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Næsby vs ASA Aarhus• 3. Division, Denmark

#61.6:1.613:00Tomorrow · ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense1.0:1.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.781XBX4.00B36523.95DAFMargin at best6.5%Books6Markets42Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 09:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.783.704.008.2%
Betfair1.733.803.8010.4%
1xBet1.783.743.5611.0%
Betano1.783.853.4511.1%
Bet3651.754.003.4011.6%
Marathonbet1.763.743.4812.3%
Best of all books1.784.004.006.2%
Average1.763.803.6110.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NæsbyASA Aarhus
Last 10#6Table position#81.29Points per game1.214Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.862Attack rating3853Defence rating4780Form rating200H2H rating10077Goals model2368Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

Næsby

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

31 OctABrønshøj1-2L
24 OctHHolbæk B&I1-2L
17 OctHVanløse2-2D
10 OctAFrem0-2L
3 OctHHolstebro4-0W
26 SepARingsted2-1W
19 SepHFC Helsingor1-1D
16 SepHAC Horsens2-3L
13 SepAASA Aarhus0-1L
5 SepHHørsholm-Usserød4-3W

ASA Aarhus

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

31 OctHFrem2-2D
24 OctAVanløse0-1L
17 OctHSundby1-2L
10 OctAFC Helsingor1-2L
3 OctAHolbæk B&I1-2L
26 SepHHørsholm-Usserød2-1W
19 SepABrønshøj1-5L
13 SepHNæsby1-0W
5 SepASundby0-1L
28 AugHHolstebro4-0W

Head to head

0Næsby wins
0draws
1ASA Aarhus wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Næsby

13 Sep 20263. Division3. DivisionASA Aarhus1-0Næsby

3. Division table3rd Divisionupdated 5 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the 3. Division table, Næsby sit 6th with 18 points from 14 games, while ASA Aarhus are 8th with 17 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Holbæk B&I1492332:20+1229
2Brønshøj1484229:17+1228
3Vanløse1476120:11+927
4FC Helsingor1473422:17+524
5Hørsholm-Usserød1464432:24+822
6Næsby1453624:22+218
7Ishøj1453617:22-518
8ASA Aarhus1452718:21-317
9Sundby1451823:24-116
10Frem1436523:23015
11Holstebro1441918:37-1913
12Ringsted14131017:37-206

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.76X24%3.79225%3.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.532.289.2%
Marathonbet1.532.289.2%
Betano1.552.229.6%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.542.288.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.512.349.0%
Marathonbet1.512.299.9%
Best of all books1.512.349.0%
Average1.512.319.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Næsby 45%Draw 45%ASA Aarhus 10%

The statistical model rates Næsby at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and ASA Aarhus at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.79 | 3.61, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Næsby win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division table: Næsby are 6th (18 pts, 24-22 goals), ASA Aarhus 8th (17 pts, 18-21).

Over their last five matches, Næsby averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; ASA Aarhus averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Næsby or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.813.62

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.871.19

Draw no bet

12
1.402.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.32

1st half

1X2
2.302.373.86

2nd half

1X2
2.102.723.61

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7615.030.0
HT X5.006.438.58
HT 219.315.75.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6016.32.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0111.5
1.51.144.45
2.51.552.28
3.52.331.48
4.53.981.17
5.58.501.07
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.00
1.751.164.05
21.213.58
2.251.362.71
2.751.652.01
31.841.78
3.252.091.61
3.752.701.36
43.341.24

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.691.36
-12.391.48
-0.751.981.67
-0.51.761.94
-0.251.572.14
01.382.62
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.751.07
-25.051.10
-1.753.681.20
-1.52.971.30
+0.251.302.97
+11.066.15
+1.51.047.00

Next 3. Division matches

6 NovHolbæk B&I – Brønshøj
6 NovSundby – FC Helsingor
7 NovFrem – Ishøj
7 NovVanløse – Hørsholm-Usserød
7 NovHolstebro – Ringsted

All 3. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division results

31 OctASA Aarhus 2-2 Frem
31 OctBrønshøj 2-1 Næsby
31 OctHørsholm-Usserød 3-2 Sundby
31 OctIshøj 3-0 Holstebro
31 OctHolbæk B&I 0-1 Vanløse
30 OctFC Helsingor 1-0 Ringsted