Skenderbeu Korce vs AF Elbasani• Superliga, Albania

#70.6:1.42-1FT17/101.4:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.25B365X3.25B36522.181XBMargin at best7.4%Books3Markets46Rating36 · 65Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.12	3.04	2.18	10.8%
Bet365	3.25	3.25	2.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	3.04	3.04	2.16	12.1%
Best of all books	3.25	3.25	2.18	7.4%
Average	3.14	3.11	2.11	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Skenderbeu KorceAF Elbasani

Last 10#7Table position#50.86Points per game1.005Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.430Attack rating7050Defence rating5025Form rating7536H2H rating6435Goals model6536Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Skenderbeu Korce

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Teuta Durrës	0-2	L
6 Oct	H	Naftëtari Kuçovë	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Vora	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	Tirana	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Dinamo Tirana	0-1	L
21 Aug	A	Vllaznia Shkodër	2-2	D
26 Jul	H	Partizani	0-2	L
17 Jul	H	Struga	0-1	L
4 May	H	Laci	0-1	L

AF Elbasani

3W 6D 1L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Vora	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Tirana	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Dinamo Tirana	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Vllaznia Shkodër	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Laci	1-1	D
16 Jul	A	Bate Borisov	0-0	D
7 Jul	H	Bate Borisov	1-1	D
1 Jul	H	Petrovac	2-1	W
31 May	A	Vllaznia Shkodër	2-1	W

Head to head

0Skenderbeu Korce wins

4draws

1AF Elbasani wins

5 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 5: 0W 4D 1L for Skenderbeu Korce

28 Mar 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	AF Elbasani1-1Skenderbeu Korce
6 Mar 2025Superliga	Superliga	AF Elbasani0-0Skenderbeu Korce
20 Dec 2024Superliga	Superliga	Skenderbeu Korce0-2AF Elbasani
26 Oct 2024Superliga	Superliga	AF Elbasani1-1Skenderbeu Korce
19 Aug 2024Superliga	Superliga	Skenderbeu Korce1-1AF Elbasani

Superliga tableKategoria Superioreupdated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Superliga table, Skenderbeu Korce sit 7th with 6 points from 7 games, while AF Elbasani are 5th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Teuta Durrës	7	6	1	0	14:2	+12	19
2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15
3	Dinamo Tirana	7	4	0	3	10:8	+2	12
4	Tirana	7	3	2	2	12:10	+2	11
5	AF Elbasani	7	1	4	2	9:10	-1	7
6	Laci	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
7	Skenderbeu Korce	7	1	3	3	7:10	-3	6
8	Vllaznia Shkodër	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
9	Vora	6	1	2	3	4:11	-7	5
10	Partizani	6	1	1	4	8:13	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.14X29%3.11243%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.24 → 3.14 -3.1%X3.24 → 3.11 -4.0%22.02 → 2.11 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.28	1.54	8.8%
1xBet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.22	1.56	9.1%
Best of all books	2.28	1.65	4.5%
Average	2.23	1.58	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Average	1.92	1.74	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Skenderbeu Korce 10%Draw 45%AF Elbasani 45%

The statistical model rated Skenderbeu Korce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AF Elbasani at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.14 | 3.11 | 2.11, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Superliga table: Skenderbeu Korce are 7th (6 pts, 7-10 goals), AF Elbasani 5th (7 pts, 9-10).

Over their last five matches, Skenderbeu Korce averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; AF Elbasani averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AF Elbasani.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.14	3.11	2.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.57	1.25	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.50	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
3.85	1.98	2.87

2nd half

1	X	2
3.57	2.24	2.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.33	15.0	28.7
HT X	7.10	4.57	5.10
HT 2	35.3	15.5	3.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.36	7.23	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	6.95
1.5	1.38	2.63
2.5	2.23	1.58
3.5	4.05	1.16
4.5	7.90	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.40
1	1.07	5.75
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.49	2.31
2	1.67	2.00
2.25	1.96	1.72
2.75	2.61	1.39
3	3.35	1.24
3.25	3.72	1.20
3.75	5.10	1.10
4	7.30	1.03
4.25	7.57	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.01	1.31
-0.25	2.59	1.40
0	2.19	1.57
+0.25	1.85	1.84
+0.5	1.57	2.22
+0.75	1.40	2.58

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.75	1.01
-1.5	6.75	1.04
-1.25	6.30	1.06
-1	5.80	1.07
-0.75	3.80	1.19
+1	1.22	3.49
+1.25	1.18	3.92
+1.5	1.14	4.40
+1.75	1.08	5.70
+2	1.01	8.70
+2.25	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.03	8.80

Next Superliga matches

18 Oct

Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Vllaznia Shkodër

All Superliga fixtures and the table

Latest Superliga results

18 Oct	Vora 4-1 Partizani
17 Oct	Tirana 1-0 Laci
16 Oct	Dinamo Tirana 0-2 Teuta Durrës
11 Oct	Partizani 1-3 Tirana
11 Oct	Vllaznia Shkodër 1-0 Dinamo Tirana
11 Oct	Laci 0-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë