OddsFilter

Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos• Goiano - 2, Brazil

#21.6:1.23-2FTToday1.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.60BFR25.50BFRMargin at best3.1%Books8Markets41Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 16:35 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.753.504.707.0%
Betfair1.553.605.5010.5%
Betano1.753.304.3010.7%
1xBet1.613.305.4010.9%
Bet3651.553.505.2512.1%
William Hill1.673.105.0012.1%
Marathonbet1.593.305.2512.2%
BetVictor1.553.004.5020.1%
Best of all books1.753.605.503.1%
Average1.633.334.9911.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bom Jesus ECMorrinhos
Last 10#2Table position#51.75Points per game1.387Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.062Attack rating3845Defence rating5550Form rating50100H2H rating062Goals model3857Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 17:31 UTC

Bom Jesus EC

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

3 OctHTrindade2-0W
27 SepARio Verde2-2D
23 SepAGrêmio Anápolis2-2D
20 SepHGoiânia1-1D
13 SepHTupy FC1-1D
9 SepAMineiros0-1L
6 SepHCrixás EC2-1W
30 AugHMineiros1-2L
26 AugATupy FC1-0W
22 AugAGoiânia1-0W

Morrinhos

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

2 OctAMineiros0-1L
27 SepHCrixás EC2-1W
23 SepAGoiânia1-2L
20 SepHRio Verde0-0D
14 SepHTrindade2-1W
9 SepATupy FC1-2L
5 SepHGoianésia1-1D
30 AugHTupy FC1-3L
26 AugATrindade2-2D
22 AugARio Verde2-1W

Head to head

1Bom Jesus EC wins
0draws
0Morrinhos wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Bom Jesus EC

29 Jul 2026Goiano - 2Goiano - 2Morrinhos1-2Bom Jesus EC

Goiano - 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 7 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Goiano - 2 table, Bom Jesus EC sit 2nd with 28 points from 16 games, while Morrinhos are 5th with 22 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rio Verde1695225:11+1432
2Bom Jesus EC1677221:13+828
3Goianésia1676321:18+327
4Mineiros1674517:14+325
5Morrinhos1664622:21+122
6Goiânia1648413:14-120
7Tupy FC1646614:16-218
8Crixás EC1637618:23-516
9Trindade1626813:23-1012
10Grêmio Anápolis1625916:27-1111

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.67X27%3.29219%4.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 17:117 Oct 17:111 1.63X 3.332 4.99
11.71 → 1.63 -4.7%X3.35 → 3.33 -0.6%24.31 → 4.99 +15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.271.577.7%
1xBet2.201.579.1%
Marathonbet2.201.579.1%
Betano2.101.6010.1%
BetVictor1.911.4819.9%
Best of all books2.271.654.7%
Average2.151.5710.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill2.151.628.2%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.599.8%
BetVictor1.871.5020.1%
Best of all books2.151.628.2%
Average2.071.5811.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bom Jesus EC 45%Draw 45%Morrinhos 10%

The statistical model rated Bom Jesus EC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Morrinhos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.29 | 4.68, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Bom Jesus EC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Goiano - 2 table: Bom Jesus EC are 2nd (28 pts, 21-13 goals), Morrinhos 5th (22 pts, 22-21).

Over their last five matches, Bom Jesus EC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Morrinhos averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bom Jesus EC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.633.334.99

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.071.22

Draw no bet

12
1.233.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.071.58

1st half

1X2
2.212.015.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.507.133.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.065.65
1.51.362.58
2.52.151.57
3.53.651.17
4.56.751.04
5.521.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.085.60
1.251.233.42
1.751.482.27
21.631.98
2.251.891.71
2.752.461.40
33.261.26
3.253.581.21
46.951.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.801.35
-1.252.411.42
-12.081.61
-0.751.801.82
-0.51.611.98
-0.251.382.51
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.551.08
-24.801.12
-1.753.421.23
01.193.81
+0.251.144.40
+1.51.029.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.961.82