Gainsborough Trinity vs Lancaster City• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#91.6:1.61-3LiveToday0.4:1.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.92PIN24.40BFRMargin at best5.4%Books9Markets68Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.74	3.85	4.10	7.8%
Betano	1.75	3.85	3.90	8.8%
Betfair	1.65	3.80	4.40	9.6%
Pinnacle	1.71	3.92	3.86	9.9%
1xBet	1.67	3.72	4.15	10.9%
Bet365	1.70	3.75	3.80	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.72	4.05	12.2%
William Hill	1.70	3.50	4.00	12.4%
BetVictor	1.60	3.25	3.75	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	3.92	4.40	5.4%
Average	1.69	3.71	4.00	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gainsborough TrinityLancaster City

Last 10#9Table position#141.71Points per game1.177Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 51.080Attack rating2038Defence rating6264Form rating3629H2H rating7159Goals model4151Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 03:00 UTC

Gainsborough Trinity

5W 2D 3L · goals 24:18 · per match 2.4 for, 1.8 against

7 Nov	A	Rylands	1-3	L
31 Oct	H	Bamber Bridge	1-1	D
27 Oct	H	Curzon Ashton	0-3	L
24 Oct	A	Warrington Town	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Hyde United	4-0	W
13 Oct	H	Ilkeston Town	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	AFC Emley	2-1	W
6 Oct	A	Whitby Town	6-2	W
3 Oct	H	Anstey Nomads	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Bury	3-3	D

Lancaster City

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

7 Nov	H	Cleethorpes Town	0-2	L
31 Oct	A	United of Manchester	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	AFC Emley	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Leek Town	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Stockton Town	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	Avro	3-5	L
3 Oct	H	Ilkeston Town	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Whitby Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Cleethorpes Town	1-5	L

Head to head

6Gainsborough Trinity wins

1draws

7Lancaster City wins

14 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Gainsborough Trinity

11 Apr 2026Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Lancaster City3-0Gainsborough Trinity
23 Aug 2025Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Gainsborough Trinity0-0Lancaster City
14 Dec 2024Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Lancaster City1-2Gainsborough Trinity
7 Sep 2024Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Gainsborough Trinity1-2Lancaster City
6 Apr 2024Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Lancaster City2-1Gainsborough Trinity
4 Nov 2023Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Gainsborough Trinity1-0Lancaster City
8 Apr 2023Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Lancaster City1-2Gainsborough Trinity
29 Oct 2022FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Lancaster City3-2Gainsborough Trinity
27 Aug 2022Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Gainsborough Trinity0-2Lancaster City
26 Feb 2022Non League Premier - Northern	Non League Premier - Northern	Gainsborough Trinity3-1Lancaster City

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 14 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Gainsborough Trinity sit 9th with 29 points from 17 games, while Lancaster City are 14th with 21 points from 18.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	18	11	5	2	41:19	+22	38
2	Curzon Ashton	18	12	1	5	32:18	+14	37
3	Cleethorpes Town	17	11	3	3	34:10	+24	36
4	Guiseley AFC	16	10	3	3	34:16	+18	33
5	Avro	18	10	2	6	42:34	+8	32
6	Rylands	17	9	3	5	31:24	+7	30
7	Workington	18	9	3	6	31:27	+4	30
8	Bury	16	9	2	5	32:18	+14	29
9	Gainsborough Trinity	17	9	2	6	33:24	+9	29
10	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31:24	+7	29
11	Alfreton Town	18	7	2	9	23:25	-2	23
12	AFC Emley	18	6	5	7	21:29	-8	23
13	Quorn	17	5	6	6	33:35	-2	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20:31	-11	21
15	Whitby Town	18	6	1	11	24:47	-23	19
16	Stockton Town	18	5	3	10	26:31	-5	18
17	Hyde United	17	5	3	9	19:32	-13	18
18	Ashton United	17	4	5	8	19:21	-2	17
19	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34:39	-5	17
20	Ilkeston Town	18	4	1	13	13:38	-25	13
21	United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20:27	-7	12
22	Bamber Bridge	18	2	5	11	18:42	-24	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X24%3.71222%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.69 +0.6%X3.83 → 3.75 -2.1%23.99 → 3.96 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.07	7.5%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
BetVictor	1.54	1.81	20.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.66	2.02	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.03	9.9%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Average	1.62	2.02	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gainsborough Trinity 35%Draw 35%Lancaster City 30%

The statistical model rates Gainsborough Trinity at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lancaster City at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.71 | 4.00, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Gainsborough Trinity win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Gainsborough Trinity are 9th (29 pts, 33-24 goals), Lancaster City 14th (21 pts, 20-31).

Over their last five matches, Gainsborough Trinity averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Lancaster City averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gainsborough Trinity or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.71	4.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.98	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	2.92

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.26	4.33

2nd half

1	X	2
2.05	2.59	4.08

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	15.2	34.0
HT X	4.70	6.25	9.29
HT 2	21.5	15.4	6.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	13.0	2.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.8
1.5	1.18	3.57
2.5	1.66	2.02
3.5	2.56	1.38
4.5	4.34	1.12
5.5	7.23	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.40
1.25	1.09	5.25
1.75	1.23	3.42
2	1.29	2.89
2.25	1.47	2.29
2.75	1.81	1.79
3	2.07	1.59
3.25	2.32	1.45
3.75	3.15	1.27
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.45	1.14
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.80	1.35
-1.25	2.43	1.41
-1	2.15	1.55
-0.75	1.84	1.78
-0.5	1.65	1.97
-0.25	1.46	2.30

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.60	1.01
-2.75	6.85	1.04
-2.5	5.35	1.09
-2.25	5.00	1.10
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.42	1.23
0	1.30	3.06
+0.25	1.22	3.48
+0.75	1.10	5.05
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.60
6.5	1.09	4.99
7.5	1.27	3.18
8.5	1.67	2.11
9.5	1.87	1.83
10.5	2.43	1.47
11.5	3.30	1.25
12.5	4.80	1.10

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	6.01
7	1.12	4.51
8	1.34	2.84
9	1.69	2.05
10	2.17	1.60
11	2.98	1.31
12	4.42	1.12
13	7.02	1.02

Latest Non League Premier - Northern results

11 Nov	Avro 3-1 Whitby Town
10 Nov	Workington 3-0 Alfreton Town
10 Nov	Quorn 2-3 Stockton Town
10 Nov	Rylands 1-1 Guiseley AFC
10 Nov	Curzon Ashton 1-0 Ilkeston Town
10 Nov	Redcar Athletic 4-0 Bamber Bridge