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Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya• Thai League 2, Thailand

#100.4:0.84-3FT17/10 · Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium, Nakhon Pathom2.0:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.211XBX3.30BVC22.45B365Margin at best2.3%Books6Markets43Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor3.203.302.109.2%
Pinnacle3.163.282.0710.4%
1xBet3.213.122.1010.8%
Bet3652.623.102.4511.2%
Marathonbet3.123.122.0812.2%
William Hill3.003.002.1513.2%
Best of all books3.213.302.452.3%
Average3.053.152.1610.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nakhon PathomNong Bua Pitchaya
Last 10#10Table position#41.43Points per game1.577Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.617Attack rating8367Defence rating3343Form rating5738H2H rating6256Goals model4445Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 15:31 UTC

Nakhon Pathom

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

20 OctAUthai Thani0-2L
17 OctHNong Bua Pitchaya4-3W
14 OctAChanthaburi0-3L
10 OctHMuangthong United1-0W
20 SepAKasetsart FC0-0D
16 SepHKanchanaburi1-1D
13 SepAPhrae United0-0D
5 SepHNakhon Ratchasima FC2-2D
25 AprAPhrae United2-0W
19 AprHBangkok0-3L

Nong Bua Pitchaya

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

21 OctABangkok2-0W
17 OctANakhon Pathom3-4L
14 OctHChiangmai United3-1W
11 OctAChanthaburi0-0D
19 SepHSatun4-3W
16 SepAUttaradit2-2D
12 SepAMuangthong United1-2L
6 SepHKasetsart FC2-0W
23 MayAPattani1-2L
16 MayHPattani2-1W

Head to head

1Nakhon Pathom wins
6draws
2Nong Bua Pitchaya wins

9 meetings · goals 8:8 · last 9: 1W 6D 2L for Nakhon Pathom

22 Mar 2026Thai League 2Thai League 2Nakhon Pathom3-1Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 Dec 2025Thai League 2Thai League 2Nong Bua Pitchaya1-0Nakhon Pathom
26 Feb 2025League CupLeague CupNong Bua Pitchaya0-0Nakhon Pathom
14 Jan 2025Thai League 1Thai League 1Nakhon Pathom1-1Nong Bua Pitchaya
24 Aug 2024Thai League 1Thai League 1Nong Bua Pitchaya2-1Nakhon Pathom
10 Feb 2021Thai League 2Thai League 2Nakhon Pathom0-0Nong Bua Pitchaya
29 Feb 2020Thai League 2Thai League 2Nong Bua Pitchaya2-2Nakhon Pathom
2 Jul 2017Thai League 2Thai League 2Nong Bua Pitchaya1-1Nakhon Pathom
8 Mar 2017Thai League 2Thai League 2Nakhon Pathom0-0Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thai League 2 tableThai Division 1updated 23 Oct 15:31 UTC

In the Thai League 2 table, Nakhon Pathom sit 10th with 10 points from 7 games, while Nong Bua Pitchaya are 4th with 11 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Khon Kaen United750211:5+615
2Chainat741211:9+213
3Uttaradit733114:11+312
4Nong Bua Pitchaya732215:12+311
5Satun732213:10+311
6Kanchanaburi72419:7+210
7Chiangmai United73139:8+110
8Police Tero731310:10010
9Phrae United73137:7010
10Nakhon Pathom72418:9-110
11Muang Loei United723211:8+39
12Chanthaburi72328:5+39
13Nakhon Ratchasima FC723210:1009
14Muangthong United72233:6-38
15Esan Pattaya72236:12-68
16Songkhla71339:11-26
17Mahasarakham United70436:12-64
18Kasetsart FC71156:14-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.05X29%3.15242%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 20:3017 Oct 08:501 3.05X 3.152 2.16
13.20 → 3.05 -4.7%X3.00 → 3.15 +5.0%22.16 → 2.16 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.911.856.4%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
1xBet1.921.768.9%
Marathonbet1.921.768.9%
BetVictor1.891.789.1%
Best of all books2.101.851.7%
Average1.951.777.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
William Hill1.672.058.7%
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Marathonbet1.721.9310.0%
Best of all books1.732.056.6%
Average1.711.988.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nakhon Pathom 10%Draw 45%Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%

The statistical model rated Nakhon Pathom at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nong Bua Pitchaya at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.05 | 3.15 | 2.16, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Thai League 2 table: Nakhon Pathom are 10th (10 pts, 8-9 goals), Nong Bua Pitchaya 4th (11 pts, 15-12).

Over their last five matches, Nakhon Pathom averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nong Bua Pitchaya averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.053.152.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.301.28

Draw no bet

12
2.111.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.99

1st half

1X2
3.742.072.76

2nd half

1X2
3.472.362.43

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.8715.526.0
HT X6.804.905.65
HT 230.516.53.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.178.051.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.20
1.51.313.11
2.51.951.77
3.53.271.27
4.56.601.08
5.513.01.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.046.95
1.251.253.32
1.751.392.71
21.452.47
2.251.682.03
2.752.141.60
32.581.41
3.252.881.33
3.753.921.18
45.351.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.101.31
-0.252.681.39
02.241.59
+0.251.871.80
+0.51.672.07
+0.751.462.42
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.551.05
-15.701.08
-0.753.841.18
+11.293.11
+1.251.243.42
+1.51.183.92
+21.037.30
+2.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.732.00
102.001.80

Next Thai League 2 matches

24 OctKasetsart FC – Satun
24 OctSongkhla – Phrae United
24 OctNong Bua Pitchaya – Mahasarakham United
24 OctUttaradit – Nakhon Pathom

All Thai League 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Thai League 2 results

18 OctChainat 3-2 Uttaradit
18 OctMahasarakham United 0-0 Muangthong United
18 OctEsan Pattaya 0-2 Khon Kaen United
18 OctSatun 0-0 Chanthaburi
17 OctPhrae United 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
17 OctPolice Tero 5-3 Kasetsart FC