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Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle• Segunda División, Chile

#91.0:2.01-1FT01/11 · Santiago de Chile1.0:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32BTNX3.55PIN22.80B365Margin at best7.0%Books9Markets46Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.293.502.808.0%
Betano2.323.402.758.9%
BetVictor2.303.202.889.5%
Pinnacle2.283.552.659.8%
1xBet2.293.182.8010.8%
Betfair2.203.302.8011.5%
Marathonbet2.273.182.7312.1%
Bet3652.253.102.8012.4%
William Hill2.203.252.7013.3%
Best of all books2.323.552.886.0%
Average2.273.302.7710.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Last 10#9Table position#141.08Points per game0.505Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5044Defence rating5636Form rating6485H2H rating1547Goals model5356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 19:11 UTC

Real San Joaquín

1W 4D 5L · goals 11:21 · per match 1.1 for, 2.1 against

1 NovHProvincial Ovalle1-1D
11 OctASantiago Morning2-1W
3 OctHLota Schwager0-2L
27 SepAColina0-1L
6 SepAGeneral Velásquez1-1D
31 AugHDeportes Rengo2-5L
22 AugAProvincial Ovalle1-1D
10 AugHSantiago Morning2-2D
12 JulAColina1-5L
5 JulHTrasandino1-2L

Provincial Ovalle

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

24 OctHGeneral Velásquez1-2L
3 OctHDeportes Rengo1-5L
26 SepALota Schwager2-1W
7 SepHColina1-0W
30 AugASantiago Morning0-0D
22 AugHReal San Joaquín1-1D
16 AugAGeneral Velásquez0-1L
4 JulHColina2-1W
26 JunASantiago City2-3L
21 JunHReal San Joaquín1-6L

Head to head

3Real San Joaquín wins
2draws
2Provincial Ovalle wins

7 meetings · goals 12:10 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for Real San Joaquín

22 Aug 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle1-1Real San Joaquín
21 Jun 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle1-6Real San Joaquín
19 Apr 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónReal San Joaquín3-2Provincial Ovalle
8 Nov 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónReal San Joaquín1-0Provincial Ovalle
30 May 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle0-0Real San Joaquín
12 Oct 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónReal San Joaquín1-2Provincial Ovalle
19 May 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle4-0Real San Joaquín

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 6 Nov 19:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Real San Joaquín sit 9th with 13 points from 12 games, while Provincial Ovalle are 14th with 6 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Provincial Osorno1266015:5+1024
2Municipal Salamanca1257011:5+622
3Colchagua1264215:11+422
4Concón National1263316:10+621
5Santiago City1255218:19-120
6Linares Unido1261516:12+419
7Trasandino1253419:17+218
8General Velásquez1251611:15-416
9Real San Joaquín1234516:17-113
10Lota Schwager1234511:13-213
11Colina1233615:14+112
12Deportes Rengo1232710:17-711
13Santiago Morning122469:14-510
14Provincial Ovalle1213811:24-136

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.27X28%3.29232%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 13:011 Nov 00:501 2.26X 3.332 2.75
11.95 → 2.26 +15.9%X3.30 → 3.33 +0.9%23.30 → 2.75 -16.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Pinnacle2.011.747.2%
Betano1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.941.749.0%
BetVictor1.941.749.0%
Marathonbet1.941.749.0%
Best of all books2.011.805.3%
Average1.961.767.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Betano1.781.918.5%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
William Hill1.751.919.5%
Marathonbet1.741.919.8%
Best of all books1.781.957.5%
Average1.751.929.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real San Joaquín 45%Draw 45%Provincial Ovalle 10%

The statistical model rated Real San Joaquín at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Provincial Ovalle at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.29 | 2.79, which imply roughly 44.1% for a Real San Joaquín win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Real San Joaquín are 9th (13 pts, 16-17 goals), Provincial Ovalle 14th (6 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, Real San Joaquín averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Provincial Ovalle averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real San Joaquín or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.273.302.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.531.27

Draw no bet

12
1.692.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.92

1st half

1X2
2.932.083.42

2nd half

1X2
2.652.353.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7315.030.3
HT X5.605.006.47
HT 226.715.04.52

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.908.402.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.82
1.51.303.09
2.51.961.76
3.53.371.26
4.56.001.09
5.515.01.02
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.10
1.251.164.10
1.751.392.69
21.492.36
2.251.731.96
2.752.221.56
32.721.37
3.253.041.29
3.753.991.19
45.651.08
4.255.801.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.721.39
-0.52.211.62
-0.251.991.72
01.692.03
+0.251.502.37
+0.51.422.67
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.051.01
-28.701.01
-1.755.751.14
-1.54.471.15
-1.254.071.18
-13.571.23
+0.751.273.34
+11.144.75
+1.251.155.08
+1.51.105.72
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.672.10
91.951.85

Next Segunda División matches

7 NovDeportes Rengo – Real San Joaquín
7 NovLinares Unido – Concón National

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

1 NovColchagua 0-1 Trasandino
31 OctConcón National 0-0 Municipal Salamanca
31 OctGeneral Velásquez 1-0 Deportes Rengo
31 OctSantiago Morning 1-4 Lota Schwager
30 OctSantiago City 0-1 Linares Unido
25 OctMunicipal Salamanca 2-2 Santiago City