Athletic Carpi vs Arzignano Valchiampo• Serie C - Girone A, Italy

#161.8:1.80-3FT27/09 · Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi1.4:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX3.10B36522.55PINMargin at best6.9%Books5Markets42Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.65	3.20	2.57	7.9%
Betfair	2.55	3.25	2.50	10.0%
Bet365	2.55	3.10	2.50	11.5%
1xBet	2.49	3.14	2.49	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.49	3.14	2.49	12.2%
Best of all books	2.65	3.25	2.57	7.4%
Average	2.55	3.17	2.51	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Athletic CarpiArzignano Valchiampo

Last 10#16Table position#40.75Points per game1.752Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4444Defence rating5640Form rating60100H2H rating051Goals model4948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC

Athletic Carpi

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	A	PRO Vercelli	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Arzignano Valchiampo	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Novara	2-2	D
17 Sep	H	Ospitaletto	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Cittadella	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	PRO Vercelli	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Juventus U23	3-3	D
21 Aug	A	Union Brescia	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Pianese	3-2	W

Arzignano Valchiampo

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	H	Pergolettese	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Athletic Carpi	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Renate	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Albinoleffe	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Desenzano Calvina	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Ospitaletto	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	Dolomiti Bellunesi	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	PRO Vercelli	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Lecco	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Albinoleffe	2-1	W

Head to head

1Athletic Carpi wins

0draws

0Arzignano Valchiampo wins

1 meeting · goals 2:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Athletic Carpi

10 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Arzignano Valchiampo0-2Athletic Carpi

Serie C - Girone A tableSerie C: Girone Aupdated 9 Oct 03:41 UTC

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Athletic Carpi sit 16th with 6 points from 8 games, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 4th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	8	7	0	1	14:4	+10	21
2	Union Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	+8	16
3	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	+6	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
7	Albinoleffe	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	12
8	Alcione	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
9	Dolomiti Bellunesi	8	2	4	2	7:7	0	10
10	Desenzano Calvina	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
11	Novara	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
12	PRO Vercelli	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9
14	Lumezzane	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
15	Pergolettese	8	1	5	2	3:5	-2	8
16	Athletic Carpi	8	1	3	4	10:17	-7	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	9:12	-3	6
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.68X30%3.01237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.68 +5.1%X3.17 → 3.03 -4.4%22.51 → 2.47 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.02	1.75	6.6%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.01	1.73	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.83	1.93	6.5%
Average	1.78	1.90	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Athletic Carpi 45%Draw 45%Arzignano Valchiampo 10%

The statistical model rated Athletic Carpi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arzignano Valchiampo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.68 | 3.01 | 2.45, which imply roughly 37.3% for a Athletic Carpi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie C - Girone A table: Athletic Carpi are 16th (6 pts, 10-17 goals), Arzignano Valchiampo 4th (14 pts, 12-9).

Over their last five matches, Athletic Carpi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Arzignano Valchiampo averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.55	3.17	2.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.43	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
3.21	2.05	3.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	8.85	1.97

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.30
1.5	1.31	3.08
2.5	2.01	1.73
3.5	3.45	1.25
4.5	6.63	1.07
5.5	10.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.00
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.11
1.75	1.38	2.70
2	1.51	2.32
2.25	1.75	1.93
2.75	2.29	1.54
3	2.78	1.34
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.33	1.14
4	6.05	1.06
4.25	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.59	1.48
-0.25	2.20	1.60
0	1.86	1.85
+0.25	1.61	2.16
+0.5	1.50	2.49
+0.75	1.31	3.06

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.90	1.01
-1.75	7.00	1.04
-1.5	5.37	1.11
-1.25	4.87	1.13
-1	4.35	1.16
-0.75	3.13	1.30
+1	1.16	4.30
+1.25	1.14	4.75
+1.5	1.11	5.37
+1.75	1.06	7.18
+2	1.01	9.90