Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager• Segunda División, Chile

#130.8:1.01-4FT31/10 · Estadio Municipal de La Pintana, Santiago de Chile2.0:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55BTNX3.30B36522.70B365Margin at best6.6%Books9Markets41Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 16:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.15	2.70	8.0%
Betano	2.55	3.05	2.70	9.0%
BetVictor	2.50	3.10	2.70	9.3%
Pinnacle	2.49	3.15	2.63	9.9%
Bet365	2.45	3.30	2.55	10.3%
1xBet	2.44	3.02	2.62	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.02	2.62	12.3%
Betfair	2.40	3.00	2.63	13.0%
William Hill	2.45	2.90	2.62	13.5%
Best of all books	2.55	3.30	2.70	6.6%
Average	2.47	3.08	2.64	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Santiago MorningLota Schwager

Last 10#13Table position#100.83Points per game1.084Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7144Defence rating5629Form rating7150H2H rating5030Goals model7039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 21:30 UTC

Santiago Morning

1W 6D 3L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Colina	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Real San Joaquín	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	General Velásquez	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportes Rengo	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Provincial Ovalle	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Lota Schwager	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Colina	2-1	W
10 Aug	A	Real San Joaquín	2-2	D
4 Jul	A	Deportes Rengo	1-3	L
28 Jun	H	Linares Unido	0-1	L

Lota Schwager

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	H	Deportes Rengo	5-1	W
11 Oct	A	General Velásquez	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Real San Joaquín	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Provincial Ovalle	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Colina	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Santiago Morning	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Deportes Rengo	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	General Velásquez	3-1	W
12 Jul	H	Provincial Osorno	2-2	D
5 Jul	A	Colchagua	2-0	W

Head to head

0Santiago Morning wins

3draws

0Lota Schwager wins

3 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 3: 0W 3D 0L for Santiago Morning

22 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Lota Schwager1-1Santiago Morning
21 Jun 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Lota Schwager1-1Santiago Morning
19 Apr 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Santiago Morning1-1Lota Schwager

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 6 Nov 19:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Santiago Morning sit 13th with 10 points from 12 games, while Lota Schwager are 10th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.47X29%3.08234%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.61	7.6%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
BetVictor	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.17	1.61	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Average	1.86	1.81	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Santiago Morning 10%Draw 45%Lota Schwager 45%

The statistical model rated Santiago Morning at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lota Schwager at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.08 | 2.64, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Santiago Morning are 13th (10 pts, 9-14 goals), Lota Schwager 10th (13 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, Santiago Morning averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lota Schwager averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lota Schwager and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.08	2.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.45	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
3.15	1.99	3.36

2nd half

1	X	2
2.86	2.24	3.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.13	15.7	32.0
HT X	5.83	4.48	6.03
HT 2	31.3	16.0	4.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	7.35	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.42
1.5	1.37	2.74
2.5	2.17	1.61
3.5	3.93	1.19
4.5	7.45	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.05
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.48	2.40
2	1.64	2.08
2.25	1.89	1.78
2.75	2.51	1.44
3	3.18	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.90	1.14
4	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.94	1.32
-0.5	2.47	1.47
-0.25	2.10	1.65
0	1.80	1.91
+0.25	1.55	2.24
+0.5	1.42	2.60

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.01
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	4.65	1.12
-1	4.15	1.16
+0.75	1.28	3.15
+1	1.12	4.65
+1.25	1.14	4.90
+1.5	1.08	5.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.81	1.97

Next Segunda División matches

7 Nov	Deportes Rengo – Real San Joaquín
7 Nov	Linares Unido – Concón National

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

1 Nov	Real San Joaquín 1-1 Provincial Ovalle
1 Nov	Colchagua 0-1 Trasandino
31 Oct	Concón National 0-0 Municipal Salamanca
31 Oct	General Velásquez 1-0 Deportes Rengo
30 Oct	Santiago City 0-1 Linares Unido
25 Oct	Municipal Salamanca 2-2 Santiago City