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Pachuca W vs Toluca W• Liga MX Femenil, Mexico

#131.2:1.81-2FT05/10 · Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto2.8:2.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90B365X4.651XB23.581XBMargin at best2.1%Books7Markets51Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 01:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.814.603.565.1%
Pinnacle1.874.043.387.8%
Betfair1.734.003.6010.6%
Betano1.913.653.2011.0%
Bet3651.653.804.1011.3%
Marathonbet1.723.963.4612.3%
William Hill1.754.003.3012.4%
Best of all books1.914.604.10-1.5%
Average1.784.013.519.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pachuca WToluca W
Last 10#13Table position#41.00Points per game2.203Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 52.430Attack rating7057Defence rating4325Form rating7550H2H rating5056Goals model4447Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Pachuca W

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

5 OctHToluca W1-2L
26 SepHSantos Laguna W4-1W
20 SepAAtlético San Luis W1-2L
15 SepHLeón W0-1L
6 SepATijuana W1-3L
30 AugATigres UANL W0-2L
23 AugHGuadalajara W3-1W
15 AugHPumas UNAM W3-1W
8 AugAAtlas W1-1D
1 AugAJuárez W0-1L

Toluca W

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:16 · per match 2.5 for, 1.6 against

5 OctAPachuca W2-1W
29 SepANecaxa W4-0W
22 SepHTigres UANL W2-7L
15 SepHTijuana W6-0W
6 SepAMonterrey W1-5L
29 AugHLeón W1-0W
24 AugAAtlante W2-1W
18 AugHAtlas W1-1D
11 AugHJuárez W2-0W
3 AugAAtlético San Luis W4-1W

Head to head

5Pachuca W wins
2draws
5Toluca W wins

12 meetings · goals 31:18 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Pachuca W

17 Feb 2026Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilToluca W1-1Pachuca W
5 Aug 2025Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilPachuca W1-2Toluca W
21 Mar 2025Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilPachuca W2-3Toluca W
1 Oct 2024Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilToluca W1-3Pachuca W
19 Mar 2024Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilPachuca W4-0Toluca W
30 Jul 2023Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilToluca W2-1Pachuca W
16 Jan 2023Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilPachuca W10-2Toluca W
18 Jul 2022Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilToluca W3-2Pachuca W
30 Jan 2022Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilToluca W1-3Pachuca W
3 Oct 2021Liga MX FemenilLiga MX FemenilPachuca W1-1Toluca W

Liga MX Femenil tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga MX Femenil table, Pachuca W sit 13th with 10 points from 10 games, while Toluca W are 4th with 22 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Monterrey W11100140:13+2730
2América W1081145:11+3425
3Tigres UANL W1081132:10+2225
4Toluca W1071225:16+922
5Guadalajara W1070321:11+1021
6Juárez W1070314:7+721
7Atlético San Luis W1061323:16+719
8Santos Laguna W1050513:20-715
9Cruz Azul W1150613:22-915
10Pumas UNAM W1041518:17+113
11León W940515:17-212
12Atlas W933310:17-712
13Pachuca W1031614:15-110
14Tijuana W1131714:25-1110
15Atlante W102176:13-77
16Querétaro W1020810:22-126
17Puebla W1111914:40-264
18Necaxa W1000103:38-350

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X23%3.96227%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:315 Oct 00:111 1.82X 3.952 3.34
11.78 → 1.82 +2.2%X4.01 → 3.95 -1.5%23.51 → 3.34 -4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
1xBet1.362.977.2%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.363.402.9%
Average1.333.087.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.363.006.9%
William Hill1.362.809.2%
Marathonbet1.352.799.9%
Best of all books1.363.006.9%
Average1.362.868.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pachuca W 10%Draw 45%Toluca W 45%

The statistical model rated Pachuca W at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Toluca W at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.96 | 3.33, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX Femenil table: Pachuca W are 13th (10 pts, 14-15 goals), Toluca W 4th (22 pts, 25-16).

Over their last five matches, Pachuca W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Toluca W averaged 2.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Toluca W and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.784.013.51

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.901.18

Draw no bet

12
1.392.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.86

1st half

1X2
2.232.603.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5625.02.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0129.0
1.51.066.70
2.51.333.08
3.51.881.84
4.52.831.37
5.54.941.14
6.57.501.07
7.510.51.02
8.517.0–
9.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.075.90
21.095.40
2.251.223.73
2.751.402.62
31.512.35
3.251.741.99
3.752.111.62
42.471.47
4.252.781.38
4.753.581.21
54.751.12
5.255.211.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.781.39
-1.252.551.46
-12.271.58
-0.751.941.78
-0.51.801.94
-0.251.572.26
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.755.751.14
-2.55.071.13
-2.254.731.14
-24.331.17
-1.753.281.28
01.382.84
+0.251.303.16
+0.51.234.10
+0.751.154.64
+11.066.30
+1.251.046.75
+1.51.037.20

Next Liga MX Femenil matches

18 OctPumas UNAM W – Atlas W
18 OctAtlético San Luis W – Juárez W
19 OctTigres UANL W – Querétaro W
19 OctAmérica W – Pachuca W
20 OctToluca W – Santos Laguna W
21 OctGuadalajara W – Necaxa W

All Liga MX Femenil fixtures and the table

Latest Liga MX Femenil results

18 OctMonterrey W 1-0 Cruz Azul W
17 OctPuebla W 1-1 Tijuana W
4 OctGuadalajara W 1-0 Juárez W
4 OctNecaxa W 0-2 Cruz Azul W
3 OctQuerétaro W 0-1 Atlético San Luis W
3 OctMonterrey W 4-3 América W