Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana• Second League, Bulgaria

#32.6:0.82-0FT27/09 · efbet Arena, Burgas0.8:2.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX3.90BFR25.451XBMargin at best5.7%Books6Markets47Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	3.70	4.20	9.7%
Betfair	1.67	3.75	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.68	3.64	4.20	10.8%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	4.10	10.9%
Betano	1.72	3.55	4.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.64	4.10	12.1%
Best of all books	1.72	3.75	4.20	8.6%
Average	1.68	3.67	4.13	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasMontana

Last 10#3Table position#152.00Points per game1.0013Form pts · last 532.6Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 52.676Attack rating2476Defence rating2476Form rating2420H2H rating8089Goals model1163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

4 Oct	A	Volov Shumen	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Montana	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	4-2	W
13 Sep	H	Spartak Pleven	3-0	W
7 Sep	A	Fratria	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Ludogorets II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Hebar 1918	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	CSKA Sofia II	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	Vihren	1-1	D

Montana

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

4 Oct	A	Bdin	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0-2	L
21 Sep	H	Hebar 1918	0-5	L
13 Sep	A	CSKA Sofia II	0-4	L
8 Sep	H	Vihren	1-4	L
3 Sep	A	Beroe	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Rilski Sportist	1-2	L
16 Aug	H	Marek	1-0	W
11 Aug	A	Yantra 2019	2-3	L

Head to head

0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins

1draws

1Montana wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

6 Apr 2024Second League	Second League	Montana2-2Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
23 Sep 2023Second League	Second League	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-1Montana

Second League tableB PFGupdated 12 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd with 24 points from 12 games, while Montana are 15th with 11 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23:9	+14	24
2	Vihren	12	7	3	2	25:12	+13	24
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	7	3	2	21:8	+13	24
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14:10	+4	19
6	Yantra 2019	12	6	1	5	13:11	+2	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18:15	+3	18
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9:10	-1	17
10	Hebar 1918	12	5	2	5	27:20	+7	17
11	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19:19	0	17
12	Marek	12	5	2	5	14:14	0	17
13	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12:23	-11	14
14	Ludogorets II	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
15	Montana	11	3	2	6	13:23	-10	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8:13	-5	10
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X25%3.60218%4.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.54 -8.3%X3.67 → 3.75 +2.2%24.13 → 4.87 +17.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.67	1.95	11.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.01	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.01	9.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.04	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 45%Draw 45%Montana 10%

The statistical model rated Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Montana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.89, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (24 pts, 21-8 goals), Montana 15th (11 pts, 13-23).

Over their last five matches, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Montana averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.67	4.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.97	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.25	4.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	13.1	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.9
1.5	1.20	3.70
2.5	1.70	2.01
3.5	2.70	1.36
4.5	4.90	1.11
5.5	9.00	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.87	1.77
3	2.15	1.56
3.25	2.43	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.33
-1.25	2.54	1.42
-1	2.23	1.55
-0.75	1.88	1.79
-0.25	1.47	2.35
0	1.28	3.08

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	6.95	1.04
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	5.10	1.10
-2	4.75	1.12
-1.75	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.10	5.10
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.60