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Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#101.2:2.015:30Today · Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni1.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.41PINX3.10BTN23.05DAFMargin at best6.5%Books6Markets63Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 11:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.413.082.957.9%
BetVictor2.383.202.888.0%
1xBet2.362.962.8810.9%
Bet3652.303.002.9011.3%
Marathonbet2.342.962.8012.2%
William Hill2.382.802.8013.4%
Best of all books2.413.202.956.6%
Average2.363.002.8710.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
Last 10#10Table position#81.33Points per game1.444Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4529Defence rating7133Form rating6788H2H rating1337Goals model6352Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Alcione

2W 6D 2L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

11 OctALecco1-1D
4 OctHTrento2-2D
27 SepAAlbinoleffe1-1D
20 SepHUnion Brescia0-4L
17 SepAPRO Vercelli2-2D
13 SepAFolgore Caratese3-2W
7 SepHTreviso1-1D
30 AugADolomiti Bellunesi0-0D
21 AugHRenate3-1W
16 AugHNovara0-1L

Desenzano Calvina

4W 4D 2L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against

10 OctHDolomiti Bellunesi2-0W
3 OctAFolgore Caratese2-1W
26 SepHJuventus U230-0D
21 SepATreviso0-0D
17 SepHLecco1-3L
13 SepAArzignano Valchiampo2-1W
6 SepAUnion Brescia0-1L
3 SepATrento1-0W
31 AugHTrento0-0D
23 AugAPRO Vercelli1-1D

Head to head

2Alcione wins
1draws
0Desenzano Calvina wins

3 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Alcione

14 May 2023Serie D - Promotion - Play-offsSerie D - Promotion - Play-offsAlcione2-1Desenzano Calvina
6 Apr 2023Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BDesenzano Calvina1-1Alcione
27 Nov 2022Serie D - Girone BSerie D - Girone BAlcione1-0Desenzano Calvina

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Alcione sit 10th with 12 points from 9 games, while Desenzano Calvina are 8th with 13 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cittadella980116:4+1224
2Union Brescia954016:6+1019
3Ospitaletto953115:6+918
4Arzignano Valchiampo952214:10+417
5Trento945012:5+717
6Lecco1034312:9+313
7Treviso93428:7+113
8Desenzano Calvina93428:7+113
9Albinoleffe933314:13+112
10Alcione926113:14-112
11Lumezzane1033411:14-312
12Pergolettese92525:6-111
13Dolomiti Bellunesi92437:9-210
14Athletic Carpi1023514:20-69
15Novara92348:12-49
16PRO Vercelli102358:18-109
17Juventus U2391448:15-77
18Folgore Caratese91359:13-46
19Giana Erminio90548:12-45
20Renate90458:14-64

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.35X30%2.99231%2.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 03:401 2.35X 2.992 2.89
12.00 → 2.35 +17.5%X3.08 → 2.99 -2.9%23.59 → 2.89 -19.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Pinnacle2.091.716.3%
1xBet2.041.678.9%
BetVictor2.041.678.9%
Marathonbet2.041.678.9%
Best of all books2.091.735.7%
Average2.061.697.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
1xBet1.781.899.1%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Marathonbet1.781.869.9%
Best of all books1.831.917.0%
Average1.791.889.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alcione 10%Draw 45%Desenzano Calvina 45%

The statistical model rates Alcione at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Desenzano Calvina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 2.99 | 2.89, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Alcione are 10th (12 pts, 13-14 goals), Desenzano Calvina 8th (13 pts, 8-7).

Over their last five matches, Alcione averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Desenzano Calvina averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.363.002.87

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.481.30

Draw no bet

12
1.682.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.88

1st half

1X2
3.012.033.55

2nd half

1X2
2.712.313.18

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8413.733.3
HT X5.504.556.43
HT 229.714.54.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.927.902.17

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.78
1.51.323.06
2.52.061.69
3.53.661.23
4.57.231.06
5.513.81.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.15
1.251.193.80
1.751.412.61
21.552.26
2.251.811.88
2.752.341.51
32.931.33
3.253.141.27
3.754.391.14
46.051.06
4.256.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.791.37
-0.52.351.55
-0.252.011.72
01.692.04
+0.251.482.44
+0.51.382.95
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.551.01
-2.257.301.03
-29.001.01
-1.756.081.08
-1.54.601.14
-1.254.211.17
-13.801.22
+0.751.243.51
+11.125.13
+1.251.105.57
+1.51.096.03
+1.751.037.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.60
6.51.173.86
7.51.402.61
8.51.741.99
9.52.211.58
10.52.961.31
11.54.261.14
12.56.581.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.046.01
71.223.44
81.522.32
91.991.77
102.661.39
113.881.17
126.141.04

Next Serie C - Girone A matches

18 OctAlbinoleffe – Novara
18 OctOspitaletto – Pergolettese
19 OctJuventus U23 – Renate
19 OctDolomiti Bellunesi – Trento
19 OctGiana Erminio – Union Brescia
19 OctCittadella – Arzignano Valchiampo

All Serie C - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie C - Girone A results

17 OctFolgore Caratese 0-2 Treviso
17 OctAthletic Carpi 3-1 Lumezzane
16 OctPRO Vercelli 0-5 Lecco
13 OctJuventus U23 0-0 Lumezzane
11 OctTrento 1-0 Folgore Caratese
11 OctTreviso 0-1 Ospitaletto