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Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor• 1. Lig, Turkey

#41.2:0.616:00Today · Aktepe Stadium, Ankara2.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40WHX3.50DAF22.11PINMargin at best5.4%Books9Markets79Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 22:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.473.452.095.7%
Dafabet3.353.502.067.0%
Betano3.353.402.058.0%
BetVictor3.203.402.059.4%
William Hill3.403.202.059.4%
Betfair3.203.402.0010.7%
1xBet3.263.182.0610.7%
Bet3653.203.302.0011.6%
Marathonbet3.183.182.0411.9%
Best of all books3.473.502.095.2%
Average3.293.332.049.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KeçiörengücüBursaspor
Last 10#4Table position#31.82Points per game2.2711Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.00.6Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6363Defence rating3847Form rating5360H2H rating4048Goals model5253Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Keçiörengücü

5W 5D 0L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

19 OctAFatih Karagümrük2-1W
14 OctHIğdır FK0-0D
9 OctABodrum FK2-0W
3 OctAGençlerbirliği S.K.1-0W
19 SepHSivasspor1-1D
12 SepAVanspor FK1-1D
5 SepHSarıyer3-0W
1 SepABoluspor2-0W
28 AugHÜmraniyespor2-2D
23 AugABandırmaspor1-1D

Bursaspor

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

19 OctHPendikspor2-0W
15 OctAMuğlaspor3-0W
11 OctHMardin 19691-2L
19 SepABatman Petrolspor2-1W
13 SepHEsenler Erokspor2-2D
7 SepAManisa F.K.2-1W
3 SepHİstanbulspor4-0W
29 AugAKayserispor2-1W
21 AugAFatih Karagümrük1-2L
15 AugHIğdır FK1-0W

Head to head

3Keçiörengücü wins
0draws
3Bursaspor wins

6 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for Keçiörengücü

2 Apr 20221. Lig1. LigKeçiörengücü2-1Bursaspor
1 Nov 20211. Lig1. LigBursaspor2-0Keçiörengücü
9 May 20211. Lig1. LigBursaspor0-3Keçiörengücü
2 Jan 20211. Lig1. LigKeçiörengücü0-1Bursaspor
20 Jun 20201. Lig1. LigKeçiörengücü1-0Bursaspor
23 Nov 20191. Lig1. LigBursaspor1-0Keçiörengücü

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 24 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü sit 4th with 20 points from 11 games, while Bursaspor are 3rd with 25 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kayserispor1182124:7+1726
2Iğdır FK1282217:9+826
3Bursaspor1181222:9+1325
4Keçiörengücü1155121:11+1020
5Batman Petrolspor1162322:19+320
6Muğlaspor1246218:14+418
7Mardin 19691153314:10+418
8Antalyaspor1160517:17018
9Sarıyer1144314:15-116
10Bandırmaspor1235417:10+714
11Bodrum FK1135313:10+314
12Ümraniyespor1134413:10+313
13Fatih Karagümrük1134414:15-113
14Sivasspor1227315:18-313
15Esenler Erokspor1126310:13-312
16Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210
17Vanspor FK1233613:22-910
18Pendikspor1124512:21-910
19İstanbulspor121299:31-225
20Boluspor1101103:25-221

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.28X27%3.33245%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0123 Oct 21:011 3.28X 3.332 2.05
12.93 → 3.28 +11.9%X3.25 → 3.33 +2.5%22.25 → 2.05 -8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.812.024.8%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.781.986.7%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
BetVictor1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
Best of all books1.812.024.8%
Average1.761.977.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
William Hill1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Betano1.652.127.8%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.612.168.4%
Marathonbet1.612.129.3%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.632.157.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Keçiörengücü 45%Draw 45%Bursaspor 10%

The statistical model rates Keçiörengücü at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bursaspor at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.28 | 3.33 | 2.05, which imply roughly 30.5% for a Keçiörengücü win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Keçiörengücü are 4th (20 pts, 21-11 goals), Bursaspor 3rd (25 pts, 22-9).

Over their last five matches, Keçiörengücü averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Bursaspor averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Keçiörengücü or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.293.332.04

Double chance

1XX212
1.671.291.27

Draw no bet

12
2.381.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.15

1st half

1X2
3.792.182.64

2nd half

1X2
3.372.492.41

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.3814.124.4
HT X7.385.185.20
HT 232.013.43.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2211.91.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.4
1.51.223.85
2.51.761.97
3.52.841.37
4.55.441.12
5.510.11.05
6.518.81.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.00
1.251.105.10
1.751.253.29
21.342.94
2.251.552.28
2.751.941.75
32.271.55
3.252.521.43
3.753.351.24
44.601.13
4.254.961.11
4.756.801.04
58.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.801.38
02.401.51
+0.251.941.78
+0.51.732.04
+0.751.512.39
+11.323.07
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.071.06
-1.256.571.07
-16.031.08
-0.754.131.19
-0.53.371.32
+1.251.263.48
+1.51.203.83
+1.751.134.90
+21.037.40
+2.251.027.80
+2.51.028.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.12
6.51.164.05
7.51.382.71
8.51.722.02
9.52.161.61
10.52.841.34
11.53.981.16
12.56.051.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.82
61.036.52
6.251.094.97
6.751.173.90
71.193.68
7.251.283.10
7.751.412.58
81.492.42
8.251.582.20
8.751.781.93
91.901.83
9.252.001.72
9.752.281.54
102.511.46
10.252.661.39
10.753.131.28
113.621.20
11.253.801.18
11.754.621.11
125.621.06
12.255.841.05

Next 1. Lig matches

25 OctPendikspor – Kayserispor
25 OctBatman Petrolspor – Esenler Erokspor
25 OctAntalyaspor – Bodrum FK
26 OctMardin 1969 – Manisa F.K.

All 1. Lig fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Lig results

24 OctSarıyer 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük
24 OctMuğlaspor 5-0 İstanbulspor
24 OctÜmraniyespor 4-0 Sivasspor
24 OctBandırmaspor 1-2 Iğdır FK
23 OctBoluspor 0-3 Vanspor FK
19 OctBursaspor 2-0 Pendikspor