Club NacionalvsProgreso• Primera División - Apertura,Uruguay
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Club Nacional7th22 pts
Progreso15th10 pts
Club Nacional7th22 pts
Progreso15th10 ptsIn the Primera División - Apertura table, Club Nacional sit 7th with 22 points from 15 games, while Progreso are 15th with 10 points from 15 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Club Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Progreso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.30 | 6.82, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Club Nacional win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División - Apertura table: Club Nacional are 7th (22 pts, 26-21 goals), Progreso 15th (10 pts, 12-23).
Over their last five matches, Club Nacional averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Progreso averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw.
Club Nacional vs Progreso — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 |  Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 |  Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 |  Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 13 |  Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 14 |  Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.40
X
4.30
2
6.82
Double chance
1X
1.07
X2
2.71
12
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
2.02
No
1.70
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.58
Over 2.5
1.82
Under 2.5
1.90
Over 3.5
3.09
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.24
Over 4.5
5.90
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
12.00
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
23.33
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.29
Under 1.75
3.07
Over 2
1.39
Under 2
2.74
Over 2.25
1.63
Under 2.25
2.17
Over 2.75
2.06
Under 2.75
1.69
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.90
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.90
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.80
Over 3
2.41
Under 3
1.49
Over 3.25
2.66
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 3.75
3.71
Under 3.75
1.20
Over 4
4.83
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.17
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 4.75
7.30
Under 4.75
1.03
Over 5
9.07
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.13
2
5.13
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.03
1st half
1
1.90
X
2.34
2
6.62
First team to score
Home
1.36
Away
3.47
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.75
5.85
Under 12.75
1.05