Oxford City vs Merthyr Town• National League - North, England

#21.6:0.619:45Today · RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford0.8:1.4#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72DAFX4.00DAF24.33BVCMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets87Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.72	4.00	4.20	6.9%
Pinnacle	1.70	3.87	4.30	7.9%
BetVictor	1.67	3.80	4.33	9.3%
Betano	1.67	3.90	4.20	9.3%
Betfair	1.67	3.80	4.20	10.0%
William Hill	1.70	3.60	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.65	3.82	4.19	10.7%
Bet365	1.67	3.80	4.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.82	4.10	11.9%
Best of all books	1.72	4.00	4.33	6.2%
Average	1.68	3.82	4.19	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Oxford CityMerthyr Town

Last 10#2Table position#182.00Points per game1.1511Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3370Defence rating3073Form rating2720H2H rating8061Goals model3954Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 02:00 UTC

Oxford City

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:4 · per match 2.2 for, 0.4 against

24 Oct	A	Marine	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Torquay	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Hebburn Town	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	Enfield Town	6-1	W
26 Sep	H	Morecambe	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Dorchester Town	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Radcliffe	3-0	W
8 Sep	A	AFC Telford United	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Chorley	4-0	W
31 Aug	A	Worksop Town	1-0	W

Merthyr Town

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	H	Morecambe	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	King's Lynn Town	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Darlington 1883	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Marine	1-2	L
22 Sep	A	Truro City	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Truro City	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Scarborough Athletic	0-0	D
8 Sep	A	Chester	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Macclesfield	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Buxton	1-2	L

Head to head

0Oxford City wins

1draws

1Merthyr Town wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Oxford City

3 Apr 2026National League - North	National League - North	Merthyr Town1-1Oxford City
26 Dec 2025National League - North	National League - North	Oxford City1-3Merthyr Town

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National League - North table, Oxford City sit 2nd with 24 points from 12 games, while Merthyr Town are 18th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hereford	12	8	2	2	24:7	+17	26
2	Oxford City	12	7	3	2	22:8	+14	24
3	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18:11	+7	24
4	South Shields	12	7	2	3	21:18	+3	23
5	King's Lynn Town	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
6	Hednesford Town	13	6	3	4	23:19	+4	21
7	Chester	12	6	2	4	15:12	+3	20
8	Buxton	13	6	2	5	23:23	0	20
9	Bedford Town	12	6	1	5	16:16	0	19
10	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18:23	-5	19
11	Morecambe	12	5	2	5	18:12	+6	17
12	Spalding United	12	5	2	5	14:11	+3	17
13	Chorley	12	5	2	5	20:21	-1	17
14	Worksop Town	13	5	2	6	15:20	-5	17
15	Marine	12	5	1	6	14:13	+1	16
16	Harborough Town	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
17	Scarborough Athletic	13	4	3	6	19:18	+1	15
18	Merthyr Town	13	3	6	4	15:16	-1	15
19	Radcliffe	13	5	0	8	16:21	-5	15
20	Brackley Town	13	4	3	6	15:24	-9	15
21	AFC Telford United	13	3	4	6	13:20	-7	13
22	Darlington 1883	13	3	2	8	17:24	-7	11
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10
24	Spennymoor Town	12	1	4	7	12:26	-14	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X24%3.82222%4.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.68 0.0%X3.84 → 3.82 -0.5%24.10 → 4.19 +2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.21	6.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.15	10.6%
Best of all books	1.64	2.30	4.5%
Average	1.59	2.20	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.58	2.21	8.5%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.17	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.20	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oxford City 45%Draw 45%Merthyr Town 10%

The statistical model rates Oxford City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Merthyr Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.82 | 4.19, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Oxford City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Oxford City are 2nd (24 pts, 22-8 goals), Merthyr Town 18th (15 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Oxford City averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Merthyr Town averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Oxford City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.82	4.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.06	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.37	4.45

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.72	4.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.47	14.6	34.8
HT X	4.60	6.43	9.76
HT 2	20.4	14.9	7.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	15.4	2.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.16	4.38
2.5	1.59	2.20
3.5	2.44	1.48
4.5	4.30	1.17
5.5	7.62	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.18	3.84
2	1.26	3.38
2.25	1.42	2.56
2.75	1.74	1.96
3	1.95	1.74
3.25	2.19	1.57
3.75	2.78	1.36
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.86	1.18
4.75	5.15	1.10
5	6.95	1.04
5.25	6.70	1.05
5.75	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.40
-1.25	2.43	1.48
-1	2.13	1.63
-0.75	1.85	1.86
-0.5	1.67	2.11
-0.25	1.47	2.46

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.60	1.01
-2.75	6.60	1.11
-2.5	5.08	1.12
-2.25	4.68	1.14
-2	4.28	1.16
-1.75	3.23	1.28
0	1.30	3.19
+0.25	1.23	3.57
+0.5	1.22	4.15
+0.75	1.12	5.23
+1	1.03	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.40
+1.75	1.01	8.68

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.66
7.5	1.16	4.12
8.5	1.34	2.82
9.5	1.63	2.11
10.5	2.02	1.70
11.5	2.61	1.40
12.5	3.64	1.20
13.5	5.32	1.07

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.40
7	1.04	6.13
7.25	1.10	4.80
7.75	1.18	3.83
8	1.20	3.63
8.25	1.28	3.10
8.75	1.41	2.61
9	1.46	2.47
9.25	1.56	2.24
9.75	1.74	1.98
10	1.82	1.92
10.25	1.94	1.76
10.75	2.19	1.59
11	2.38	1.50
11.25	2.52	1.44
11.75	2.92	1.32
12	3.31	1.25
12.25	3.47	1.22
12.75	4.15	1.15
13	4.93	1.09
13.25	5.12	1.08
14	7.10	1.01

Next National League - North matches

27 Oct	Buxton – Harborough Town
27 Oct	Chester – Marine
27 Oct	Radcliffe – Chorley
27 Oct	Morecambe – Darlington 1883
27 Oct	Spalding United – Brackley Town
27 Oct	Spennymoor Town – South Shields

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

24 Oct	AFC Telford United 2-2 Hebburn Town
24 Oct	South Shields 3-1 Chester
24 Oct	Brackley Town 0-1 Radcliffe
24 Oct	Merthyr Town 1-3 Morecambe
24 Oct	Hednesford Town 2-0 Spalding United
24 Oct	Darlington 1883 3-0 Spennymoor Town