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FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen• 3. Liga, Germany

#91.4:1.81-0FT17/10 · Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt2.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40B365X4.01PIN21.98BTNMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets90Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:46 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.464.161.925.0%
William Hill3.203.701.9110.6%
1xBet3.273.721.8810.7%
Bet3653.303.501.9011.5%
Marathonbet3.203.721.8611.9%
BetVictor2.903.301.8020.3%
Best of all books3.464.161.925.0%
Average3.223.681.8811.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
Last 10#9Table position#31.40Points per game1.803Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6744Defence rating5635Form rating657H2H rating9337Goals model6330Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:50 UTC

FC Ingolstadt 04

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

14 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0W
11 OctHSV Wehen2-4L
2 OctA1. FC Nürnberg1-3L
19 SepAFC Viktoria Köln0-3L
16 SepHHoffenheim II1-2L
12 SepAFC Saarbrücken1-0W
4 SepHAlemannia Aachen0-3L
29 AugASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-0W
15 AugAPreußen Münster1-1D
8 AugHWürzburger Kickers2-2D

Rot-Weiß Essen

6W 4D 0L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

13 OctHFortuna Köln2-0W
9 OctAPreußen Münster3-3D
3 OctAArminia Bielefeld2-2D
20 SepHHansa Rostock1-1D
16 SepAWaldhof Mannheim2-1W
12 SepHWürzburger Kickers6-2W
5 SepHFC Viktoria Köln1-0W
29 AugASV Wehen0-0D
23 AugHFC St. Pauli2-0W
15 AugHHavelse1-0W

Head to head

1FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
3draws
4Rot-Weiß Essen wins

8 meetings · goals 9:18 · last 8: 1W 3D 4L for FC Ingolstadt 04

11 Apr 20263. Liga3. LigaRot-Weiß Essen4-1FC Ingolstadt 04
8 Nov 20253. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 041-2Rot-Weiß Essen
22 Feb 20253. Liga3. LigaRot-Weiß Essen2-0FC Ingolstadt 04
21 Sep 20243. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 042-2Rot-Weiß Essen
28 Apr 20243. Liga3. LigaRot-weiss Essen4-0FC Ingolstadt 04
25 Nov 20233. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 042-1Rot-weiss Essen
25 Feb 20233. Liga3. LigaFC Ingolstadt 041-1Rot-weiss Essen
20 Aug 20223. Liga3. LigaRot-weiss Essen2-2FC Ingolstadt 04

3. Liga table3 Ligaupdated 18 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the 3. Liga table, FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 9th with 14 points from 10 games, while Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd with 18 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1MSV Duisburg980126:11+1524
2FC Viktoria Köln961226:13+1319
3Rot-Weiß Essen1053218:13+518
4FC Saarbrücken1052324:17+717
5Hoffenheim II1051420:15+516
6Hansa Rostock1043317:19-215
7Stuttgart II1042417:18-114
8Alemannia Aachen1042415:16-114
9FC Ingolstadt 041042413:15-214
10Fortuna Düsseldorf1042411:13-214
11Waldhof Mannheim1041516:16013
12Preußen Münster1033418:21-312
13SV Wehen1033412:15-312
14Verl1033415:19-412
15SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1033412:18-612
16Würzburger Kickers1032515:19-411
17SSV Jahn Regensburg1024420:19+110
18Fortuna Köln102448:11-310
19SV Meppen931511:16-510
20Havelse912612:22-105

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.22X24%3.68248%1.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0115 Oct 13:301 3.18X 3.692 1.91
13.20 → 3.18 -0.6%X3.66 → 3.69 +0.8%21.93 → 1.91 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.675.5%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
1xBet1.412.5210.6%
Marathonbet1.412.5210.6%
BetVictor1.332.2020.6%
Best of all books1.502.674.1%
Average1.422.4810.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.627.6%
1xBet1.412.668.5%
Marathonbet1.412.609.4%
BetVictor1.332.2519.6%
Best of all books1.442.667.0%
Average1.412.5510.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Ingolstadt 04 10%Draw 45%Rot-Weiß Essen 45%

The statistical model rated FC Ingolstadt 04 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Rot-Weiß Essen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.22 | 3.68 | 1.88, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Liga table: FC Ingolstadt 04 are 9th (14 pts, 13-15 goals), Rot-Weiß Essen 3rd (18 pts, 18-13).

Over their last five matches, FC Ingolstadt 04 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rot-Weiß Essen and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC Ingolstadt 04

4-4-2

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Goalkeeper

  • 47D. Klein

Defence

  • 6G. Antzoulas
  • 14Max Plath
  • 15J. Scholz
  • 37B. Kanurić

Midfield

  • 18K. Bennetts
  • 34L. Fröde
  • 19L. Rosenlöcher
  • 28N. Velupillay

Attack

  • 13L. Lokotsch
  • 10D. Kaygin
Substitutes (9)
  • 41V. Šapina
  • 17O. Ugondu
  • 7Seo Jong-Min
  • 1M. Ponath
  • 5Emre Gül
  • 16J. Ganda
  • 8F. Carlsen
  • 4Elias Decker
  • 20Y. Deichmann

Rot-Weiß Essen

Coach: U. Koschinat

Match Statistics

FC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
1Yellow Cards3
42%Ball Possession58%
10Shots off Goal13
0Red Cards0
3Corner Kicks3
3Shots on Goal7
0Free Kicks0
0Blocked Shots0
13Total Shots20

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.223.681.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.741.281.19

Draw no bet

12
2.391.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.55

1st half

1X2
3.632.432.36

2nd half

1X2
3.382.772.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.3313.820.3
HT X8.236.505.30
HT 228.713.72.86

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2119.01.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.3
1.51.105.13
2.51.422.48
3.52.091.61
4.53.431.23
5.56.171.07
6.515.01.03
7.526.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.0
1.751.114.96
21.134.50
2.251.273.14
2.751.512.23
31.651.98
3.251.861.76
3.752.331.47
42.881.32
4.253.201.26
4.754.301.14
55.801.07
5.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.911.36
02.481.44
+0.252.031.65
+0.51.801.86
+0.751.602.11
+11.422.52
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.01
-29.901.01
-1.758.821.01
-1.56.801.07
-1.256.361.08
-15.831.09
-0.754.071.18
-0.53.441.31
+1.251.352.95
+1.51.303.25
+1.751.194.03
+21.105.68
+2.251.095.80
+2.51.076.43
+31.0110.0
+3.51.0411.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.104.81
8.51.273.19
9.51.512.36
10.51.821.90
11.52.311.53
12.53.071.28
13.54.341.13
14.56.491.03
15.57.261.01
26 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.017.24
7.251.065.55
7.751.114.59
81.134.38
8.251.203.64
8.751.303.01
91.342.85
9.251.432.54
9.751.582.21
101.672.12
10.251.761.95
10.751.961.75
112.061.72
11.252.221.58
11.752.531.43
122.801.35
12.252.941.32
12.753.461.22
134.001.16
13.254.161.14
13.755.031.09
146.091.04
14.256.291.04
14.755.621.06
156.851.02
15.257.051.02

Latest 3. Liga results

18 OctSV Meppen 1-1 Havelse
18 OctMSV Duisburg 1-1 FC Viktoria Köln
18 OctHoffenheim II 2-1 Verl
17 OctWürzburger Kickers 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim
17 OctAlemannia Aachen 2-0 Hansa Rostock
17 OctSSV Jahn Regensburg 0-0 SV Wehen