Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah• Premier League, Armenia

#31.8:0.415:00Today · Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan2.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.60B36522.02PINMargin at best5.9%Books9Markets48Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.35	2.01	8.2%
Pinnacle	3.46	3.26	2.02	9.1%
BetVictor	3.50	3.40	1.93	9.8%
Bet365	3.50	3.60	1.85	10.4%
Betano	3.35	3.25	2.00	10.6%
1xBet	3.38	3.35	1.94	11.0%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
William Hill	3.40	3.20	1.95	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.30	3.35	1.92	12.2%
Best of all books	3.50	3.60	2.02	5.9%
Average	3.41	3.35	1.95	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ararat-ArmeniaFC Noah

Last 10#3Table position#12.30Points per game2.807Form pts · last 5111.8Goals for · last 52.80.4Goals against · last 50.839Attack rating6167Defence rating3350Form rating5029H2H rating7140Goals model6042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:31 UTC

Ararat-Armenia

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

22 Oct	H	AZ Alkmaar	0-4	L
18 Oct	A	BKMA	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Jagiellonia	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Alashkert	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Ararat	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Shirak	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Sparta Praha	1-4	L
11 Sep	H	Syunik	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Ararat	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Pyunik Yerevan	1-2	L

FC Noah

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:8 · per match 2.3 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	H	Pyunik Yerevan	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Sardarapat	5-1	W
2 Oct	H	Dinamo Batumi	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Van	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	FC Urartu	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Gandzasar	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Ararat	4-0	W
23 Aug	A	BKMA	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Alashkert	1-0	W
13 Aug	A	FC Sion	1-2	L

Head to head

17Ararat-Armenia wins

7draws

13FC Noah wins

37 meetings · goals 57:44 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Ararat-Armenia

10 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Ararat-Armenia0-4FC Noah
29 Apr 2026Cup	Cup	FC Noah0-0Ararat-Armenia
16 Apr 2026Cup	Cup	Ararat-Armenia0-1FC Noah
12 Mar 2026Super Cup	Super Cup	FC Noah1-1Ararat-Armenia
1 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	FC Noah1-2Ararat-Armenia
20 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ararat-Armenia2-2FC Noah
24 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	FC Noah2-0Ararat-Armenia
13 May 2025Cup	Cup	FC Noah3-1Ararat-Armenia
4 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	FC Noah2-1Ararat-Armenia
28 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ararat-Armenia0-1FC Noah

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 25 Oct 15:31 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd with 23 points from 10 games, while FC Noah are 1st with 28 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Noah	10	9	1	0	27:7	+20	28
2	Pyunik Yerevan	11	7	4	0	27:9	+18	25
3	Ararat-Armenia	10	7	2	1	19:9	+10	23
4	Alashkert	11	6	4	1	25:8	+17	22
5	FC Urartu	11	4	4	3	19:14	+5	16
6	Sardarapat	11	4	4	3	17:18	-1	16
7	Shirak	11	3	2	6	12:14	-2	11
8	Ararat	11	3	2	6	10:18	-8	11
9	Van	11	3	1	7	10:27	-17	10
10	BKMA	10	2	2	6	8:16	-8	8
11	Syunik	10	1	2	7	6:22	-16	5
12	Gandzasar	11	1	0	10	9:27	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.41X27%3.35246%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.31 → 3.41 +3.0%X3.34 → 3.35 +0.3%21.99 → 1.95 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.87	5.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.83	10.2%
BetVictor	1.67	1.66	20.1%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.82	1.84	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.66	2.00	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ararat-Armenia 10%Draw 45%FC Noah 45%

The statistical model rates Ararat-Armenia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Noah at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.41 | 3.35 | 1.95, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ararat-Armenia are 3rd (23 pts, 19-9 goals), FC Noah 1st (28 pts, 27-7).

Over their last five matches, Ararat-Armenia averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; FC Noah averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Noah.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.41	3.35	1.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.25	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.43	1.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
3.90	2.16	2.53

2nd half

1	X	2
3.54	2.42	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.58	14.6	24.4
HT X	7.60	5.36	4.95
HT 2	32.0	14.3	3.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	11.1	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.65
1.5	1.23	3.59
2.5	1.82	1.84
3.5	2.97	1.33
4.5	6.17	1.07
5.5	11.3	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.11	4.85
1.75	1.30	3.09
2	1.38	2.55
2.25	1.59	2.07
2.75	2.01	1.62
3	2.39	1.43
3.25	2.81	1.36
3.75	3.81	1.19
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.65	1.08
4.75	7.80	1.02
5	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.88	1.34
0	2.49	1.46
+0.25	1.95	1.70
+0.5	1.75	1.89
+0.75	1.52	2.20
+1	1.34	2.86

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.60	1.01
-1.5	7.80	1.02
-1.25	7.20	1.03
-1	6.65	1.05
-0.75	4.26	1.15
-0.5	2.99	1.33
+1.25	1.27	3.29
+1.5	1.20	3.70
+1.75	1.12	4.76
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.25	1.03	7.70
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Latest Premier League results

25 Oct	Syunik 4-1 BKMA
24 Oct	Shirak 0-1 Alashkert
23 Oct	Pyunik Yerevan 3-0 Gandzasar
23 Oct	Van 2-1 Ararat
22 Oct	Sardarapat 0-0 FC Urartu
18 Oct	FC Noah 1-1 Pyunik Yerevan