Morrinhos vs Grêmio Anápolis• Goiano - 2, Brazil

#51.0:1.42-2FT11/101.4:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.40BFRX3.85BTN21.95WHMargin9.9%Books7Markets40Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 14:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.10	3.45	1.87	6.9%
Betfair	4.40	3.60	1.67	10.4%
Betano	5.30	3.85	1.52	10.6%
1xBet	4.12	3.12	1.83	11.0%
Bet365	4.33	3.60	1.65	11.5%
Marathonbet	3.85	3.22	1.81	12.3%
William Hill	3.50	3.00	1.95	13.2%
Best of all books	4.40	3.85	1.95	-0.0%
Average	4.23	3.41	1.76	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MorrinhosGrêmio Anápolis

Last 10#5Table position#91.29Points per game0.824Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.842Attack rating5856Defence rating4450Form rating5075H2H rating2576Goals model2463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 19:40 UTC

Morrinhos

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

7 Oct	A	Bom Jesus EC	2-3	L
2 Oct	A	Mineiros	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Crixás EC	2-1	W
23 Sep	A	Goiânia	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Rio Verde	0-0	D
14 Sep	H	Trindade	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Tupy FC	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Goianésia	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Tupy FC	1-3	L
26 Aug	A	Trindade	2-2	D

Grêmio Anápolis

1W 4D 5L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

7 Oct	H	Goiânia	4-0	W
3 Oct	H	Rio Verde	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Trindade	0-2	L
23 Sep	H	Bom Jesus EC	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Mineiros	0-3	L
13 Sep	A	Goianésia	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	Crixás EC	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Tupy FC	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Crixás EC	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Goianésia	1-2	L

Head to head

2Morrinhos wins

4draws

0Grêmio Anápolis wins

6 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 6: 2W 4D 0L for Morrinhos

25 Jul 2026Goiano - 2	Goiano - 2	Grêmio Anápolis0-1Morrinhos
30 Jul 2025Goiano - 2	Goiano - 2	Morrinhos2-2Grêmio Anápolis
21 May 2025Goiano - 2	Goiano - 2	Grêmio Anápolis0-0Morrinhos
22 Jan 2023Goiano - 1	Goiano - 1	Morrinhos4-0Grêmio Anápolis
13 Feb 2022Goiano - 1	Goiano - 1	Morrinhos0-0Grêmio Anápolis
10 Feb 2022Goiano - 1	Goiano - 1	Grêmio Anápolis0-0Morrinhos

Goiano - 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 11 Oct 07:31 UTC

In the Goiano - 2 table, Morrinhos sit 5th with 22 points from 17 games, while Grêmio Anápolis are 9th with 14 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rio Verde	17	9	6	2	26:12	+14	33
2	Bom Jesus EC	17	8	7	2	24:15	+9	31
3	Goianésia	17	8	6	3	24:19	+5	30
4	Mineiros	17	8	4	5	19:14	+5	28
5	Morrinhos	17	6	4	7	24:24	0	22
6	Tupy FC	18	5	7	6	18:19	-1	22
7	Goiânia	17	4	8	5	13:18	-5	20
8	Crixás EC	17	3	7	7	19:26	-7	16
9	Grêmio Anápolis	17	3	5	9	20:27	-7	14
10	Trindade	18	2	6	10	15:28	-13	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.26X26%3.49253%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.54 → 4.23 +66.5%X3.19 → 3.41 +6.9%22.53 → 1.76 -30.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.98	1.72	8.6%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
Best of all books	2.08	1.78	4.3%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.90	6.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Best of all books	1.86	1.91	6.1%
Average	1.81	1.90	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Morrinhos 45%Draw 45%Grêmio Anápolis 10%

The statistical model rated Morrinhos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Grêmio Anápolis at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.26 | 3.49 | 1.73, which imply roughly 23.5% for a Morrinhos win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Goiano - 2 table: Morrinhos are 5th (22 pts, 24-24 goals), Grêmio Anápolis 9th (14 pts, 20-27).

Over their last five matches, Morrinhos averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Grêmio Anápolis averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Morrinhos or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.41	1.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.83	1.22	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.82	1.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
4.33	2.16	2.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	8.00	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.95
1.5	1.30	3.07
2.5	1.95	1.75
3.5	3.40	1.26
4.5	7.00	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	6.50
1.25	1.16	4.04
1.75	1.38	2.68
2	1.51	2.38
2.25	1.76	1.94
2.75	2.26	1.52
3	2.76	1.37
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	5.40	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.78	1.36
0	2.48	1.53
+0.25	1.88	1.83
+0.5	1.86	1.82
+0.75	1.50	2.34
+1	1.39	2.67

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.50	1.04
-1	5.10	1.12
-0.75	3.90	1.18
-0.5	2.85	1.34
+1.25	1.23	3.47
+1.5	1.26	3.40
+2	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.05	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.09	1.69

Latest Goiano - 2 results

11 Oct	Goianésia 1-0 Bom Jesus EC
7 Oct	Grêmio Anápolis 4-0 Goiânia
7 Oct	Bom Jesus EC 3-2 Morrinhos
27 Sep	Trindade 2-0 Grêmio Anápolis