SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin• Bundesliga, Germany

#41.6:1.816:30Today · Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg0.6:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.491XBX4.90DAF27.51PINMargin at best0.8%Books10Markets94Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 13:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.49	4.88	7.19	1.5%
Betano	1.47	4.80	7.50	2.2%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.84	7.51	2.9%
Dafabet	1.44	4.90	7.00	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.45	4.75	7.00	4.3%
Betfair	1.44	4.60	7.00	5.5%
Bet365	1.44	4.50	7.00	6.0%
BetVictor	1.40	4.60	7.50	6.5%
William Hill	1.44	4.40	6.50	7.6%
SBO	1.42	4.08	5.51	13.1%
Best of all books	1.49	4.90	7.51	0.8%
Average	1.44	4.63	6.97	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC FreiburgUnion Berlin

Last 10#4Table position#162.00Points per game0.889Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 50.61.8Goals against · last 51.873Attack rating2750Defence rating5054Form rating4615H2H rating8595Goals model553Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 20:50 UTC

SC Freiburg

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

5 Nov	A	Trabzonspor	1-0	W
31 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	2-1	W
28 Oct	H	VfL Wolfsburg	3-2	W
25 Oct	H	Bayern München	1-3	L
22 Oct	A	Monaco	0-3	L
18 Oct	A	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	FK Jablonec	3-2	W
11 Oct	H	FC Schalke 04	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	FC Luzern	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Eintracht Frankfurt	2-2	D

Union Berlin

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:24 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

1 Nov	H	1. FC Köln	1-1	D
27 Oct	A	1. FC Köln	0-5	L
24 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Borussia Dortmund	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	SV Elversberg	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	HNK Rijeka	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Bayern München	0-7	L
11 Sep	H	FC Schalke 04	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
29 Aug	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-3	D

Head to head

3SC Freiburg wins

5draws

9Union Berlin wins

17 meetings · goals 18:24 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for SC Freiburg

15 Mar 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg0-1Union Berlin
1 Nov 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-0SC Freiburg
30 Mar 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-2Union Berlin
8 Nov 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-0SC Freiburg
18 May 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin2-1SC Freiburg
13 Jan 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg0-0Union Berlin
13 May 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin4-2SC Freiburg
13 Nov 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg4-1Union Berlin
7 May 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-4Union Berlin
15 Dec 2021Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-0SC Freiburg

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 7 Nov 20:50 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, SC Freiburg sit 4th with 16 points from 8 games, while Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	9	6	3	0	29:9	+20	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	16:7	+9	21
3	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	27:13	+14	18
4	SC Freiburg	8	5	1	2	18:10	+8	16
5	Werder Bremen	8	4	3	1	17:14	+3	15
6	Bayer Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	18:16	+2	13
7	SV Elversberg	9	4	1	4	17:18	-1	13
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	15:20	-5	12
9	Hamburger SV	9	4	0	5	10:20	-10	12
10	FSV Mainz 05	9	3	1	5	18:19	-1	10
11	SC Paderborn 07	9	2	4	3	8:11	-3	10
12	FC Augsburg	9	2	3	4	20:20	0	9
13	VfB Stuttgart	8	3	0	5	14:15	-1	9
14	1899 Hoffenheim	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9
15	1. FC Köln	8	2	3	3	9:12	-3	9
16	Union Berlin	8	1	4	3	7:19	-12	7
17	FC Schalke 04	8	1	3	4	4:9	-5	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	1	1	7	12:25	-13	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.44X20%4.64214%6.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.51 → 1.44 -4.6%X4.46 → 4.64 +4.0%25.86 → 6.97 +18.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.72	2.32	1.2%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.25	3.3%
Betano	1.70	2.22	3.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
BetVictor	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.72	2.32	1.2%
Average	1.66	2.21	5.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.85	1.88	7.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.92	7.6%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.81	1.92	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Freiburg 35%Draw 35%Union Berlin 30%

The statistical model rates SC Freiburg at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Union Berlin at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.64 | 6.97, which imply roughly 69.4% for a SC Freiburg win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: SC Freiburg are 4th (16 pts, 18-10 goals), Union Berlin 16th (7 pts, 7-19).

Over their last five matches, SC Freiburg averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Union Berlin averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.64	6.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.72	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	5.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.47	6.17

2nd half

1	X	2
1.77	2.83	5.58

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.06	16.4	50.2
HT X	4.30	6.99	14.1
HT 2	21.0	18.3	11.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	15.5	3.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.6
1.5	1.20	4.36
2.5	1.66	2.21
3.5	2.65	1.48
4.5	4.84	1.17
5.5	9.17	1.05
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	23.2	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.09	5.70
1.75	1.24	3.77
2	1.30	3.38
2.25	1.47	2.57
2.75	1.81	1.98
3	2.08	1.75
3.25	2.34	1.60
3.75	3.08	1.36
4	3.80	1.25
4.25	4.18	1.19
4.75	5.47	1.11
5	7.48	1.05
5.25	7.02	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.53	1.50
-1.5	2.21	1.66
-1.25	1.98	1.86
-1	1.70	2.17
-0.75	1.53	2.49
-0.5	1.42	2.84

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.78	1.06
-3	6.62	1.08
-2.75	4.69	1.15
-2.5	3.82	1.23
-2.25	3.55	1.27
-2	3.21	1.34
-0.25	1.28	3.55
0	1.15	5.25
+0.25	1.12	5.58
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.04	7.82
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.09	6.50
2.5	1.31	3.32
3.5	1.74	2.05
4.5	2.52	1.51
5.5	3.20	1.32
6.5	4.75	1.16
7.5	7.00	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.51	2.55
4	2.12	1.74
5	3.62	1.27

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	12.0
4.5	1.04	9.00
5.5	1.06	6.87
6.5	1.16	4.38
7.5	1.34	2.93
8.5	1.63	2.17
9.5	2.04	1.75
10.5	2.63	1.44
11.5	3.62	1.24
12.5	5.10	1.12
13.5	7.03	1.05
14.5	10.0	1.03
15.5	11.8	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.31	2.92
8	1.42	2.77
8.25	1.44	2.46
8.75	1.61	2.12
9	1.92	1.89
9.25	1.83	1.85
9.75	2.11	1.68
10	2.23	1.64
10.25	2.40	1.49
10.75	2.75	1.36
11.25	3.28	1.25

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