FC Astoria Walldorf vs FSV Mainz 05 II• Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany

#152.0:1.81-1FT10/100.6:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09DAFX3.70DAF23.10DAFMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets43Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.11	3.80	3.00	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.10	3.61	2.96	9.1%
Betano	2.05	3.60	3.05	9.3%
1xBet	2.01	3.56	3.02	11.0%
William Hill	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.56	2.95	12.2%
Best of all books	2.11	3.80	3.05	6.5%
Average	2.05	3.59	3.00	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Astoria WalldorfFSV Mainz 05 II

Last 10#15Table position#140.83Points per game0.924Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.61.8Goals against · last 52.277Attack rating2355Defence rating4567Form rating3362H2H rating3861Goals model3963Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

FC Astoria Walldorf

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	VfR Aalen	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	FSV Mainz 05 II	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Eintracht Trier	4-1	W
25 Sep	H	SV Sandhausen	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	VfR Mannheim	2-3	L
12 Sep	A	TSV Steinbach	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Stuttgarter Kickers	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Eintracht Frankfurt II	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	SSV Ulm 1846	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	FSV Frankfurt	0-3	L

FSV Mainz 05 II

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	H	SSV Ulm 1846	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	FC Astoria Walldorf	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Freiburg II	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	Hessen Kassel	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Kaiserslautern II	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	SGV Freiberg	0-5	L
9 Sep	H	VfR Mannheim	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Stuttgarter Kickers	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	VfR Aalen	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Kickers Offenbach	1-3	L

Head to head

8FC Astoria Walldorf wins

3draws

5FSV Mainz 05 II wins

16 meetings · goals 24:24 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for FC Astoria Walldorf

14 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FSV Mainz 05 II1-1FC Astoria Walldorf
22 Nov 2025Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FC Astoria Walldorf1-2FSV Mainz 05 II
2 Aug 2025Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FSV Mainz 05 II0-0FC Astoria Walldorf
8 Mar 2025Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FSV Mainz 05 II1-2FC Astoria Walldorf
31 Aug 2024Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FC Astoria Walldorf3-2FSV Mainz 05 II
20 Apr 2024Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FC Astoria Walldorf4-1FSV Mainz 05 II
14 Oct 2023Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FSV Mainz 05 II1-2FC Astoria Walldorf
18 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FC Astoria Walldorf2-4FSV Mainz 05 II
20 May 2023Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FC Astoria Walldorf0-1FSV Mainz 05 II
12 Nov 2022Regionalliga - SudWest	Regionalliga - SudWest	FSV Mainz 05 II1-2FC Astoria Walldorf

Regionalliga - SudWest tableRegionalliga: Sudwestupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Regionalliga - SudWest table, FC Astoria Walldorf sit 15th with 10 points from 12 games, while FSV Mainz 05 II are 14th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SGV Freiberg	12	7	5	0	31:12	+19	26
2	VfR Aalen	12	7	3	2	22:11	+11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	6	5	1	20:9	+11	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	7	2	3	22:16	+6	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	12	6	2	4	22:16	+6	20
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	5	4	3	17:16	+1	19
7	SV Sandhausen	12	5	4	3	20:21	-1	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	6	1	5	14:17	-3	19
9	Freiburg II	11	4	4	3	20:15	+5	16
10	TSV Steinbach	12	4	4	4	20:18	+2	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	4	2	6	20:24	-4	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	3	4	5	19:21	-2	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	4	1	6	13:15	-2	13
14	FSV Mainz 05 II	12	3	2	7	12:23	-11	11
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	2	4	6	16:21	-5	10
16	Kaiserslautern II	12	2	4	6	12:25	-13	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	1	6	5	15:22	-7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	12	1	3	8	14:27	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.05X25%3.59230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.04 -3.8%X4.06 → 3.59 -11.6%22.47 → 3.01 +21.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.51	2.44	7.2%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.52	2.44	6.8%
Average	1.49	2.38	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Betano	1.45	2.47	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.45	2.56	8.0%
Average	1.44	2.51	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Astoria Walldorf 45%Draw 45%FSV Mainz 05 II 10%

The statistical model rated FC Astoria Walldorf at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FSV Mainz 05 II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.59 | 3.00, which imply roughly 48.8% for a FC Astoria Walldorf win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - SudWest table: FC Astoria Walldorf are 15th (10 pts, 16-21 goals), FSV Mainz 05 II 14th (11 pts, 12-23).

Over their last five matches, FC Astoria Walldorf averaged 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 II averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Astoria Walldorf or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.59	3.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.66	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.51

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.35	3.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	17.8	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.60
2.5	1.49	2.38
3.5	2.22	1.58
4.5	3.57	1.22
5.5	6.17	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.17	3.94
2.25	1.33	2.91
2.75	1.60	2.17
3	1.77	1.92
3.25	1.98	1.71
3.75	2.52	1.44
4	3.05	1.28
4.25	3.35	1.24
4.75	4.40	1.14
5	5.85	1.07
5.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.35
-0.75	2.30	1.52
-0.5	2.05	1.71
-0.25	1.79	1.90
0	1.56	2.26
+0.25	1.42	2.57

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.60	1.05
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	4.30	1.15
-1.5	3.42	1.23
-1.25	3.09	1.28
+0.5	1.37	2.90
+0.75	1.22	3.51
+1	1.11	4.90
+1.25	1.09	5.30
+1.5	1.08	5.65
+1.75	1.03	7.30
+2	1.01	10.5

Next Regionalliga - SudWest matches

23 Oct	Kickers Offenbach – SGV Freiberg
24 Oct	Eintracht Trier – Stuttgarter Kickers
24 Oct	FSV Frankfurt – Eintracht Frankfurt II
24 Oct	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. – FSV Mainz 05 II
24 Oct	TSV Steinbach – VfR Mannheim
24 Oct	FC Astoria Walldorf – Hessen Kassel

All Regionalliga - SudWest fixtures and the table

Latest Regionalliga - SudWest results

18 Oct	Eintracht Trier 3-2 FSV Frankfurt
18 Oct	FC 08 Homburg 2-1 Freiburg II
17 Oct	Stuttgarter Kickers 3-1 TSV Steinbach
17 Oct	FSV Mainz 05 II 1-1 SSV Ulm 1846
17 Oct	Hessen Kassel 0-3 VfR Mannheim
16 Oct	SV Sandhausen 1-0 Kickers Offenbach