Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Montana• Second League, Bulgaria

#32.6:0.82-0FT27/09 · efbet Arena, Burgas0.8:2.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX3.90BFR25.451XBMargin at best5.7%Books6Markets47Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	3.70	4.20	9.7%
Betfair	1.67	3.75	4.20	10.4%
1xBet	1.68	3.64	4.20	10.8%
Bet365	1.67	3.75	4.10	10.9%
Betano	1.72	3.55	4.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.64	4.10	12.1%
Best of all books	1.72	3.75	4.20	8.6%
Average	1.68	3.67	4.13	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasMontana

Last 10#3Table position#161.92Points per game0.9212Form pts · last 532.6Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 52.676Attack rating2476Defence rating2476Form rating2420H2H rating8089Goals model1163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

18 Oct	H	Botev Plovdiv	0-4	L
10 Oct	A	Dobrudzha	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Volov Shumen	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Montana	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	4-2	W
13 Sep	H	Spartak Pleven	3-0	W
7 Sep	A	Fratria	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Ludogorets II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Hebar 1918	0-1	L

Montana

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

13 Oct	H	Ludogorets II	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	Bdin	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0-2	L
21 Sep	H	Hebar 1918	0-5	L
13 Sep	A	CSKA Sofia II	0-4	L
8 Sep	H	Vihren	1-4	L
3 Sep	A	Beroe	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Rilski Sportist	1-2	L
16 Aug	H	Marek	1-0	W

Head to head

0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins

1draws

1Montana wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

6 Apr 2024Second League	Second League	Montana2-2Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
23 Sep 2023Second League	Second League	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-1Montana

Second League tableB PFGupdated 24 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd with 25 points from 13 games, while Montana are 16th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26:12	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	7	4	2	26:13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	7	4	2	22:9	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21:16	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	6	2	5	29:21	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	6	2	5	16:14	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11:10	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15:13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	5	3	5	15:15	0	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21:19	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14:24	-10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20:21	-1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12:12	0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9:14	-5	11
16	Montana	12	3	2	7	15:26	-11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5:36	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X25%3.60218%4.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.54 -8.3%X3.61 → 3.75 +3.9%24.23 → 4.87 +15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Betano	1.67	1.95	11.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.01	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.01	9.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.04	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 45%Draw 45%Montana 10%

The statistical model rated Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Montana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.60 | 4.89, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (25 pts, 22-9 goals), Montana 16th (11 pts, 15-26).

Over their last five matches, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Montana averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.67	4.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.97	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.25	4.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	13.1	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.9
1.5	1.20	3.70
2.5	1.70	2.01
3.5	2.70	1.36
4.5	4.90	1.11
5.5	9.00	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.87	1.77
3	2.15	1.56
3.25	2.43	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.25	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.33
-1.25	2.54	1.42
-1	2.23	1.55
-0.75	1.88	1.79
-0.25	1.47	2.35
0	1.28	3.08

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	6.95	1.04
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	5.10	1.10
-2	4.75	1.12
-1.75	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.10	5.10
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.5	1.01	8.60

Next Second League matches

27 Oct

Ludogorets II – Dobrudzha

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

23 Oct	Spartak Pleven 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
23 Oct	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 Oct	Hebar 1918 2-1 Nesebar
23 Oct	Beroe 3-1 Rilski Sportist
23 Oct	Vihren 1-1 Marek
23 Oct	CSKA Sofia II 3-3 Yantra 2019