PenarolvsWanderers• Primera División - Apertura,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Penarol4th27 pts
Wanderers10th20 pts
Penarol4th27 pts
Wanderers10th20 ptsIn the Primera División - Apertura table, Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 games, while Wanderers are 10th with 20 points from 15 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Penarol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wanderers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.65 | 5.58, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Penarol win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División - Apertura table: Penarol are 4th (27 pts, 23-16 goals), Wanderers 10th (20 pts, 16-21).
Over their last five matches, Penarol averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Wanderers averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw.
Penarol vs Wanderers — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 |  Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 |  Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 |  Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 13 |  Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 14 |  Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.57
X
3.65
2
5.58
Double chance
1X
1.12
X2
2.26
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
2.12
No
1.63
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.36
Under 1.5
2.91
Over 2.5
2.13
Under 2.5
1.66
Over 3.5
3.90
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.10
Over 4.5
7.88
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
17.21
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
40.33
Over 1.75
1.46
Under 1.75
2.52
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.22
Over 2.25
1.87
Under 2.25
1.83
Over 2.75
2.48
Under 2.75
1.48
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.90
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.10
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
3.91
Over 3
2.95
Under 3
1.31
Over 3.25
3.29
Under 3.25
1.26
Over 3.75
4.91
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
6.57
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.93
Under 4.25
1.05
Over 5
11.50
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.20
2
4.10
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.14
X
2.13
2
6.03
First team to score
Home
1.47
Away
3.23
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.25
6.19
Under 12.25
1.04