Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton• National League - South, England

#160.6:0.41-3FT24/10 · Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead0.2:2.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65WHX4.02PIN24.64PINMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets87Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.66	4.00	4.60	7.0%
Pinnacle	1.64	3.97	4.61	7.9%
Betano	1.62	4.00	4.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.62	3.90	4.60	9.1%
William Hill	1.65	3.75	4.50	9.5%
Betfair	1.60	3.90	4.60	9.9%
1xBet	1.59	3.88	4.58	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.88	4.50	11.7%
Bet365	1.55	3.90	4.50	12.4%
Best of all books	1.66	4.00	4.61	6.9%
Average	1.61	3.91	4.56	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hemel Hempstead TownAFC Totton

Last 10#16Table position#191.08Points per game1.004Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 50.20.4Goals against · last 52.275Attack rating2585Defence rating15100Form rating050H2H rating5064Goals model3667Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:02 UTC

Hemel Hempstead Town

1W 5D 4L · goals 7:11 · per match 0.7 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	H	AFC Totton	1-3	L
17 Oct	A	Tonbridge Angels	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Dagenham & Redbridge	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Slough Town	2-0	W
22 Sep	A	Wingate & Finchley	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Wingate & Finchley	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Tonbridge Angels	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Ebbsfleet United	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Farnham Town	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Folkestone Invicta	0-2	L

AFC Totton

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	A	Hemel Hempstead Town	3-1	W
17 Oct	A	Folkestone Invicta	1-2	L
13 Oct	A	Ebbsfleet United	0-5	L
10 Oct	H	Walton & Hersham	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Dover	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Gloucester City	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Slough Town	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Weston-super-Mare	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Hampton & Richmond	4-1	W
31 Aug	A	Maidenhead	1-1	D

Head to head

1Hemel Hempstead Town wins

0draws

1AFC Totton wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Hemel Hempstead Town

14 Mar 2026National League - South	National League - South	Hemel Hempstead Town2-0AFC Totton
18 Oct 2025National League - South	National League - South	AFC Totton2-1Hemel Hempstead Town

National League - South tableNational League N/S: Southupdated 26 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the National League - South table, Hemel Hempstead Town sit 16th with 14 points from 13 games, while AFC Totton are 19th with 13 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23:14	+9	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26:6	+20	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21:11	+10	24
4	Dagenham & Redbridge	13	7	2	4	12:9	+3	23
5	Salisbury	12	6	4	2	21:9	+12	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25:14	+11	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24:14	+10	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26:18	+8	20
9	Farnham Town	12	6	2	4	23:16	+7	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20:14	+6	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19:18	+1	19
12	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15:15	0	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19:16	+3	17
15	Chelmsford City	11	2	9	0	17:11	+6	15
16	Hemel Hempstead Town	13	3	5	5	11:14	-3	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14
18	Maidenhead	13	3	4	6	13:18	-5	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12:24	-12	13
20	Chesham United	12	3	1	8	16:26	-10	10
21	Braintree	12	3	1	8	18:33	-15	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14:30	-16	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10:28	-18	8
24	Slough Town	13	1	1	11	13:34	-21	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.61X23%3.91220%4.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.60 -5.3%X3.59 → 3.90 +8.6%24.06 → 4.55 +12.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.62	2.24	6.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.24	4.5%
Average	1.62	2.16	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.14	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.64	2.12	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town 45%Draw 45%AFC Totton 10%

The statistical model rated Hemel Hempstead Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Totton at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.91 | 4.56, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Hemel Hempstead Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - South table: Hemel Hempstead Town are 16th (14 pts, 11-14 goals), AFC Totton 19th (13 pts, 12-24).

Over their last five matches, Hemel Hempstead Town averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; AFC Totton averaged 0.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Hemel Hempstead Town or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.91	4.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.15	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.36	4.74

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.71	4.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.38	15.8	40.8
HT X	4.49	6.25	10.2
HT 2	21.8	16.1	7.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	15.5	2.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.1
1.5	1.18	4.26
2.5	1.62	2.16
3.5	2.55	1.44
4.5	4.52	1.15
5.5	8.32	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.06	6.10
1.75	1.19	3.85
2	1.26	3.34
2.25	1.43	2.55
2.75	1.77	1.93
3	2.01	1.70
3.25	2.27	1.54
3.75	2.98	1.31
4	3.88	1.18
4.25	4.25	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.64	1.42
-1.25	2.36	1.52
-1	2.06	1.68
-0.75	1.78	1.93
-0.5	1.62	2.22
-0.25	1.43	2.58

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.20	1.02
-3	8.30	1.03
-2.75	6.63	1.07
-2.5	5.13	1.12
-2.25	4.70	1.14
-2	4.32	1.17
-1.75	3.17	1.29
0	1.26	3.47
+0.25	1.20	3.90
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.09	5.82
+1	1.04	7.90
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.14
7.5	1.19	3.75
8.5	1.40	2.61
9.5	1.75	1.96
10.5	2.14	1.60
11.5	2.82	1.34
12.5	3.90	1.17
13.5	5.80	1.05

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.05	5.88
7	1.06	5.62
7.25	1.12	4.46
7.75	1.21	3.58
8	1.23	3.38
8.25	1.32	2.92
8.75	1.45	2.48
9	1.51	2.34
9.25	1.62	2.14
9.75	1.81	1.90
10	1.92	1.79
10.25	2.03	1.70
10.75	2.30	1.53
11	2.53	1.44
11.25	2.66	1.39
11.75	3.11	1.28
12	3.56	1.21
12.25	3.73	1.19
12.75	4.49	1.12
13	5.40	1.07
13.25	5.60	1.06
13.75	5.87	1.05
14	7.25	1.01

Next National League - South matches

27 Oct	Maidenhead – Horsham
27 Oct	Dover – Chelmsford City
27 Oct	Chesham United – Farnham Town
27 Oct	Dorking Wanderers – Hemel Hempstead Town
27 Oct	Maidstone Utd – Ebbsfleet United
27 Oct	Tonbridge Angels – Folkestone Invicta

All National League - South fixtures and the table

Latest National League - South results

24 Oct	Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 Chesham United
24 Oct	Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Farnborough
24 Oct	Horsham 1-0 Walton & Hersham
24 Oct	Ebbsfleet United 4-0 Maidenhead
24 Oct	Farnham Town 6-0 Braintree
24 Oct	Hampton & Richmond 3-4 Truro City