Jadran LP vs Segesta Sisak• First NL, Croatia

#51.8:1.613:00Tomorrow · NK Jadran, Luka Ploce2.2:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25BTNX3.45DAF22.90DAFMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets45Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.26	3.50	2.95	6.7%
Betano	2.25	3.35	2.87	9.1%
1xBet	2.22	3.30	2.82	10.8%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.80	11.5%
Bet365	2.20	3.25	2.80	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.30	2.75	12.1%
Best of all books	2.26	3.50	2.95	6.7%
Average	2.22	3.33	2.83	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Jadran LPSegesta Sisak

Last 10#5Table position#21.60Points per game1.705Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 51.245Attack rating5543Defence rating5744Form rating5675H2H rating2549Goals model5154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 06:01 UTC

Jadran LP

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

26 Oct	A	Mladost Ždralovi	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Dugopolje	4-4	D
9 Oct	A	Sesvete	1-1	D
2 Oct	A	Zrinjski	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Kustosija	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Vukovar	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Orijent 1919	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Dubrava Zagreb	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Hrvace	4-1	W

Segesta Sisak

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	H	Croatia Zmijavci	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	HNK Cibalia	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	Dinamo Zagreb U21	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Karlovac 1919	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Mladost Ždralovi	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Dugopolje	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	NK Osijek	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sesvete	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Kustosija	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Vukovar	0-2	L

Head to head

3Jadran LP wins

0draws

1Segesta Sisak wins

4 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Jadran LP

21 Feb 2026Second NL	Second NL	Segesta Sisak1-0Jadran LP
23 Aug 2025Second NL	Second NL	Jadran LP2-0Segesta Sisak
17 May 2025Second NL	Second NL	Jadran LP4-1Segesta Sisak
17 Nov 2024Second NL	Second NL	Segesta Sisak2-3Jadran LP

First NL table2 HNLupdated 29 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the First NL table, Jadran LP sit 5th with 16 points from 10 games, while Segesta Sisak are 2nd with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15:9	+6	19
2	Segesta Sisak	10	5	2	3	16:12	+4	17
3	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12:9	+3	17
4	Mladost Ždralovi	10	5	2	3	10:10	0	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17:13	+4	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10:10	0	16
7	Orijent 1919	10	4	3	3	10:9	+1	15
8	Opatija	10	4	2	4	12:12	0	14
9	Karlovac 1919	10	4	2	4	12:14	-2	14
10	Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8:8	0	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb U21	10	4	0	6	14:14	0	12
12	Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10:10	0	11
13	Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11:13	-2	11
14	Vukovar	10	3	2	5	14:19	-5	11
15	Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14:16	-2	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8:15	-7	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X27%3.33232%2.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.76	1.95	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.62	2.13	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jadran LP 45%Draw 45%Segesta Sisak 10%

The statistical model rates Jadran LP at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Segesta Sisak at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.33 | 2.82, which imply roughly 45% for a Jadran LP win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Jadran LP are 5th (16 pts, 17-13 goals), Segesta Sisak 2nd (17 pts, 16-12).

Over their last five matches, Jadran LP averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Segesta Sisak averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jadran LP or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.33	2.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.54	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	2.15	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.50	3.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.60	14.3	28.0
HT X	5.73	5.27	6.87
HT 2	24.7	14.7	4.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	12.5	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.3
1.5	1.23	3.66
2.5	1.76	1.95
3.5	2.88	1.35
4.5	5.15	1.11
5.5	8.90	1.04
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.80
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.53	2.26
2.75	1.92	1.72
3	2.26	1.51
3.25	2.57	1.40
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	4.90	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.65	1.41
-0.5	2.30	1.60
-0.25	1.95	1.75
0	1.66	2.08
+0.25	1.48	2.42
+0.5	1.40	2.85

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.03
-2	9.00	1.01
-1.75	5.75	1.14
-1.5	4.35	1.16
-1.25	3.95	1.19
-1	3.48	1.25
+0.75	1.24	3.46
+1	1.13	4.97
+1.25	1.14	5.30
+1.5	1.09	5.93

Next First NL matches

30 Oct	Dubrava Zagreb – Sesvete
30 Oct	Opatija – Mladost Ždralovi
30 Oct	HNK Cibalia – Karlovac 1919
31 Oct	Hrvace – Dugopolje
31 Oct	Bsk Bijelo Brdo – Kustosija
31 Oct	Orijent 1919 – Vukovar

All First NL fixtures and the table

Latest First NL results

26 Oct	Mladost Ždralovi 1-0 Jadran LP
24 Oct	Karlovac 1919 0-2 Orijent 1919
24 Oct	Segesta Sisak 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci
24 Oct	Dugopolje 1-2 Opatija
24 Oct	Vukovar 0-2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo
23 Oct	Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Kustosija