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FSV Mainz 05 II vs SSV Ulm 1846• Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany

#140.6:2.01-1FT17/101.2:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.221XBX3.651XB22.501XBMargin at best12.4%Books1Markets12Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.223.652.5012.4%
Best of all books2.223.652.5012.4%
Average2.223.652.5012.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05 IISSV Ulm 1846
Last 10#14Table position#170.92Points per game0.755Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6741Defence rating5944Form rating5620H2H rating8040Goals model6033Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

FSV Mainz 05 II

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against

17 OctHSSV Ulm 18461-1D
10 OctAFC Astoria Walldorf1-1D
3 OctHFreiburg II0-2L
26 SepAHessen Kassel2-1W
19 SepHKaiserslautern II0-1L
12 SepASGV Freiberg0-5L
9 SepHVfR Mannheim1-2L
5 SepAStuttgarter Kickers2-1W
30 AugHVfR Aalen1-3L
22 AugAKickers Offenbach1-3L

SSV Ulm 1846

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

10 OctHEintracht Frankfurt II1-0W
3 OctAHessen Kassel2-2D
26 SepHEintracht Trier0-1L
19 SepASV Sandhausen2-2D
12 SepHFSV Frankfurt1-2L
8 SepAVfR Aalen0-2L
4 SepHSGV Freiberg4-4D
29 AugAFC Astoria Walldorf0-0D
22 AugHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.2-2D
14 AugHKickers Offenbach0-2L

Head to head

2FSV Mainz 05 II wins
1draws
4SSV Ulm 1846 wins

7 meetings · goals 6:15 · last 7: 2W 1D 4L for FSV Mainz 05 II

26 Nov 2022Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestSSV ULM 18464-1FSV Mainz 05 II
6 Aug 2022Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestFSV Mainz 05 II0-4SSV ULM 1846
18 Mar 2022Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestFSV Mainz 05 II0-3SSV ULM 1846
28 Sep 2021Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestSSV ULM 18460-2FSV Mainz 05 II
13 Mar 2021Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestSSV ULM 18463-1FSV Mainz 05 II
30 Sep 2020Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestFSV Mainz 05 II1-1SSV ULM 1846
22 Sep 2019Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestSSV ULM 18460-1FSV Mainz 05 II

Regionalliga - SudWest tableRegionalliga: Sudwestupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Regionalliga - SudWest table, FSV Mainz 05 II sit 14th with 11 points from 12 games, while SSV Ulm 1846 are 17th with 9 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SGV Freiberg1275031:12+1926
2VfR Aalen1273222:11+1124
3VfR Mannheim1265120:9+1123
4Stuttgarter Kickers1272322:16+623
5Kickers Offenbach1262422:16+620
6FC 08 Homburg1254317:16+119
7SV Sandhausen1254320:21-119
8Eintracht Trier1261514:17-319
9Freiburg II1144320:15+516
10TSV Steinbach1244420:18+216
11Hessen Kassel1242620:24-414
12FSV Frankfurt1234519:21-213
13Eintracht Frankfurt II1141613:15-213
14FSV Mainz 05 II1232712:23-1111
15FC Astoria Walldorf1224616:21-510
16Kaiserslautern II1224612:25-1310
17SSV Ulm 18461216515:22-79
18Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1213814:27-136

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.22X24%3.65236%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.592.159.4%
Best of all books1.592.159.4%
Average1.592.159.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.522.309.3%
Average1.522.309.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 II 10%Draw 45%SSV Ulm 1846 45%

The statistical model rated FSV Mainz 05 II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and SSV Ulm 1846 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.65 | 2.50, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - SudWest table: FSV Mainz 05 II are 14th (11 pts, 12-23 goals), SSV Ulm 1846 17th (9 pts, 15-22).

Over their last five matches, FSV Mainz 05 II averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; SSV Ulm 1846 averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or SSV Ulm 1846.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.223.652.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.481.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.30

1st half

1X2
2.692.422.95

2nd half

1X2
2.692.422.95

Match goals

LineOverUnder
21.243.53
2.51.592.15
32.031.67
3.52.611.41

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.701.22
01.731.94

Latest Regionalliga - SudWest results

18 OctEintracht Trier 3-2 FSV Frankfurt
18 OctFC 08 Homburg 2-1 Freiburg II
17 OctStuttgarter Kickers 3-1 TSV Steinbach
17 OctHessen Kassel 0-3 VfR Mannheim
16 OctSV Sandhausen 1-0 Kickers Offenbach
10 OctVfR Mannheim 2-0 Stuttgarter Kickers