Karela vs Dreams• Premier League, Ghana

#91.2:1.41-0FT11/10 · Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu1.0:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65DAFX3.50B36526.50B365Margin at best4.6%Books7Markets40Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.65	3.35	5.80	7.7%
Betfair	1.55	3.40	6.00	10.6%
1xBet	1.60	3.30	5.51	11.0%
Betano	1.53	3.40	6.10	11.2%
Bet365	1.48	3.50	6.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.30	5.35	12.3%
William Hill	1.62	3.00	5.50	13.2%
Best of all books	1.65	3.50	6.50	4.6%
Average	1.57	3.32	5.82	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KarelaDreams

Last 10#9Table position#181.50Points per game0.336Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.855Attack rating4556Defence rating4475Form rating2550H2H rating5089Goals model1163Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:31 UTC

Karela

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

1 Oct	A	Asante Kotoko	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Hearts of Oak	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Aduana Stars	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Bechem United	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Samartex	1-3	L
24 May	H	Nations	0-1	L
17 May	H	Swedru All Blacks	1-0	W
10 May	A	Vision	0-3	L
6 May	A	Hearts of Oak	0-0	D
3 May	H	Young Apostles	2-1	W

Dreams

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Hearts of Oak	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Bechem United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Medeama	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Bibiani Gold Stars	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Berekum Chelsea	1-3	L
31 May	H	Nations	1-1	D
24 May	A	Basake Holy Stars	4-1	W
17 May	H	Bibiani Gold Stars	3-1	W
10 May	A	Berekum Chelsea	0-1	L
6 May	A	Bechem United	2-1	W

Head to head

5Karela wins

5draws

4Dreams wins

14 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Karela

15 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Dreams0-1Karela
9 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Karela1-1Dreams
27 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Karela1-2Dreams
24 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Dreams0-1Karela
2 Jun 2024Premier League	Premier League	Dreams1-0Karela
17 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Karela0-0Dreams
4 Mar 2023Premier League	Premier League	Dreams0-0Karela
25 Sep 2022Premier League	Premier League	Karela2-0Dreams
17 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Karela1-0Dreams
15 Dec 2021Premier League	Premier League	Dreams3-1Karela

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Karela sit 9th with 9 points from 6 games, while Dreams are 18th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Medeama	6	4	2	0	12:5	+7	14
2	Hearts of Oak	7	4	2	1	8:2	+6	14
3	Samartex	6	3	2	1	7:4	+3	11
4	Port City	6	3	1	2	8:5	+3	10
5	Ashanti Gold	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
6	Aduana Stars	6	3	1	2	6:4	+2	10
7	Berekum Chelsea	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
8	Bechem United	6	3	1	2	8:8	0	10
9	Karela	6	3	0	3	7:7	0	9
10	Basake Holy Stars	6	3	0	3	4:7	-3	9
11	Swedru All Blacks	6	2	2	2	4:4	0	8
12	Asante Kotoko	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
13	Heart of Lions	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
14	Bibiani Gold Stars	6	2	1	3	6:7	-1	7
15	Young Apostles	6	2	0	4	3:9	-6	6
16	Vision	7	1	3	3	8:10	-2	6
17	Debibi United	6	1	1	4	6:9	-3	4
18	Dreams	6	0	2	4	5:10	-5	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.62X28%3.25217%5.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.57 +4.0%X3.54 → 3.32 -6.2%26.24 → 5.82 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.46	1.45	9.6%
Betano	2.32	1.50	9.8%
Best of all books	2.46	1.57	4.3%
Average	2.39	1.50	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.30	1.53	8.8%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.50	10.0%
Best of all books	2.31	1.53	8.6%
Average	2.31	1.52	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Karela 45%Draw 45%Dreams 10%

The statistical model rated Karela at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dreams at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.31, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Karela win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Karela are 9th (9 pts, 7-7 goals), Dreams 18th (2 pts, 5-10).

Over their last five matches, Karela averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Dreams averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Karela or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.32	5.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.18	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.31	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	1.98	6.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	6.43	3.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.98
1.5	1.45	2.41
2.5	2.39	1.50
3.5	4.55	1.13
4.5	11.0	1.04
5.5	29.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.29	3.07
1.75	1.60	2.13
2	1.82	1.84
2.25	2.12	1.61
2.75	2.87	1.33
3	3.82	1.19
3.25	4.20	1.15
4	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.91	1.32
-1.25	2.54	1.42
-1	2.10	1.65
-0.75	1.86	1.83
-0.5	1.63	2.07
-0.25	1.39	2.60

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.95	1.07
-2	5.15	1.10
-1.75	3.58	1.21
0	1.19	3.84
+0.25	1.13	4.50

Latest Premier League results

18 Oct	Asante Kotoko 2-1 Young Apostles
18 Oct	Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Bechem United
11 Oct	Bibiani Gold Stars 2-0 Basake Holy Stars
11 Oct	Medeama 3-1 Heart of Lions
11 Oct	Young Apostles 1-0 Aduana Stars
10 Oct	Swedru All Blacks 1-0 Asante Kotoko