FK Minyor Pernik vs
Kostinbrod• Third League - Southwest, Bulgaria
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.81 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.81 | 11.1% |
| Average | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.81 | 11.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC
FK Minyor Pernik
7W 2D 1L · goals 22:5 · per match 2.2 for, 0.5 against
| 24 Oct | A | Slivnishki geroy | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Septemvri Sofia II | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Levski Sofia II | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Oct | H | Slavia Sofia II | 5-1 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Beroe | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Botev Ihtiman | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Kyustendil | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Septemvri Simitli | 2-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Strumska Slava | 5-2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Oborishte | 0-0 | D |
Kostinbrod
6W 0D 4L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against
| 22 Oct | H | Pirin Razlog | 5-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Chavdar Etropole | 5-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | CSKA Sofia III | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Balkan Botevgrad | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Belasitsa | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Slivnishki geroy | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Septemvri Sofia II | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Levski Sofia II | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Slavia Sofia II | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Botev Ihtiman | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for FK Minyor Pernik
| 18 May 2024Third League - Southwest | Third League - Southwest | Kostinbrod1-3FK Minyor Pernik |
| 3 Nov 2023Third League - Southwest | Third League - Southwest | FK Minyor Pernik1-0Kostinbrod |
Third League - Southwest tableSouthwestupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC
In the Third League - Southwest table, FK Minyor Pernik sit 1st with 30 points from 13 games, while Kostinbrod are 4th with 21 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27:6 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25:12 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | Bansko | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Kostinbrod | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:11 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 | Septemvri Sofia II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | Balkan Botevgrad | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Botev Ihtiman | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Chavdar Etropole | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:28 | -15 | 14 |
| 14 | Levski Sofia II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Belasitsa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Natsional Sofia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Kyustendil | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 2.37 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.49 | 2.37 | 9.3% |
| Average | 1.49 | 2.37 | 9.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.34 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.34 | 9.4% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.34 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates FK Minyor Pernik at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kostinbrod at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.81, which imply roughly 59.9% for a FK Minyor Pernik win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Third League - Southwest table: FK Minyor Pernik are 1st (30 pts, 27-6 goals), Kostinbrod 4th (21 pts, 21-11).
Over their last five matches, FK Minyor Pernik averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Kostinbrod averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : FK Minyor Pernik or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.81 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 1.93 | 1.14 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.34 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 2.48 | 4.11 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 2.68 | 3.99 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.49 | 2.37 |
| 3 | 1.82 | 1.84 |
| 3.5 | 2.35 | 1.50 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.23 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.28 | 1.53 |
Next Third League - Southwest matches
| 28 Oct | Bansko – Slivnishki geroy |
| 28 Oct | Kyustendil – Botev Ihtiman |
| 28 Oct | Strumska Slava – Levski Sofia II |