Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava• Third League - Southwest, Bulgaria

#151.0:1.012:00Today1.6:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.261XBX3.891XB21.831XBMargin at best11.0%Books1Markets9Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.26	3.89	1.83	11.0%
Best of all books	3.26	3.89	1.83	11.0%
Average	3.26	3.89	1.83	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KyustendilStrumska Slava

Last 10#15Table position#61.23Points per game1.758Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6264Defence rating3662Form rating3850H2H rating5045Goals model5553Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 01:30 UTC

Kyustendil

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Slavia Sofia II	2-0	W
28 Oct	H	Botev Ihtiman	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Belasitsa	0-0	D
7 Oct	A	Oborishte	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Bansko	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	FK Minyor Pernik	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Pirin Razlog	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Natsional Sofia	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Chavdar Etropole	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	CSKA Sofia III	1-1	D

Strumska Slava

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against

28 Oct	H	Levski Sofia II	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Slavia Sofia II	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Septemvri Simitli	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Belasitsa	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Oborishte	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Bansko	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	FK Minyor Pernik	2-5	L
29 Aug	H	Pirin Razlog	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Natsional Sofia	3-0	W
15 Aug	H	Chavdar Etropole	2-1	W

Head to head

1Kyustendil wins

0draws

1Strumska Slava wins

2 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Kyustendil

28 Mar 2026Third League - Southwest	Third League - Southwest	Strumska Slava3-1Kyustendil
17 Sep 2025Third League - Southwest	Third League - Southwest	Kyustendil3-0Strumska Slava

Third League - Southwest tableSouthwestupdated 4 Nov 01:30 UTC

In the Third League - Southwest table, Kyustendil sit 15th with 16 points from 13 games, while Strumska Slava are 6th with 21 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	15	11	3	1	34:7	+27	36
2	Bansko	13	9	2	2	27:16	+11	29
3	Oborishte	13	7	5	1	25:12	+13	26
4	Kostinbrod	14	7	1	6	24:17	+7	22
5	Balkan Botevgrad	15	7	1	7	17:18	-1	22
6	Strumska Slava	12	6	3	3	23:15	+8	21
7	Septemvri Sofia II	12	6	1	5	15:14	+1	19
8	Slivnishki geroy	15	5	4	6	18:21	-3	19
9	Belasitsa	15	5	3	7	23:25	-2	18
10	CSKA Sofia III	14	3	8	3	12:11	+1	17
11	Slavia Sofia II	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17
12	Chavdar Etropole	15	5	2	8	18:34	-16	17
13	Botev Ihtiman	13	5	1	7	17:18	-1	16
14	Levski Sofia II	14	4	4	6	16:19	-3	16
15	Kyustendil	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
16	Septemvri Simitli	14	3	6	5	19:24	-5	15
17	Natsional Sofia	14	2	5	7	19:27	-8	11
18	Pirin Razlog	15	3	1	11	12:38	-26	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.26X23%3.89249%1.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Best of all books	1.49	2.38	9.1%
Average	1.49	2.38	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Best of all books	1.47	2.42	9.3%
Average	1.47	2.42	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kyustendil 45%Draw 45%Strumska Slava 10%

The statistical model rates Kyustendil at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Strumska Slava at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.26 | 3.89 | 1.83, which imply roughly 30.7% for a Kyustendil win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Third League - Southwest table: Kyustendil are 15th (16 pts, 13-16 goals), Strumska Slava 6th (21 pts, 23-15).

Over their last five matches, Kyustendil averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Strumska Slava averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kyustendil or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.26	3.89	1.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.75	1.23	1.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.42

1st half

1	X	2
3.69	2.45	2.32

2nd half

1	X	2
3.56	2.65	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.49	2.38
3	1.81	1.85
3.5	2.34	1.50
4	3.53	1.23

Next Third League - Southwest matches

4 Nov

Botev Ihtiman – Oborishte

All Third League - Southwest fixtures and the table

Latest Third League - Southwest results

28 Oct	Bansko 2-0 Slivnishki geroy
28 Oct	FK Minyor Pernik 3-0 Kostinbrod
28 Oct	Strumska Slava 2-2 Levski Sofia II
28 Oct	Kyustendil 1-0 Botev Ihtiman