Alianza vs Inter• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#61.6:1.62-2FT11/10 · San Salvador1.0:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50DAFX3.25B36523.08PINMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets42Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 21:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.39	3.05	3.00	8.0%
Betano	2.32	3.20	2.90	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.30	3.01	3.08	9.2%
1xBet	2.28	3.02	2.95	10.9%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.80	11.5%
Bet365	2.35	3.25	2.62	11.5%
William Hill	2.38	3.00	2.75	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.02	2.88	12.1%
BetVictor	2.10	2.88	2.63	20.4%
Best of all books	2.39	3.25	3.08	5.1%
Average	2.30	3.06	2.85	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlianzaInter

Last 10#6Table position#51.33Points per game1.446Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.262Attack rating3843Defence rating5760Form rating4029H2H rating7148Goals model5244Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Alianza

2W 6D 2L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Inter	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	FAS	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Firpo	2-2	D
1 Oct	H	Platense	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Inca Aruba	1-1	D
24 Sep	H	Fuerte San Francisco	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Municipal Limeño	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	CD Motagua	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	CD Motagua	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	Águila	2-2	D

Inter

3W 5D 2L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Alianza	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Fuerte San Francisco	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Águila	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Atletico Balboa	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Isidro Metapán	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	FAS	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Cacahuatique	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Firpo	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Platense	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	Inca Aruba	4-1	W

Head to head

1Alianza wins

1draws

3Inter wins

5 meetings · goals 2:7 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Alianza

8 Aug 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Inter2-0Alianza
15 Mar 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Inter2-0Alianza
29 Jan 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza1-3Inter
22 Sep 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Inter0-1Alianza
20 Jul 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Alianza0-0Inter

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 18 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Alianza sit 6th with 20 points from 15 games, while Inter are 5th with 23 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	15	9	4	2	28:11	+17	31
2	FAS	14	9	3	2	25:12	+13	30
3	Isidro Metapán	14	8	2	4	20:15	+5	26
4	Águila	15	6	5	4	25:18	+7	23
5	Inter	16	5	8	3	22:16	+6	23
6	Alianza	15	4	8	3	22:21	+1	20
7	Municipal Limeño	16	6	2	8	23:23	0	20
8	Platense	15	5	4	6	19:20	-1	19
9	Inca Aruba	16	4	4	8	13:29	-16	16
10	Atletico Balboa	15	3	4	8	15:23	-8	13
11	Cacahuatique	16	2	6	8	15:26	-11	12
12	Fuerte San Francisco	15	2	6	7	11:24	-13	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X29%3.06232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.33 -6.4%X3.10 → 3.07 -1.0%22.52 → 2.81 +11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.76	6.3%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
BetVictor	1.76	1.58	20.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.76	4.4%
Average	1.99	1.70	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
BetVictor	1.60	1.75	19.6%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.73	1.90	10.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza 35%Draw 35%Inter 30%

The statistical model rated Alianza at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Inter at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.06 | 2.85, which imply roughly 43.5% for a Alianza win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Alianza are 6th (20 pts, 22-21 goals), Inter 5th (23 pts, 22-16).

Over their last five matches, Alianza averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Inter averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.30	3.06	2.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.51	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	1.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
2.92	2.01	3.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	8.30	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.13
1.5	1.29	3.00
2.5	1.99	1.70
3.5	3.32	1.23
4.5	6.20	1.06
5.5	13.1	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.36	2.63
2	1.47	2.30
2.25	1.71	1.90
2.75	2.19	1.52
3	2.76	1.37
3.25	3.05	1.28
3.75	4.02	1.17
4	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.60	1.36
-0.5	2.11	1.57
-0.25	1.91	1.74
0	1.64	2.05
+0.25	1.42	2.40
+0.5	1.33	2.64

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-1.75	5.19	1.10
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
-1	3.58	1.23
+0.75	1.24	3.45
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.11	4.87
+1.5	1.06	6.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.74	2.01
10	2.00	1.80

Next Primera Division matches

18 Oct

FAS – Platense

All Primera Division fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Division results

18 Oct	Isidro Metapán 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco
17 Oct	Cacahuatique 0-0 Alianza
17 Oct	Inter 1-2 Municipal Limeño
11 Oct	Águila 3-0 Isidro Metapán
11 Oct	Atletico Balboa 0-1 FAS
11 Oct	Municipal Limeño 2-3 Firpo