Tirana vs Laci• Superliga, Albania

#42.2:1.41-0FT17/10 · Arena Kombetare, Tirana1.2:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.811XBX3.30B36524.20B365Margin at best9.4%Books3Markets48Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.81	3.30	3.94	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.30	4.20	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.30	3.84	12.2%
Best of all books	1.81	3.30	4.20	9.4%
Average	1.78	3.30	3.99	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TiranaLaci

Last 10#4Table position#61.57Points per game1.008Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.865Attack rating3556Defence rating4457Form rating4338H2H rating6278Goals model2257Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Tirana

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Partizani	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	AF Elbasani	2-2	D
11 Sep	A	Skenderbeu Korce	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Vora	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Teuta Durrës	1-3	L
23 Aug	A	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0-3	L
10 May	A	AF Elbasani	3-1	W
6 May	H	Vllaznia Shkodër	1-0	W
2 May	A	Teuta Durrës	1-0	W
25 Apr	H	Partizani	2-1	W

Laci

5W 1D 4L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Këlcyra	8-2	W
19 Sep	A	Dinamo Tirana	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Vllaznia Shkodër	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Teuta Durrës	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Partizani	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	AF Elbasani	1-1	D
29 Jul	A	Vllaznia Shkodër	0-3	L
25 Jul	H	FK Kukesi	3-1	W
11 Jul	H	Vora	4-1	W

Head to head

19Tirana wins

11draws

13Laci wins

43 meetings · goals 52:43 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Tirana

6 Mar 2025Superliga	Superliga	Tirana4-1Laci
21 Dec 2024Superliga	Superliga	Laci3-1Tirana
26 Oct 2024Superliga	Superliga	Tirana1-1Laci
19 Aug 2024Superliga	Superliga	Laci0-0Tirana
4 May 2024Superliga	Superliga	Laci1-0Tirana
26 Feb 2024Superliga	Superliga	Tirana1-1Laci
10 Dec 2023Superliga	Superliga	Laci2-2Tirana
3 Oct 2023Superliga	Superliga	Tirana0-3Laci
21 May 2023Superliga	Superliga	Laci1-3Tirana
11 Mar 2023Superliga	Superliga	Tirana3-2Laci

Superliga tableKategoria Superioreupdated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Superliga table, Tirana sit 4th with 11 points from 7 games, while Laci are 6th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Teuta Durrës	7	6	1	0	14:2	+12	19
2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15
3	Dinamo Tirana	7	4	0	3	10:8	+2	12
4	Tirana	7	3	2	2	12:10	+2	11
5	AF Elbasani	7	1	4	2	9:10	-1	7
6	Laci	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
7	Skenderbeu Korce	7	1	3	3	7:10	-3	6
8	Vllaznia Shkodër	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
9	Vora	6	1	2	3	4:11	-7	5
10	Partizani	6	1	1	4	8:13	-5	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.80X28%3.25223%3.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.91 → 1.78 -6.8%X3.28 → 3.30 +0.6%23.55 → 3.99 +12.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.07	1.66	8.6%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.07	1.75	5.5%
Average	2.02	1.71	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Average	1.82	1.83	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tirana 45%Draw 45%Laci 10%

The statistical model rated Tirana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Laci at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.80 | 3.25 | 3.99, which imply roughly 55.6% for a Tirana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Superliga table: Tirana are 4th (11 pts, 12-10 goals), Laci 6th (7 pts, 7-11).

Over their last five matches, Tirana averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Laci averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tirana and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.78	3.30	3.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.80	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.06	4.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.38	4.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.68	16.4	41.0
HT X	4.48	5.07	9.07
HT 2	26.7	16.7	7.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	8.50	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.50
1.5	1.30	3.00
2.5	2.02	1.71
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.75	1.04

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.88
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.38	2.66
2	1.51	2.30
2.25	1.76	1.91
2.75	2.29	1.52
3	2.81	1.34
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.30	1.15
4	6.00	1.06
4.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.87	1.33
-1	2.52	1.42
-0.75	2.02	1.69
-0.5	1.80	1.97
-0.25	1.56	2.20
0	1.34	2.88

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.50	1.01
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2.25	6.60	1.05
-2	6.15	1.06
-1.75	4.25	1.15
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.25	3.33
+0.75	1.11	4.95
+1	1.02	8.00
+1.25	1.01	8.48

Next Superliga matches

18 Oct

Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Vllaznia Shkodër

All Superliga fixtures and the table

Latest Superliga results

18 Oct	Vora 4-1 Partizani
17 Oct	Skenderbeu Korce 2-1 AF Elbasani
16 Oct	Dinamo Tirana 0-2 Teuta Durrës
11 Oct	Partizani 1-3 Tirana
11 Oct	Vllaznia Shkodër 1-0 Dinamo Tirana
11 Oct	Laci 0-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë