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Lusail City vs Al Shamal• Stars League, Qatar

#91.4:1.00-0FTToday · Lusail Stadium, Lusail2.0:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.68PINX3.99PIN21.88PINMargin at best5.4%Books6Markets86Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.683.991.885.4%
Bet3653.603.751.8010.0%
BetVictor3.903.901.7010.1%
1xBet3.483.681.8310.6%
Marathonbet3.403.681.8111.8%
William Hill3.403.501.8512.0%
Best of all books3.903.991.883.9%
Average3.583.751.819.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lusail CityAl Shamal
Last 10#9Table position#51.00Points per game1.508Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.041Attack rating5967Defence rating3338Form rating6220H2H rating80100Goals model039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Lusail City

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

10 OctAAl Shahaniya0-1L
29 SepAAl Waab1-1D
21 SepHAl-Markhiya1-0W
11 SepAAl-Gharafa0-0D
4 SepHAl Wakrah4-0W
28 AugAAl Ahli Doha3-3D
20 AugAAl-Rayyan SC0-1L
24 JulADen Bosch1-2L
18 JulADordrecht0-5L
30 AprHAl Bidda SC1-2L

Al Shamal

4W 5D 1L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

12 OctATractor Sazi0-0D
8 OctHAl-Duhail SC0-4L
1 OctHMuaither SC2-1W
22 SepAAl Bidda SC4-0W
14 SepHAl-Ittihad FC1-1D
10 SepHAl Wakrah1-1D
4 SepHAl Shahaniya4-2W
1 SepHAl-Rayyan SC3-3D
27 AugAAl-Gharafa3-1W
21 AugAAl-Arabi SC2-2D

Head to head

1Lusail City wins
0draws
4Al Shamal wins

5 meetings · goals 4:11 · last 5: 1W 0D 4L for Lusail City

20 Feb 2021Second DivisionSecond DivisionLusail City0-1Al Shamal
1 Jan 2021Second DivisionSecond DivisionAl Shamal0-1Lusail City
29 Oct 2020Second DivisionSecond DivisionLusail City1-5Al Shamal
22 Jan 2020Second DivisionSecond DivisionLusail City1-2Al Shamal
24 Oct 2019Second DivisionSecond DivisionAl Shamal3-1Lusail City

Stars League tableStars Leagueupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Stars League table, Lusail City sit 9th with 6 points from 6 games, while Al Shamal are 5th with 9 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al-Rayyan SC541010:2+813
2Al Sadd540121:10+1112
3Al-Arabi SC633014:5+912
4Al-Duhail SC52309:3+69
5Al Shamal623110:1009
6Al Wakrah622210:11-18
7Al Ahli Doha621310:12-27
8Al Shahaniya62138:15-77
9Lusail City61327:5+26
10Al-Gharafa51136:11-54
11Qatar SC60336:14-83
12Al-Sailiya60157:20-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.48X24%3.73249%1.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3017 Oct 14:511 3.49X 3.732 1.83
13.49 → 3.49 0.0%X3.73 → 3.73 0.0%21.84 → 1.83 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.502.605.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
BetVictor1.452.607.4%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.462.528.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.442.607.9%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.432.598.5%
Marathonbet1.432.549.3%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.452.568.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lusail City 10%Draw 45%Al Shamal 45%

The statistical model rated Lusail City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Shamal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.48 | 3.73 | 1.84, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Stars League table: Lusail City are 9th (6 pts, 7-5 goals), Al Shamal 5th (9 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Lusail City averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Al Shamal averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al Shamal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lusail City

4-1-4-1

Coach: Emanuel Mesquita

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Shakouri

Defence

  • 2A. Pilali
  • 4F. Russo
  • 27M. Aiash
  • 66A. Nemati

Midfield

  • 6O. Ebrahimi
  • 7F. Zavoshi
  • 20Naif Al Hadhrami
  • 8Khaled Mohammed
  • 11H. Firouzi

Attack

  • 19Rodrigo
Substitutes (12)
  • 77Mohamed Al Ashwal
  • 22T. Geralnik
  • 70Mohamed Khaled
  • 10S. Jjbril
  • 30H. Kamal
  • 3Ali Malolah
  • 15Abdulhadi Kasr Al-Oun
  • 96Amir Hassan
  • 5A. Al Karatly
  • 14K. Mansour
  • 21A. Ndiaye
  • 45Muhammad Taher Khan

Al Shamal

4-2-3-1

Coach: David Prats

Goalkeeper

  • 95B. Seck

Defence

  • 6Musab Khoder
  • 37Ahmed Suhail
  • 4Pablo Marí
  • 2Moufak Awad

Midfield

  • 28N. Benaïssa
  • 70Tiago Silva
  • 10Álex Collado
  • 8Ali Asad
  • 22W. Saïd

Attack

  • 5M. Ben Romdhane
Substitutes (12)
  • 17Abdullah Abdulsalam
  • 47Fahad Waad
  • 3Abdelkarim Hassan
  • 67Saoud Al Khater
  • 78Ahmad Al Saeed
  • 14Omar Ali
  • 16F. Bais
  • 26R. Mahrez
  • 45Abdullah El Rady
  • 24J. Murillo
  • 27Ahmed Sayyar
  • 23Michel Termanini

Match Statistics

Lusail CityAl Shamal
0.67Expected Goals0.65
215Passes accurate427
5Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks4
3Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal5
1Offsides2
283Total passes494
9Total Shots9
4Yellow Cards2
3Corner Kicks9
4Fouls9
0Red Cards0
37%Ball Possession63%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.583.751.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.841.231.20

Draw no bet

12
2.771.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.56

1st half

1X2
3.862.442.33

2nd half

1X2
3.712.802.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.2715.321.0
HT X9.276.704.95
HT 231.314.32.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2618.41.62

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.0
1.51.125.29
2.51.462.52
3.52.171.62
4.53.711.23
5.56.891.07
6.510.01.03
7.515.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.0
1.751.124.80
21.144.30
2.251.283.05
2.751.562.24
31.711.99
3.251.941.77
3.752.461.47
42.971.30
4.253.281.25
4.754.451.14
56.001.06
5.256.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.881.39
+0.252.321.55
+0.51.991.80
+0.751.781.96
+11.492.43
+1.251.442.65
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.781.01
-1.57.131.05
-1.256.771.06
-16.281.08
-0.754.871.14
-0.54.151.23
-0.253.341.30
+1.51.352.98
+1.751.253.51
+21.154.72
+2.251.125.16
+2.51.115.57
+2.751.145.75
+31.0511.0
+3.51.048.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.13
7.51.263.20
8.51.532.29
9.51.891.81
10.52.431.47
11.53.281.25
12.54.651.11
13.57.181.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.89
71.114.65
7.251.183.78
7.751.283.08
81.322.91
8.251.422.57
8.751.582.21
91.692.07
9.251.771.94
9.751.981.73
102.171.62
10.252.261.55
10.752.601.41
112.911.32
11.253.061.29
11.753.641.20
124.281.14
12.254.461.12
12.755.461.07
136.741.02
13.256.961.02