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Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha• Stars League, Qatar

#100.8:2.016:45Today · Al Gharafa Stadium , Doha1.8:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X4.16PIN23.33PINMargin at best4.1%Books6Markets82Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:34 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.914.223.375.7%
BetVictor1.873.803.2510.6%
1xBet1.923.803.1010.7%
Bet3652.004.002.7511.4%
William Hill1.853.803.2011.6%
Marathonbet1.903.803.0411.8%
Best of all books2.004.223.373.4%
Average1.913.903.1210.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
Last 10#10Table position#70.83Points per game1.174Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.831Attack rating6947Defence rating5322Form rating7860H2H rating4083Goals model1749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 02:30 UTC

Al-Gharafa

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

18 OctHAl-Rayyan SC0-0D
12 OctHEsteghlal FC1-2L
8 OctAAl Wakrah2-3L
1 OctHAl Mesaimeer4-2W
15 SepAAl-Hilal Saudi FC1-2L
11 SepHLusail City0-0D
5 SepAAl Sadd1-4L
1 SepAAl Sadd1-2L
27 AugHAl Shamal1-3L
21 AugHAl Shahaniya2-1W

Al Ahli Doha

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against

16 OctHAl Wakrah0-3L
10 OctHAl-Sailiya5-0W
29 SepAAl-Markhiya1-1D
20 SepHAl Shahaniya0-1L
11 SepAAl-Rayyan SC0-3L
3 SepHQatar SC1-0W
28 AugHLusail City3-3D
22 AugAAl Sadd1-3L
3 AugAAl-Hilal Saudi FC3-3D
30 JulAAl Shabab0-3L

Head to head

16Al-Gharafa wins
7draws
8Al Ahli Doha wins

31 meetings · goals 60:42 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Al-Gharafa

18 Mar 2026Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl-Gharafa1-4Al Ahli Doha
25 Oct 2025Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl Ahli Doha1-3Al-Gharafa
22 Jan 2025Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl-Gharafa2-0Al Ahli Doha
18 Aug 2024Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl Ahli Doha1-0Al-Gharafa
8 May 2024Emir CupEmir CupAl-Gharafa4-3Al Ahli Doha
24 Feb 2024Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl-Gharafa1-2Al Ahli Doha
1 Sep 2023Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl Ahli Doha1-4Al-Gharafa
3 Mar 2023Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl-Gharafa1-1Al Ahli Doha
31 Aug 2022Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl Ahli Doha3-3Al-Gharafa
7 Jan 2022Stars LeagueStars LeagueAl-Gharafa0-0Al Ahli Doha

Stars League tableStars Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Stars League table, Al-Gharafa sit 10th with 5 points from 6 games, while Al Ahli Doha are 7th with 7 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al-Rayyan SC642010:2+814
2Al Sadd640223:13+1012
3Al-Arabi SC633014:5+912
4Al-Duhail SC633012:5+712
5Al Shamal623110:1009
6Al Wakrah622210:11-18
7Al Ahli Doha621310:12-27
8Al Shahaniya62138:15-77
9Lusail City61327:5+26
10Al-Gharafa61236:11-55
11Qatar SC60336:14-83
12Al-Sailiya60157:20-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.91X23%3.91229%3.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 02:3021 Oct 17:301 1.91X 3.912 3.17
12.12 → 1.91 -9.9%X3.77 → 3.91 +3.7%22.77 → 3.17 +14.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.432.766.2%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.442.765.7%
Average1.412.668.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
1xBet1.392.738.6%
Marathonbet1.392.679.4%
Best of all books1.442.755.8%
Average1.402.698.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Gharafa 35%Draw 35%Al Ahli Doha 30%

The statistical model rates Al-Gharafa at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Al Ahli Doha at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.91 | 3.17, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Al-Gharafa win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Stars League table: Al-Gharafa are 10th (5 pts, 6-11 goals), Al Ahli Doha 7th (7 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Al-Gharafa averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Al Ahli Doha averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.913.903.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.741.19

Draw no bet

12
1.492.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.402.69

1st half

1X2
2.412.493.51

2nd half

1X2
2.252.813.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9314.226.0
HT X5.636.937.77
HT 220.314.24.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6921.52.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.105.65
2.51.412.66
3.52.071.68
4.53.421.27
5.56.251.09
6.59.001.04
7.513.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.50
1.751.105.05
21.134.60
2.251.263.20
2.751.502.38
31.632.11
3.251.851.85
3.752.311.53
42.741.35
4.253.041.29
4.754.051.17
55.351.09
5.255.701.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.611.43
-0.752.151.62
-0.51.911.86
-0.251.692.05
01.492.46
+0.251.412.69
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.501.04
-37.201.05
-2.56.321.08
-2.255.751.14
-25.571.10
-1.754.001.19
-1.53.291.29
-1.252.911.36
+0.51.343.22
+0.751.243.68
+11.125.27
+1.251.105.62
+1.51.095.97
+1.751.057.47
+21.028.50
+2.51.019.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.03
7.51.263.21
8.51.532.31
9.51.921.81
10.52.421.48
11.53.281.25
12.54.741.10
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.80
71.124.56
7.251.193.72
7.751.293.04
81.332.87
8.251.432.54
8.751.592.19
91.692.07
9.251.781.92
9.752.011.72
102.171.62
10.252.281.54
10.752.641.40
112.961.31
11.253.111.28
11.753.701.19
124.361.13
12.254.561.12
12.755.581.06
136.921.02

Next Stars League matches

22 OctAl Shahaniya – Al Sadd
23 OctAl Shamal – Qatar SC
23 OctAl-Sailiya – Al-Rayyan SC

All Stars League fixtures and the table

Latest Stars League results

18 OctAl-Gharafa 0-0 Al-Rayyan SC
18 OctAl Sadd 2-3 Al-Duhail SC
17 OctLusail City 0-0 Al Shamal
17 OctAl-Sailiya 2-2 Qatar SC
16 OctAl Shahaniya 0-6 Al-Arabi SC
16 OctAl Ahli Doha 0-3 Al Wakrah