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FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg• 3. Liga, Germany

#91.4:1.812:00Tomorrow · Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt2.8:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.70BFR22.17PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets77Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano3.103.602.156.5%
Pinnacle3.043.612.176.7%
Dafabet3.153.702.077.1%
Betfair3.003.602.059.9%
1xBet2.993.482.0710.5%
Marathonbet2.923.482.0511.8%
William Hill2.903.302.1012.4%
Bet3653.003.402.0012.7%
SBO3.003.361.9314.9%
BetVictor2.703.201.9320.1%
Best of all books3.153.702.174.9%
Average2.983.472.0511.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
Last 10#9Table position#11.40Points per game2.506Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6744Defence rating5632Form rating6871H2H rating2922Goals model7845Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

FC Ingolstadt 04

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

17 OctHRot-Weiß Essen1-0W
14 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0W
11 OctHSV Wehen2-4L
2 OctA1. FC Nürnberg1-3L
19 SepAFC Viktoria Köln0-3L
16 SepHHoffenheim II1-2L
12 SepAFC Saarbrücken1-0W
4 SepHAlemannia Aachen0-3L
29 AugASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-0W
15 AugAPreußen Münster1-1D

MSV Duisburg

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

18 OctHFC Viktoria Köln1-1D
13 OctAFC Saarbrücken4-2W
10 OctHHoffenheim II3-2W
20 SepASV Wehen4-1W
15 SepHHavelse2-1W
12 SepAFortuna Düsseldorf1-2L
5 SepASSV Jahn Regensburg2-1W
29 AugHWürzburger Kickers3-0W
22 AugHSV Elversberg1-3L
15 AugAVerl4-2W

Head to head

9FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
5draws
4MSV Duisburg wins

18 meetings · goals 31:20 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for FC Ingolstadt 04

4 Mar 20263. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 040-0MSV Duisburg
27 Sep 20253. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg2-1FC Ingolstadt 04
20 Apr 20243. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 042-0MSV Duisburg
11 Nov 20233. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-2FC Ingolstadt 04
12 May 20233. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 042-0MSV Duisburg
12 Nov 20223. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg0-1FC Ingolstadt 04
15 May 20213. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-5FC Ingolstadt 04
10 Jan 20213. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 042-1MSV Duisburg
25 Jan 20203. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-1FC Ingolstadt 04
27 Jul 20193. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 043-2MSV Duisburg

3. Liga table3 Ligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the 3. Liga table, FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 9th with 14 points from 10 games, while MSV Duisburg are 1st with 25 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1MSV Duisburg1081127:12+1525
2FC Viktoria Köln1062227:14+1320
3Rot-Weiß Essen1053218:13+518
4FC Saarbrücken1052324:17+717
5Hoffenheim II1051420:15+516
6Hansa Rostock1043317:19-215
7Stuttgart II1042417:18-114
8Alemannia Aachen1042415:16-114
9FC Ingolstadt 041042413:15-214
10Fortuna Düsseldorf1042411:13-214
11Waldhof Mannheim1041516:16013
12Preußen Münster1033418:21-312
13SV Wehen1033412:15-312
14Verl1033415:19-412
15SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1033412:18-612
16Würzburger Kickers1032515:19-411
17SV Meppen1032512:17-511
18SSV Jahn Regensburg1024420:19+110
19Fortuna Köln102448:11-310
20Havelse1013613:23-106

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.97X26%3.48244%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0122 Oct 15:011 2.97X 3.482 2.05
12.92 → 2.97 +1.7%X3.41 → 3.48 +2.1%22.05 → 2.05 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.582.365.7%
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betano1.572.356.2%
1xBet1.512.2610.5%
Marathonbet1.512.2610.5%
BetVictor1.441.9720.2%
Best of all books1.582.454.1%
Average1.532.299.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
William Hill1.502.457.5%
Betano1.502.428.0%
1xBet1.472.478.5%
Marathonbet1.472.429.3%
BetVictor1.362.1520.0%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.462.439.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Ingolstadt 04 10%Draw 45%MSV Duisburg 45%

The statistical model rates FC Ingolstadt 04 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and MSV Duisburg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 3.48 | 2.05, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Liga table: FC Ingolstadt 04 are 9th (14 pts, 13-15 goals), MSV Duisburg 1st (25 pts, 27-12).

Over their last five matches, FC Ingolstadt 04 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; MSV Duisburg averaged 2.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : MSV Duisburg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.983.472.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.651.321.22

Draw no bet

12
2.211.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.43

1st half

1X2
3.372.332.55

2nd half

1X2
3.192.642.39

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.9113.020.6
HT X7.506.105.52
HT 226.513.03.23

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1016.51.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.3
1.51.154.50
2.51.532.29
3.52.331.52
4.53.941.19
5.56.941.06
6.514.71.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.751.164.10
21.213.58
2.251.362.70
2.751.632.00
31.851.81
3.252.021.61
3.752.631.38
43.281.25
4.253.501.22
4.754.751.12
56.301.06
5.256.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.021.38
-0.252.511.42
02.201.56
+0.251.881.80
+0.51.662.05
+0.751.482.35
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.757.201.03
-1.55.821.09
-1.255.421.11
-15.071.12
-0.753.611.24
+11.333.03
+1.251.273.43
+1.51.233.62
+1.751.154.55
+21.076.50
+2.51.046.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.51
7.51.163.96
8.51.372.76
9.51.662.08
10.52.081.66
11.52.721.38
12.53.691.21
13.55.441.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.25
71.055.98
7.251.114.70
7.751.183.76
81.213.56
8.251.293.05
8.751.422.57
91.472.43
9.251.582.22
9.751.761.95
101.881.87
10.251.971.74
10.752.221.57
112.421.48
11.252.561.42
11.752.971.31
123.381.23
12.253.541.21
12.754.241.14
135.051.09
13.255.251.08

Next 3. Liga matches

23 OctRot-Weiß Essen – SSV Jahn Regensburg
24 OctSV Wehen – SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
24 OctHansa Rostock – Fortuna Düsseldorf
24 OctSV Meppen – Würzburger Kickers
24 OctFC Viktoria Köln – Verl
24 OctStuttgart II – Alemannia Aachen

All 3. Liga fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Liga results

18 OctSV Meppen 1-1 Havelse
18 OctMSV Duisburg 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln
18 OctHoffenheim II 2-1 Verl
17 OctWürzburger Kickers 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim
17 OctAlemannia Aachen 2-0 Hansa Rostock
17 OctSSV Jahn Regensburg 0-0 SV Wehen