Basconia vs Portugalete• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#111.4:1.62-2FT25/101.2:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.60B36522.95DAFMargin at best7.3%Books9Markets42Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.19	3.45	3.00	8.0%
Betano	2.18	3.60	2.85	8.7%
Pinnacle	2.19	3.47	2.89	9.1%
1xBet	2.16	3.38	2.89	10.5%
Betfair	2.15	3.40	2.88	10.6%
William Hill	2.20	3.20	2.90	11.2%
Bet365	2.10	3.60	2.75	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.38	2.82	11.8%
BetVictor	2.05	3.00	2.63	20.1%
Best of all books	2.20	3.60	3.00	6.6%
Average	2.15	3.39	2.85	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BasconiaPortugalete

Last 10#11Table position#81.25Points per game1.506Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.454Attack rating4647Defence rating5346Form rating5415H2H rating8549Goals model5141Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Basconia

2W 5D 3L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Portugalete	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Racing Santander II	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Eibar II	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Llanera	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Marino de Luanco	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Arosa	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Atlético Astorga	3-2	W
6 Sep	A	Ourense CF	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Racing Santander II	3-3	D
8 Aug	A	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1-2	L

Portugalete

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	A	Basconia	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Eibar II	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Amorebieta	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Deportivo Alavés II	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Bergantiños	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Coruxo	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Compostela	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Barakaldo	2-0	W
9 May	A	Deportivo Alavés III	2-1	W

Head to head

3Basconia wins

5draws

4Portugalete wins

12 meetings · goals 16:18 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Basconia

25 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Portugalete3-3Basconia
15 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Basconia1-1Portugalete
26 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Basconia0-3Portugalete
18 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Portugalete2-1Basconia
4 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Basconia2-4Portugalete
16 Sep 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Portugalete0-0Basconia
25 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Basconia3-1Portugalete
27 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Portugalete2-3Basconia
23 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Portugalete0-0Basconia
12 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Basconia0-1Portugalete

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 31 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Basconia sit 11th with 10 points from 8 games, while Portugalete are 8th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	8	6	1	1	9:3	+6	19
2	Deportivo Alavés II	8	5	2	1	21:11	+10	17
3	Bergantiños	8	5	2	1	19:10	+9	17
4	Eibar II	8	5	2	1	14:6	+8	17
5	Compostela	8	4	1	3	11:8	+3	13
6	Amorebieta	8	4	1	3	10:8	+2	13
7	Ourense CF	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
8	Portugalete	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
9	Real Oviedo II	8	3	2	3	10:14	-4	11
10	Gernika	8	2	4	2	15:9	+6	10
11	Basconia	8	2	4	2	13:14	-1	10
12	Coruxo	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
13	Atlético Astorga	8	2	1	5	11:12	-1	7
14	Arosa	8	1	4	3	12:17	-5	7
15	Marino de Luanco	8	2	1	5	8:13	-5	7
16	Llanera	8	2	1	5	11:19	-8	7
17	Racing Santander II	8	1	2	5	10:17	-7	5
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	8	1	2	5	7:18	-11	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X27%3.39232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.07 → 2.15 +3.9%X3.55 → 3.42 -3.7%22.87 → 2.88 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.77	2.00	6.5%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
BetVictor	1.60	1.75	19.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.73	1.93	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
BetVictor	1.47	1.93	19.8%
Best of all books	1.65	2.16	6.9%
Average	1.60	2.08	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Basconia 10%Draw 45%Portugalete 45%

The statistical model rated Basconia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portugalete at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.39 | 2.85, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Basconia are 11th (10 pts, 13-14 goals), Portugalete 8th (12 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Basconia averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Portugalete averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portugalete.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.39	2.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.58	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.72	2.18	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.52	2.49	3.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.40	14.3	28.0
HT X	5.67	5.77	6.87
HT 2	22.7	14.7	4.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	12.3	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.9
1.5	1.21	3.66
2.5	1.73	1.93
3.5	2.85	1.35
4.5	5.20	1.10
5.5	9.15	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.80
1.75	1.27	3.28
2	1.33	2.92
2.25	1.54	2.28
2.75	1.89	1.72
3	2.28	1.53
3.25	2.57	1.42
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.45
-0.5	2.13	1.67
-0.25	1.86	1.78
0	1.63	2.15
+0.25	1.47	2.47
+0.5	1.40	2.84

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.04
-2	7.93	1.04
-1.75	4.65	1.18
-1.5	4.10	1.18
-1.25	3.70	1.23
-1	3.25	1.29
+0.75	1.25	3.48
+1	1.13	4.98
+1.25	1.16	5.25
+1.5	1.09	6.02

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches

1 Nov	Racing Santander II – Atlético Astorga
1 Nov	Portugalete – Arosa
1 Nov	Deportivo Alavés II – Eibar II
1 Nov	Bergantiños – Ourense CF
1 Nov	Compostela – Basconia
1 Nov	Coruxo – Sestao River

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

25 Oct	Ourense CF 3-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega
25 Oct	Marino de Luanco 0-0 Real Oviedo II
24 Oct	Sestao River 1-0 Arosa
24 Oct	Amorebieta 2-1 Coruxo
24 Oct	Llanera 1-3 Compostela
24 Oct	Atlético Astorga 1-1 Gernika