NEOM vs Abha• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#61.4:1.014:0024/10 · King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk0.8:1.6#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.40DAF26.00BFRMargin at best3.1%Books9Markets64Rating74 · 27Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 17:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.55	4.40	5.80	4.5%
Betano	1.57	4.25	5.60	5.1%
1xBet	1.56	4.08	5.48	6.9%
Betfair	1.50	4.20	6.00	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.53	4.22	5.43	7.5%
Bet365	1.48	3.90	5.50	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	3.90	5.25	11.8%
William Hill	1.50	3.80	4.80	13.8%
SBO	1.45	3.67	4.84	16.9%
Best of all books	1.57	4.40	6.00	3.1%
Average	1.51	4.05	5.41	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NEOMAbha

Last 10#6Table position#181.60Points per game0.257Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.664Attack rating3662Defence rating3888Form rating1380H2H rating2081Goals model1974Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

NEOM

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

20 Oct	A	Al-Nassr	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Al-Ettifaq	0-1	L
13 Oct	H	Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Al-Hazm	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Al-Fateh	4-2	W
7 Sep	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Al Riyadh	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	2-0	W

Abha

0W 4D 6L · goals 6:15 · per match 0.6 for, 1.5 against

16 Oct	A	Al-Qadisiyah FC	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Al Diriyah	0-0	D
9 Sep	A	Al-Nassr	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Al-Ettifaq	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Al-Fayha	2-3	L
25 Aug	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Al-Ahli Jeddah	0-4	L
16 Aug	A	Al Orubah	0-0	D
13 Aug	H	Al-Hazm	1-2	L
31 Jul	A	Rizespor	0-0	D

Head to head

1NEOM wins

1draws

0Abha wins

2 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for NEOM

21 Jan 2025Division 1	Division 1	NEOM2-2Abha
21 Aug 2024Division 1	Division 1	Abha0-2NEOM

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 21 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Pro League table, NEOM sit 6th with 16 points from 10 games, while Abha are 18th with 2 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Qadisiyah FC	10	8	1	1	24:9	+15	25
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	9	8	0	1	27:7	+20	24
3	Al-Nassr	9	7	1	1	20:7	+13	22
4	Al-Ittihad FC	9	6	2	1	18:10	+8	20
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	9	6	0	3	23:12	+11	18
6	NEOM	10	5	1	4	14:9	+5	16
7	Al Diriyah	10	4	3	3	9:9	0	15
8	Al-Ettifaq	10	4	3	3	14:16	-2	15
9	Al Kholood	9	3	3	3	14:18	-4	12
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	10	2	6	2	9:13	-4	12
11	Al-Hazm	10	2	3	5	10:14	-4	9
12	Al Riyadh	9	2	3	4	9:18	-9	9
13	Al Shabab	9	1	5	3	11:13	-2	8
14	Al-Faisaly FC	9	1	4	4	10:17	-7	7
15	Al-Fayha	10	1	4	5	10:17	-7	7
16	Al-Fateh	10	1	3	6	9:20	-11	6
17	Al Taawon	10	0	4	6	4:17	-13	4
18	Abha	8	0	2	6	6:15	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.51X23%4.05217%5.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.50 → 1.51 +0.7%X4.13 → 4.05 -1.9%25.86 → 5.41 -7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.70	2.22	3.9%
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.72	2.08	6.2%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.22	2.8%
Average	1.69	2.12	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.02	6.6%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.98	8.6%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Best of all books	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Average	1.74	1.96	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEOM 50%Draw 50%Abha 0%

The statistical model rates NEOM at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Abha at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.05 | 5.41, which imply roughly 66.2% for a NEOM win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Pro League table: NEOM are 6th (16 pts, 14-9 goals), Abha 18th (2 pts, 6-15).

Over their last five matches, NEOM averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Abha averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : NEOM.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.51	4.05	5.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.37	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.33	5.34

2nd half

1	X	2
1.85	2.71	4.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.24	15.6	42.3
HT X	4.31	6.29	11.6
HT 2	21.1	16.3	9.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	13.4	2.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	11.6
1.5	1.21	4.00
2.5	1.69	2.12
3.5	2.67	1.42
4.5	4.76	1.15
5.5	8.93	1.04
6.5	18.5	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.49	2.44
2.75	1.86	1.86
3	2.11	1.66
3.25	2.36	1.50
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.86	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.15
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.92	1.37
-1.5	2.47	1.51
-1.25	2.13	1.63
-1	1.87	1.87
-0.75	1.64	2.12
-0.5	1.54	2.46

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.63	1.03
-3.25	7.00	1.04
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.75	5.54	1.10
-2.5	4.50	1.16
-2.25	3.98	1.20
-2	3.76	1.22
-0.25	1.34	2.95
0	1.19	4.18
+0.25	1.14	4.67
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.05	6.50
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.22	4.00
7.5	1.42	2.72
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.78
9.5	2.25	1.60
10.5	3.05	1.35

Next Pro League matches

22 Oct	Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha
22 Oct	Al-Fateh – Al Shabab
22 Oct	Al-Ahli Jeddah – Al Khaleej Saihat
23 Oct	Al-Ittihad FC – Al Diriyah
23 Oct	Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC
24 Oct	Al Kholood – Al-Ettifaq

All Pro League fixtures and the table

Latest Pro League results

20 Oct	Al-Ettifaq 1-4 Al-Ittihad FC
20 Oct	Al-Nassr 1-0 NEOM
20 Oct	Al Taawon 0-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
20 Oct	Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Riyadh
19 Oct	Al Shabab 2-2 Al-Faisaly FC
19 Oct	Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-0 Al-Hazm