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MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln• 3. Liga, Germany

#12.8:1.61-1FTToday · MSV-Arena, Duisburg3.4:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09PINX3.77PIN23.10PINMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets80Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 10:13 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.113.853.165.0%
1xBet2.033.622.9710.6%
Bet3652.053.602.9011.0%
William Hill2.103.402.9011.5%
Marathonbet2.013.622.9011.9%
BetVictor1.953.302.6319.6%
Best of all books2.113.853.165.0%
Average2.043.562.9111.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
Last 10#1Table position#22.67Points per game2.1112Form pts · last 5112.8Goals for · last 53.41.6Goals against · last 51.045Attack rating5538Defence rating6248Form rating5250H2H rating5062Goals model3848Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

MSV Duisburg

8W 0D 2L · goals 27:14 · per match 2.7 for, 1.4 against

13 OctAFC Saarbrücken4-2W
10 OctHHoffenheim II3-2W
20 SepASV Wehen4-1W
15 SepHHavelse2-1W
12 SepAFortuna Düsseldorf1-2L
5 SepASSV Jahn Regensburg2-1W
29 AugHWürzburger Kickers3-0W
22 AugHSV Elversberg1-3L
15 AugAVerl4-2W
8 AugHSV Meppen3-0W

FC Viktoria Köln

6W 3D 1L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

14 OctHSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-2D
11 OctAAlemannia Aachen5-2W
3 OctH1. FC Köln2-2D
19 SepHFC Ingolstadt 043-0W
15 SepASV Meppen3-1W
11 SepHHansa Rostock4-0W
5 SepARot-Weiß Essen0-1L
30 AugHPreußen Münster4-1W
22 AugH1. FC Nürnberg1-1D
16 AugAStuttgart II3-1W

Head to head

3MSV Duisburg wins
4draws
5FC Viktoria Köln wins

12 meetings · goals 13:18 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for MSV Duisburg

16 May 20263. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-1FC Viktoria Köln
21 Dec 20253. Liga3. LigaFC Viktoria Köln0-0MSV Duisburg
17 Feb 20243. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-0FC Viktoria Koln
23 Sep 20233. Liga3. LigaFC Viktoria Koln2-0MSV Duisburg
17 Apr 20233. Liga3. LigaFC Viktoria Koln2-2MSV Duisburg
22 Oct 20223. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-1FC Viktoria Koln
5 Mar 20223. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg2-0FC Viktoria Koln
25 Sep 20213. Liga3. LigaFC Viktoria Koln4-2MSV Duisburg
13 Mar 20213. Liga3. LigaFC Viktoria Koln3-1MSV Duisburg
9 Nov 20203. Liga3. LigaMSV Duisburg1-3FC Viktoria Koln

3. Liga table3 Ligaupdated 18 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the 3. Liga table, MSV Duisburg sit 1st with 24 points from 9 games, while FC Viktoria Köln are 2nd with 19 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1MSV Duisburg980126:11+1524
2FC Viktoria Köln961226:13+1319
3Rot-Weiß Essen1053218:13+518
4FC Saarbrücken1052324:17+717
5Hoffenheim II1051420:15+516
6Hansa Rostock1043317:19-215
7Stuttgart II1042417:18-114
8Alemannia Aachen1042415:16-114
9FC Ingolstadt 041042413:15-214
10Fortuna Düsseldorf1042411:13-214
11Waldhof Mannheim1041516:16013
12Preußen Münster1033418:21-312
13SV Wehen1033412:15-312
14Verl1033415:19-412
15SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1033412:18-612
16Würzburger Kickers1032515:19-411
17SSV Jahn Regensburg1024420:19+110
18Fortuna Köln102448:11-310
19SV Meppen931511:16-510
20Havelse912612:22-105

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.04X25%3.58231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 12:101 2.03X 3.572 2.90
12.09 → 2.03 -2.9%X3.56 → 3.57 +0.3%22.91 → 2.90 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.675.5%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
1xBet1.432.4610.6%
Marathonbet1.432.4610.6%
BetVictor1.362.1520.0%
Best of all books1.502.674.1%
Average1.442.4510.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.412.668.5%
Marathonbet1.412.609.4%
William Hill1.402.629.6%
BetVictor1.302.3020.4%
Best of all books1.442.667.0%
Average1.392.5610.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

MSV Duisburg 35%Draw 35%FC Viktoria Köln 30%

The statistical model rated MSV Duisburg at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and FC Viktoria Köln at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.58 | 2.90, which imply roughly 49% for a MSV Duisburg win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 3. Liga table: MSV Duisburg are 1st (24 pts, 26-11 goals), FC Viktoria Köln 2nd (19 pts, 26-13).

Over their last five matches, MSV Duisburg averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; FC Viktoria Köln averaged 3.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

MSV Duisburg

5-4-1

Coach: D. Hirsch

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Braune

Defence

  • 20N. Jessen
  • 29J. Bitter
  • 5T. Fleckstein
  • 40B. Schlicke
  • 3F. Christensen

Midfield

  • 14C. Noß
  • 8A. Casar
  • 6R. Bulić
  • 11D. Kother

Attack

  • 9L. Lobinger
Substitutes (7)
  • 33T. Stahl
  • 19Ramien Safi
  • 39P. Remmert
  • 26F. Krüger
  • 4Martin Ens
  • 27C. Coşkun
  • 17M. Besuschkow

FC Viktoria Köln

Coach: M. Wilhelm

Match Statistics

MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
0Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%
1Shots off Goal3
2Yellow Cards2
0Free Kicks0
2Shots on Goal5
2Corner Kicks4
0Blocked Shots0
3Total Shots8

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.043.572.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.631.20

Draw no bet

12
1.552.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.56

1st half

1X2
2.512.413.36

2nd half

1X2
2.372.723.09

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1913.325.0
HT X5.676.537.50
HT 221.713.54.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7218.62.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.8
1.51.115.01
2.51.442.45
3.52.121.60
4.53.471.23
5.56.211.07
6.515.01.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.751.124.70
21.154.20
2.251.302.97
2.751.532.19
31.671.96
3.251.881.74
3.752.371.45
42.921.31
4.253.201.26
4.754.341.14
55.801.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.911.36
-0.752.311.49
-0.52.011.66
-0.251.791.86
01.562.21
+0.251.422.52
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.001.04
-2.257.001.10
-26.431.07
-1.754.511.15
-1.53.571.23
-1.253.301.29
+0.51.383.07
+0.751.243.62
+11.134.87
+1.251.115.36
+1.51.105.72
+1.751.037.73
+21.019.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.00
7.51.203.64
8.51.432.55
9.51.771.93
10.52.201.58
11.52.891.33
12.53.981.16
13.55.951.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.74
71.065.48
7.251.134.36
7.751.223.51
81.243.32
8.251.332.87
8.751.472.44
91.552.30
9.251.642.12
9.751.831.87
101.971.77
10.252.061.68
10.752.341.51
112.571.42
11.252.711.38
11.753.171.27
123.641.20
12.253.821.18
12.754.601.11
135.551.06
13.255.751.06

Latest 3. Liga results

18 OctHoffenheim II 2-1 Verl
17 OctWürzburger Kickers 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim
17 OctAlemannia Aachen 2-0 Hansa Rostock
17 OctSSV Jahn Regensburg 0-0 SV Wehen
17 OctSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3-2 Preußen Münster
17 OctFC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen