oct	Sarmiento Res. 1-1 Tigre Res.
20 Oct	Argentinos Juniors Res. 1-2 Rosario Central Res.
15 Oct	Boca Juniors Res. 1-0 Ferro 2
15 Oct	Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1-2 Belgrano Córdoba Res.