Ermis vs Anagennisi Deryneia• 2. Division, Cyprus

#61.2:0.817:00Today · Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca1.2:2.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.70BTN24.541XBMargin at best5.2%Books4Markets29Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.69	3.60	4.54	9.0%
Betano	1.78	3.70	3.85	9.2%
Dafabet	1.76	3.65	3.85	10.2%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	3.80	12.0%
Best of all books	1.78	3.70	4.54	5.2%
Average	1.74	3.61	4.01	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ErmisAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10#6Table position#141.80Points per game0.606Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 52.650Attack rating5076Defence rating2475Form rating2538H2H rating6273Goals model2760Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 18:02 UTC

Ermis

5W 1D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	APEA	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	MEAP Nisou	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Polemidion	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Nea Salamis	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	PAEEK	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Akritas	2-0	W
25 Apr	H	Kedros Agia Marina	1-1	D
17 Apr	A	Ethnikos Assias	0-1	L
4 Apr	A	ASPIS	1-0	W
28 Mar	H	AEP Polemidion	2-0	W

Anagennisi Deryneia

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:21 · per match 1.8 for, 2.1 against

23 Oct	H	Ethnikos Achna	1-3	L
17 Oct	A	Spartakos Kitiou	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Digenis Morphou	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Doxa	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Enosis	0-3	L
25 Apr	H	Anorthosis Mouttagiakas	1-1	D
22 Apr	A	AEN	4-1	W
4 Apr	H	Kedros Agia Marina	1-1	D
28 Mar	A	Ethnikos Assias	3-2	W
21 Mar	H	Ermis	3-3	D

Head to head

5Ermis wins

3draws

3Anagennisi Deryneia wins

11 meetings · goals 17:14 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Ermis

21 Mar 20263. Division	3. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia3-3Ermis
31 Jan 20263. Division	3. Division	Ermis0-1Anagennisi Deryneia
1 Nov 20253. Division	3. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia2-2Ermis
29 Apr 20232. Division	2. Division	Ermis2-3Anagennisi Deryneia
25 Feb 20232. Division	2. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia0-2Ermis
3 Dec 20222. Division	2. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia0-0Ermis
14 May 20222. Division	2. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia5-1Ermis
2 Feb 20222. Division	2. Division	Ermis3-0Anagennisi Deryneia
8 Feb 20202. Division	2. Division	Anagennisi Deryneia0-1Ermis
11 Jan 20202. Division	2. Division	Ermis2-0Anagennisi Deryneia

2. Division tableDivision 2updated 29 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Ermis sit 6th with 9 points from 5 games, while Anagennisi Deryneia are 14th with 3 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enosis	5	4	1	0	8:2	+6	13
2	Ethnikos Achna	5	4	0	1	15:4	+11	12
3	PAEEK	5	4	0	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Doxa	5	3	2	0	13:8	+5	11
5	APEA	5	3	2	0	7:3	+4	11
6	Ermis	5	3	0	2	6:4	+2	9
7	ASIL Lysi	5	2	2	1	8:5	+3	8
8	Iraklis Yerolakkou	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
9	Digenis Morphou	5	1	2	2	5:5	0	5
10	Akritas	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
11	Halkanoras	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
12	Spartakos Kitiou	5	1	1	3	7:7	0	4
13	Ayia Napa	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4
14	Anagennisi Deryneia	5	1	0	4	6:13	-7	3
15	Polemidion	5	1	0	4	1:10	-9	3
16	MEAP Nisou	5	0	1	4	1:13	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X25%3.61223%4.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.75 0.0%X3.58 → 3.61 +0.8%24.02 → 4.01 -0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.70	2.03	8.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.70	2.06	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.71	2.03	7.7%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.71	2.07	6.8%
Average	1.68	2.05	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ermis 45%Draw 45%Anagennisi Deryneia 10%

The statistical model rates Ermis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Anagennisi Deryneia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.61 | 4.01, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Ermis win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Ermis are 6th (9 pts, 6-4 goals), Anagennisi Deryneia 14th (3 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Ermis averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Anagennisi Deryneia averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ermis or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.61	4.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.99	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.28	2.28	4.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.05	2.63	4.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.67	15.3	36.3
HT X	4.78	5.83	9.33
HT 2	20.3	16.2	6.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	12.0	2.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.21	3.78
2	1.32	3.00
2.5	1.70	2.06
3	2.16	1.62
3.5	2.65	1.40
4	4.00	1.19
4.5	4.68	1.14
5.5	6.90	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.11
-2	4.40	1.16
-1.5	2.70	1.39
-1	2.15	1.63
-0.75	2.00	1.80
-0.5	1.75	1.95
0	1.27	3.40
+1.5	1.02	8.90

Next 2. Division matches

30 Oct	Doxa – Iraklis Yerolakkou
31 Oct	Spartakos Kitiou – Ayia Napa
31 Oct	Polemidion – MEAP Nisou
31 Oct	PAEEK – APEA
31 Oct	Ethnikos Achna – Halkanoras
1 Nov	Digenis Morphou – ASIL Lysi

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

24 Oct	ASIL Lysi 1-1 Doxa
24 Oct	MEAP Nisou 0-2 PAEEK
24 Oct	APEA 2-0 Ermis
24 Oct	Halkanoras 2-1 Spartakos Kitiou
24 Oct	Iraklis Yerolakkou 0-1 Enosis
24 Oct	Polemidion 0-2 Akritas