Karviná II vs Zlín II• 3. liga - MSFL, Czech-Republic

#131.4:2.60-1FT04/10 · Stadion Kovona, Karvina1.4:2.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.281XBX4.181XB22.78PINMargin at best3.8%Books5Markets40Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 16:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.40	4.18	2.52	5.3%
Betfair	2.30	3.75	2.50	10.1%
Betano	2.27	3.70	2.50	11.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.75	2.50	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.64	2.43	12.3%
Best of all books	2.40	4.18	2.52	5.3%
Average	2.30	3.80	2.49	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Karviná IIZlín II

Last 10#13Table position#121.17Points per game1.254Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 52.450Attack rating5048Defence rating5250Form rating5020H2H rating8063Goals model3746Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 12:21 UTC

Karviná II

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

4 Oct	H	Zlín II	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Líšeň II	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Blansko	3-5	L
13 Sep	A	Slovácko II	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Hodonín	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Frýdek-Místek	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Vrchovina	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Polanka nad Odrou	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Havířov	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	Uherský Brod	2-0	W

Zlín II

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

4 Oct	A	Karviná II	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Vítkovice	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Sigma Olomouc II	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Líšeň II	1-4	L
6 Sep	H	Blansko	4-1	W
2 Sep	H	Uherský Brod	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Slovácko II	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Hodonín	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Vrchovina	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Polanka nad Odrou	2-1	W

Head to head

1Karviná II wins

1draws

4Zlín II wins

6 meetings · goals 8:9 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Karviná II

10 May 20263. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Zlín II2-1Karviná II
5 Oct 20253. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Karviná II3-0Zlín II
31 May 20253. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Zlín II3-2Karviná II
27 Oct 20243. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Karviná II1-2Zlín II
12 May 20243. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Karviná II0-1Zlín II
8 Oct 20233. liga - MSFL	3. liga - MSFL	Zlín II1-1Karviná II

3. liga - MSFL tableMSFLupdated 14 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the 3. liga - MSFL table, Karviná II sit 13th with 14 points from 12 games, while Zlín II are 12th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Líšeň II	12	7	5	0	21:5	+16	26
2	Uničov	12	8	2	2	26:14	+12	26
3	Zbrojovka Brno II	12	7	3	2	25:17	+8	24
4	Frýdek-Místek	12	6	3	3	19:13	+6	21
5	Hranice	12	6	2	4	16:10	+6	20
6	Sigma Olomouc II	12	6	1	5	20:16	+4	19
7	Slovácko II	12	5	3	4	21:14	+7	18
8	Hodonín	12	5	2	5	17:13	+4	17
9	Vítkovice	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
10	Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28:27	+1	15
11	Uherský Brod	12	4	3	5	18:22	-4	15
12	Zlín II	12	4	3	5	13:17	-4	15
13	Karviná II	12	4	2	6	19:21	-2	14
14	Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13:24	-11	14
15	Blansko	12	2	5	5	18:28	-10	11
16	Vsetín	12	3	1	8	11:26	-15	10
17	Polanka nad Odrou	12	2	3	7	11:17	-6	9
18	Havířov	12	1	5	6	9:20	-11	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.17X25%3.65234%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.30 → 2.20 -4.3%X3.80 → 3.67 -3.4%22.49 → 2.62 +5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.59	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.48	2.62	5.7%
Average	1.44	2.59	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.37	2.78	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.71	9.9%
Best of all books	1.37	2.78	9.0%
Average	1.37	2.75	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Karviná II 35%Draw 35%Zlín II 30%

The statistical model rated Karviná II at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Zlín II at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.65 | 2.66, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Karviná II win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 3. liga - MSFL table: Karviná II are 13th (14 pts, 19-21 goals), Zlín II 12th (15 pts, 13-17).

Over their last five matches, Karviná II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Zlín II averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Karviná II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.30	3.80	2.49

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.51	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.43	2.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	19.5	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	5.49
2.5	1.44	2.59
3.5	2.08	1.65
4.5	3.45	1.25
5.5	6.47	1.06

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.10	5.05
2	1.14	4.43
2.25	1.29	3.28
2.75	1.50	2.28
3	1.64	2.02
3.25	1.88	1.80
3.75	2.35	1.47
4	2.85	1.33
4.25	3.21	1.29
4.75	4.30	1.15
5	5.55	1.08
5.25	6.28	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.70	1.36
-0.25	2.03	1.65
0	1.79	1.91
+0.25	1.57	2.14
+0.75	1.32	2.88

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.75	5.60	1.08
-1.5	4.35	1.14
-1.25	3.95	1.17
+1	1.18	3.90
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.75
+1.75	1.06	6.15
+2.5	1.01	8.70