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Ludogorets II vs Nesebar• Second League, Bulgaria

#122.0:1.22-0FT08/11 · PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre, Razgrad1.2:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.60BFR24.361XBMargin at best7.9%Books9Markets57Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.703.604.339.7%
Dafabet1.723.604.209.7%
1xBet1.683.544.3610.7%
Betano1.753.454.0510.8%
Betfair1.703.604.1011.0%
Bet3651.703.504.1011.8%
Marathonbet1.663.544.2512.0%
Pinnacle1.693.504.1112.1%
William Hill1.733.254.0013.6%
Best of all books1.753.604.367.9%
Average1.703.514.1711.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ludogorets IINesebar
Last 10#12Table position#141.46Points per game1.298Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.863Attack rating3860Defence rating4067Form rating3362H2H rating3871Goals model2964Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Ludogorets II

3W 5D 2L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

2 NovASportist Svoge1-1D
27 OctHDobrudzha5-1W
13 OctAMontana3-2W
3 OctHDunav Ruse1-1D
21 SepASpartak Pleven0-1L
15 SepHFratria1-1D
7 SepAPirin Blagoevgrad3-0W
2 SepAChernomorets 1919 Burgas0-1L
29 AugHHebar 19181-1D
25 AugACSKA Sofia II1-1D

Nesebar

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

31 OctHChernomorets 1919 Burgas1-2L
23 OctAHebar 19181-2L
18 OctHCSKA Sofia0-2L
10 OctHCSKA Sofia II0-0D
4 OctARodopa Smolyan3-1W
27 SepAVihren0-2L
20 SepHBeroe4-3W
15 SepALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-1D
6 SepHRilski Sportist2-1W
2 SepAMarek0-1L

Head to head

4Ludogorets II wins
2draws
3Nesebar wins

9 meetings · goals 19:14 · last 9: 4W 2D 3L for Ludogorets II

1 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLudogorets II1-1Nesebar
2 Apr 2025Second LeagueSecond LeagueLudogorets II2-0Nesebar
21 Sep 2024Second LeagueSecond LeagueNesebar2-2Ludogorets II
3 Dec 2018Second LeagueSecond LeagueLudogorets II4-1Nesebar
29 Jul 2018Second LeagueSecond LeagueNesebar4-2Ludogorets II
4 Mar 2018Second LeagueSecond LeagueLudogorets II0-2Nesebar
13 Aug 2017Second LeagueSecond LeagueNesebar3-1Ludogorets II
3 Apr 2017Second LeagueSecond LeagueLudogorets II3-0Nesebar
25 Sep 2016Second LeagueSecond LeagueNesebar1-4Ludogorets II

Second League tableB PFGupdated 8 Nov 18:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Ludogorets II sit 12th with 19 points from 13 games, while Nesebar are 14th with 18 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vihren1585229:14+1529
2CSKA Sofia II1484229:13+1628
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1484224:10+1428
4Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1565414:13+123
5Yantra 20191472519:14+523
6Fratria1364318:12+622
7Beroe1463521:18+321
8Spartak Pleven1563617:26-921
9Hebar 19181462629:24+520
10Rilski Sportist1455415:13+220
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo1362522:21+120
12Ludogorets II1354418:14+419
13Marek1453616:18-218
14Nesebar1453622:21+118
15Montana1442818:29-1114
16Sportist Svoge1426610:15-512
17Dobrudzha1424814:27-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad1401135:38-331

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X26%3.51222%4.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Nov 00:018 Nov 06:101 1.70X 3.512 4.18
11.64 → 1.70 +3.7%X3.68 → 3.51 -4.6%24.42 → 4.18 -5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Pinnacle1.791.937.7%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
Betano1.751.8810.3%
Best of all books1.792.083.9%
Average1.751.958.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.701.999.1%
Marathonbet1.701.969.8%
Best of all books1.702.008.8%
Average1.701.999.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ludogorets II 45%Draw 45%Nesebar 10%

The statistical model rated Ludogorets II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nesebar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.51 | 4.18, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Ludogorets II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Ludogorets II are 12th (19 pts, 18-14 goals), Nesebar 14th (18 pts, 22-21).

Over their last five matches, Ludogorets II averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Nesebar averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ludogorets II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.703.514.17

Double chance

1XX212
1.171.941.23

Draw no bet

12
1.333.09

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.701.99

1st half

1X2
2.242.214.62

2nd half

1X2
2.052.524.19

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6014.837.5
HT X4.505.559.29
HT 222.815.17.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5512.52.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.019.70
1.51.213.58
2.51.751.95
3.52.781.34
4.55.051.10
5.59.20–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.78
11.018.30
1.251.114.86
1.751.273.19
21.342.82
2.251.552.22
2.751.921.75
32.261.52
3.252.531.42
3.753.351.25
44.401.14
4.254.751.12
4.755.801.07
58.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.821.34
-1.252.491.43
-12.211.57
-0.751.891.80
-0.51.691.98
-0.251.472.36
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.756.901.04
-2.55.401.09
-2.255.051.10
-24.701.12
-1.753.421.23
01.273.14
+0.251.213.58
+0.751.095.30
+11.028.10
+1.251.037.40
+1.51.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.372.77
81.482.40
8.51.711.97
91.971.71
9.52.271.53
102.851.35

Next Second League matches

9 NovEtar Veliko Tarnovo – Montana
9 NovFratria – Sportist Svoge

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

8 NovBeroe 3-3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
8 NovHebar 1918 3-1 Marek
8 NovVihren 3-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
8 NovSpartak Pleven 1-1 Dobrudzha
2 NovMontana 1-2 Spartak Pleven
2 NovSportist Svoge 1-1 Ludogorets II