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Medeama vs Heart of Lions• Premier League, Ghana

#11.8:0.83-1FT11/10 · TNA Park, Tarkwa1.2:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44B365X4.00B36529.00WHMargin at best5.6%Books7Markets46Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.434.007.608.1%
Bet3651.444.006.509.8%
Betano1.423.807.1010.8%
Betfair1.363.908.5010.9%
1xBet1.383.688.8510.9%
William Hill1.403.409.0012.0%
Marathonbet1.373.688.3012.2%
Best of all books1.444.009.005.6%
Average1.403.787.9810.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MedeamaHeart of Lions
Last 10#1Table position#132.33Points per game1.1411Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4056Defence rating4458Form rating4250H2H rating5072Goals model2859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:31 UTC

Medeama

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

4 OctADebibi United1-0W
30 SepHPort City1-0W
27 SepHBasake Holy Stars4-1W
23 SepADreams2-2D
19 SepAVision1-1D
12 SepATP Mazembe1-3L
6 SepHTP Mazembe0-1L
12 AugAASEC Mimosas2-1W
8 AugASOA1-2L
27 MayHBasake Holy Stars2-1W

Heart of Lions

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

4 OctHAshanti Gold3-2W
27 SepAYoung Apostles2-1W
19 SepHSwedru All Blacks0-0D
13 SepAAsante Kotoko1-2L
6 SepHAduana Stars0-0D
23 MayHHohoe United3-0W
17 MayAMedeama2-5L
10 MayHSamartex3-0W
6 MayHNations0-1L
3 MayAAduana Stars0-0D

Head to head

5Medeama wins
6draws
5Heart of Lions wins

16 meetings · goals 18:13 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Medeama

17 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMedeama5-2Heart of Lions
27 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHeart of Lions0-1Medeama
16 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHeart of Lions1-0Medeama
5 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMedeama0-0Heart of Lions
2 Jun 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMedeama0-1Heart of Lions
17 Jan 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHeart of Lions2-2Medeama
21 Jun 2015Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMedeama4-1Heart of Lions
29 Mar 2015Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHeart of Lions1-0Medeama
18 May 2014Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHeart of Lions1-0Medeama
2 Oct 2013Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMedeama0-1Heart of Lions

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 09:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Medeama sit 1st with 14 points from 6 games, while Heart of Lions are 13th with 8 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Medeama642012:5+714
2Hearts of Oak74218:2+614
3Samartex63217:4+311
4Port City63128:5+310
5Ashanti Gold63129:7+210
6Aduana Stars63126:4+210
7Berekum Chelsea731310:9+110
8Bechem United63128:8010
9Karela63037:709
10Basake Holy Stars63034:7-39
11Swedru All Blacks62224:408
12Asante Kotoko62226:7-18
13Heart of Lions72237:10-38
14Bibiani Gold Stars62136:7-17
15Young Apostles62043:9-66
16Vision71338:10-26
17Debibi United61146:9-34
18Dreams60245:10-52

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.40X24%3.76211%7.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Oct 07:3011 Oct 14:201 1.40X 3.782 7.98
11.40 → 1.40 0.0%X3.99 → 3.78 -5.3%27.28 → 7.98 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
1xBet2.291.539.0%
Marathonbet2.291.539.0%
Pinnacle2.341.509.4%
Betano2.181.579.6%
Best of all books2.341.653.3%
Average2.261.568.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.631.418.9%
William Hill2.601.409.9%
Marathonbet2.631.3910.0%
Best of all books2.631.418.9%
Average2.621.409.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Medeama 45%Draw 45%Heart of Lions 10%

The statistical model rated Medeama at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Heart of Lions at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 3.76 | 7.89, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Medeama win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Medeama are 1st (14 pts, 12-5 goals), Heart of Lions 13th (8 pts, 7-10).

Over their last five matches, Medeama averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Heart of Lions averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Medeama or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.403.787.98

Double chance

1XX212
1.052.591.20

Draw no bet

12
1.134.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.621.40

1st half

1X2
1.962.068.13

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.376.904.18

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.086.50
1.51.442.47
2.52.261.56
3.54.201.16
4.510.01.05
5.526.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.105.15
1.251.273.18
1.751.552.21
21.731.93
2.252.031.66
2.752.701.37
33.371.24
3.253.821.19
47.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.701.37
-1.52.231.55
-1.251.991.72
-11.731.95
-0.751.502.31
-0.51.402.64
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.601.01
-37.901.02
-2.54.301.15
-2.253.901.18
-23.501.22
-0.251.233.47
01.066.05
+0.251.075.95

Next Premier League matches

18 OctAsante Kotoko – Young Apostles
18 OctBasake Holy Stars – Bechem United

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

11 OctKarela 1-0 Dreams
11 OctYoung Apostles 1-0 Aduana Stars
11 OctBibiani Gold Stars 2-0 Basake Holy Stars
10 OctSwedru All Blacks 1-0 Asante Kotoko
4 OctAduana Stars 2-1 Swedru All Blacks
3 OctDreams 0-0 Hearts of Oak