ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I• 3. Division, Denmark

#101.0:2.414:00Tomorrow1.4:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.20BFRX4.00B36521.72DAFMargin at best6.9%Books9Markets47Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.20	3.85	1.72	7.9%
BetVictor	4.20	3.90	1.67	9.3%
Betfair	4.20	4.00	1.65	9.4%
Pinnacle	4.14	3.81	1.68	9.9%
1xBet	4.20	3.80	1.65	10.7%
Betano	3.85	3.80	1.70	11.1%
Bet365	3.75	4.00	1.67	11.5%
Marathonbet	4.10	3.80	1.63	12.1%
William Hill	4.00	3.40	1.70	13.2%
Best of all books	4.20	4.00	1.72	6.9%
Average	4.07	3.82	1.67	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ASA AarhusHolbæk B&I

Last 10#10Table position#21.13Points per game1.931Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5825Defence rating7513Form rating880H2H rating10054Goals model4633Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 06:01 UTC

ASA Aarhus

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

7 Nov	A	Næsby	1-5	L
31 Oct	H	Frem	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Vanløse	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Sundby	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	FC Helsingor	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Holbæk B&I	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Hørsholm-Usserød	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Brønshøj	1-5	L
13 Sep	H	Næsby	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Sundby	0-1	L

Holbæk B&I

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

6 Nov	H	Brønshøj	1-2	L
31 Oct	H	Vanløse	0-1	L
24 Oct	A	Næsby	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Holstebro	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Vanløse	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	ASA Aarhus	2-1	W
25 Sep	A	FC Helsingor	1-5	L
18 Sep	H	Ringsted	5-2	W
13 Sep	A	Hørsholm-Usserød	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Ishøj	4-0	W

Head to head

0ASA Aarhus wins

0draws

1Holbæk B&I wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for ASA Aarhus

3 Oct 20263. Division

3. Division

Holbæk B&I2-1ASA Aarhus

3. Division table3rd Divisionupdated 13 Nov 22:10 UTC

In the 3. Division table, ASA Aarhus sit 10th with 17 points from 15 games, while Holbæk B&I are 2nd with 29 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brønshøj	15	9	4	2	31:18	+13	31
2	Holbæk B&I	15	9	2	4	33:22	+11	29
3	Vanløse	15	7	6	2	21:13	+8	27
4	FC Helsingor	16	7	5	4	26:21	+5	26
5	Hørsholm-Usserød	15	7	4	4	34:25	+9	25
6	Næsby	15	6	3	6	29:23	+6	21
7	Frem	15	4	6	5	26:24	+2	18
8	Ishøj	15	5	3	7	18:25	-7	18
9	Sundby	15	5	2	8	24:25	-1	17
10	ASA Aarhus	15	5	2	8	19:26	-7	17
11	Holstebro	16	5	2	9	23:41	-18	17
12	Ringsted	15	1	3	11	18:39	-21	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.06X24%3.80254%1.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.67 → 4.06 +10.6%X3.87 → 3.80 -1.8%21.72 → 1.68 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.38	8.2%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Betano	1.55	2.22	9.6%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.55	2.38	6.5%
Average	1.51	2.34	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Average	1.51	2.34	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ASA Aarhus 10%Draw 45%Holbæk B&I 45%

The statistical model rates ASA Aarhus at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Holbæk B&I at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.06 | 3.80 | 1.68, which imply roughly 26.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division table: ASA Aarhus are 10th (17 pts, 19-26 goals), Holbæk B&I 2nd (29 pts, 33-22).

Over their last five matches, ASA Aarhus averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Holbæk B&I averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Holbæk B&I.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.07	3.82	1.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.98	1.19	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.04	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
4.25	2.38	2.17

2nd half

1	X	2
3.98	2.72	1.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.13	15.5	18.0
HT X	9.12	6.77	5.10
HT 2	31.0	15.0	2.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.40	17.0	1.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.13	5.13
2.5	1.51	2.34
3.5	2.21	1.56
4.5	3.75	1.21
5.5	7.50	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
2	1.18	3.88
2.25	1.34	2.85
2.75	1.61	2.14
3	1.77	1.89
3.25	1.99	1.69
3.75	2.52	1.43
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.34	1.24
5	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.42	1.47
+0.5	2.06	1.65
+0.75	1.86	1.83
+1	1.63	2.12
+1.25	1.48	2.38
+1.5	1.39	2.63

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	7.40	1.03
-0.25	3.50	1.22
0	3.12	1.29
+1.75	1.27	3.14
+2	1.16	4.10
+2.5	1.12	4.80
+3	1.05	7.20
+3.5	1.01	10.0

Next 3. Division matches

14 Nov	Ishøj – Sundby
14 Nov	Ringsted – Frem
14 Nov	Brønshøj – Vanløse
14 Nov	Hørsholm-Usserød – Næsby

All 3. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division results

13 Nov	FC Helsingor 3-3 Holstebro
7 Nov	Holstebro 2-1 Ringsted
7 Nov	Næsby 5-1 ASA Aarhus
7 Nov	Frem 3-1 Ishøj
7 Nov	Vanløse 1-2 Hørsholm-Usserød
6 Nov	Holbæk B&I 1-2 Brønshøj