Hereford vs AFC Telford United• National League - North, England

#12.4:0.619:45Today · Edgar Street, Hereford1.0:2.0#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83DAFX3.98PIN24.04PINMargin at best4.5%Books9Markets83Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.83	3.95	3.70	7.0%
Pinnacle	1.72	3.98	4.04	8.0%
Betano	1.75	3.90	3.80	9.1%
BetVictor	1.73	3.80	4.00	9.1%
1xBet	1.75	3.74	3.76	10.5%
Betfair	1.70	3.90	3.80	10.8%
Bet365	1.80	3.70	3.50	11.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.60	3.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.74	3.68	11.7%
Best of all books	1.83	3.98	4.04	4.5%
Average	1.75	3.81	3.79	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HerefordAFC Telford United

Last 10#1Table position#212.17Points per game1.007Form pts · last 542.4Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 52.071Attack rating2977Defence rating2367Form rating3362H2H rating3881Goals model1967Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 02:00 UTC

Hereford

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against

24 Oct	A	Macclesfield	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Hednesford Town	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Bedford Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Stafford Rangers	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	South Shields	6-0	W
8 Sep	A	Harborough Town	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Spennymoor Town	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Southport	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Chester	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Worksop Town	3-0	W

AFC Telford United

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

24 Oct	H	Hebburn Town	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Darlington 1883	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Chorley	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	King's Lynn Town	0-5	L
22 Sep	A	Worksop Town	2-5	L
19 Sep	H	Worksop Town	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Harborough Town	0-0	D
8 Sep	H	Oxford City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Scarborough Athletic	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Bedford Town	0-1	L

Head to head

4Hereford wins

3draws

1AFC Telford United wins

8 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Hereford

10 Feb 2026National League - North	National League - North	AFC Telford United3-0Hereford
21 Oct 2025National League - North	National League - North	Hereford1-1AFC Telford United
11 Mar 2023National League - North	National League - North	Hereford0-0AFC Telford United
12 Nov 2022National League - North	National League - North	AFC Telford United0-1Hereford
15 Apr 2022National League - North	National League - North	Hereford1-0AFC Telford United
30 Aug 2021National League - North	National League - North	AFC Telford United0-0Hereford
13 Aug 2019National League - North	National League - North	Hereford1-0AFC Telford United
4 Nov 2017FA Cup	FA Cup	Hereford1-0AFC Telford United

National League - North tableNational League N/S: Northupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National League - North table, Hereford sit 1st with 26 points from 12 games, while AFC Telford United are 21st with 13 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hereford	12	8	2	2	24:7	+17	26
2	Oxford City	12	7	3	2	22:8	+14	24
3	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18:11	+7	24
4	South Shields	12	7	2	3	21:18	+3	23
5	King's Lynn Town	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
6	Hednesford Town	13	6	3	4	23:19	+4	21
7	Chester	12	6	2	4	15:12	+3	20
8	Buxton	13	6	2	5	23:23	0	20
9	Bedford Town	12	6	1	5	16:16	0	19
10	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18:23	-5	19
11	Morecambe	12	5	2	5	18:12	+6	17
12	Spalding United	12	5	2	5	14:11	+3	17
13	Chorley	12	5	2	5	20:21	-1	17
14	Worksop Town	13	5	2	6	15:20	-5	17
15	Marine	12	5	1	6	14:13	+1	16
16	Harborough Town	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
17	Scarborough Athletic	13	4	3	6	19:18	+1	15
18	Merthyr Town	13	3	6	4	15:16	-1	15
19	Radcliffe	13	5	0	8	16:21	-5	15
20	Brackley Town	13	4	3	6	15:24	-9	15
21	AFC Telford United	13	3	4	6	13:20	-7	13
22	Darlington 1883	13	3	2	8	17:24	-7	11
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10
24	Spennymoor Town	12	1	4	7	12:26	-14	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X24%3.81224%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.75 -2.8%X3.63 → 3.81 +5.0%23.68 → 3.79 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.38	7.0%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.57	2.22	8.7%
BetVictor	1.54	2.28	8.8%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Average	1.54	2.31	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.51	2.36	8.6%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.32	9.3%
Best of all books	1.62	2.40	3.4%
Average	1.53	2.33	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hereford 45%Draw 45%AFC Telford United 10%

The statistical model rates Hereford at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Telford United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.81 | 3.79, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Hereford win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - North table: Hereford are 1st (26 pts, 24-7 goals), AFC Telford United 21st (13 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, Hereford averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; AFC Telford United averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Hereford.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.81	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.93	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	2.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.39	4.05

2nd half

1	X	2
2.08	2.72	3.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.64	14.4	32.8
HT X	4.84	6.38	8.93
HT 2	20.3	14.6	6.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	16.1	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.15	4.62
2.5	1.54	2.31
3.5	2.33	1.53
4.5	4.02	1.19
5.5	7.15	1.06
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.22	3.64
2.25	1.37	2.77
2.75	1.65	2.09
3	1.85	1.84
3.25	2.06	1.66
3.75	2.64	1.40
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.51	1.22
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.30	1.06
5.25	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.90	1.36
-1.25	2.59	1.43
-1	2.28	1.55
-0.75	1.93	1.79
-0.5	1.74	2.03
-0.25	1.54	2.30

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.04
-3	9.50	1.01
-2.5	5.53	1.10
-2.25	5.20	1.12
-2	4.80	1.14
-1.75	3.51	1.24
0	1.36	2.92
+0.25	1.29	3.25
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.15	4.60
+1	1.07	6.70
+1.25	1.04	6.95
+1.5	1.03	7.30
+1.75	1.01	8.82

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.20
7.5	1.25	3.32
8.5	1.49	2.36
9.5	1.85	1.84
10.5	2.36	1.49
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.58	1.11
13.5	7.06	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.96
7	1.10	4.72
7.25	1.18	3.83
7.75	1.28	3.12
8	1.31	2.94
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.23
9	1.65	2.09
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.74
10	2.13	1.63
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.57	1.42
11	2.88	1.33
11.25	3.02	1.30
11.75	3.60	1.20
12	4.22	1.14
12.25	4.40	1.13
12.75	5.37	1.07
13	6.62	1.03
13.25	6.84	1.02

Next National League - North matches

27 Oct	Buxton – Harborough Town
27 Oct	Chester – Marine
27 Oct	Radcliffe – Chorley
27 Oct	Morecambe – Darlington 1883
27 Oct	Spalding United – Brackley Town
27 Oct	Spennymoor Town – South Shields

All National League - North fixtures and the table

Latest National League - North results

24 Oct	AFC Telford United 2-2 Hebburn Town
24 Oct	South Shields 3-1 Chester
24 Oct	Brackley Town 0-1 Radcliffe
24 Oct	Merthyr Town 1-3 Morecambe
24 Oct	Hednesford Town 2-0 Spalding United
24 Oct	Darlington 1883 3-0 Spennymoor Town