Pontevedra vs Ponferradina• Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#141.8:1.31-1FT27/09 · Pontevedra0.8:0.5#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.12PINX3.10B36523.70BFRMargin at best6.5%Books5Markets41Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.40	3.00	3.00	8.3%
Betano	2.40	3.05	2.90	8.9%
1xBet	2.38	3.08	2.83	9.8%
Marathonbet	2.36	3.08	2.77	10.9%
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.90	11.3%
Best of all books	2.40	3.08	3.00	7.5%
Average	2.37	3.04	2.88	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PontevedraPonferradina

Last 10#14Table position#121.38Points per game1.505Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 50.81.3Goals against · last 50.570Attack rating3029Defence rating7150Form rating5067H2H rating3349Goals model5154Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Pontevedra

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Cacereño	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Mérida AD	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Racing Ferrol	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Ponferradina	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	UD Logroñés	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Athletic Club II	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arenas Getxo	4-1	W
28 Aug	A	Real Avilés	1-0	W
19 Aug	A	Coruxo	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Ourense CF	2-1	W

Ponferradina

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	A	Zamora	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Real Avilés	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Mirandes	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Pontevedra	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Mérida AD	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Lugo	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	UD Ourense	1-0	W
19 Aug	H	Real Madrid II	2-2	D
8 Aug	A	Marino de Luanco	3-0	W

Head to head

2Pontevedra wins

0draws

1Ponferradina wins

3 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Pontevedra

12 Apr 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Pontevedra3-1Ponferradina
6 Sep 2025Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Ponferradina0-1Pontevedra
18 Sep 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Ponferradina4-3Pontevedra

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda B: Group 1updated 24 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Pontevedra sit 14th with 11 points from 8 games, while Ponferradina are 12th with 12 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lugo	9	7	1	1	16:8	+8	22
2	UD Logroñés	8	5	2	1	17:11	+6	17
3	Racing Ferrol	9	5	1	3	9:7	+2	16
4	Mirandes	9	4	2	3	12:10	+2	14
5	Extremadura 1924	9	4	1	4	16:10	+6	13
6	Real Unión	9	3	4	2	19:14	+5	13
7	Mérida AD	8	4	0	4	15:12	+3	12
8	Athletic Club II	8	3	3	2	13:10	+3	12
9	Zamora	8	3	3	2	10:8	+2	12
10	Cultural Leonesa	8	3	3	2	9:7	+2	12
11	Cacereño	8	3	3	2	7:5	+2	12
12	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6:6	0	12
13	Real Avilés	8	3	2	3	14:10	+4	11
14	Pontevedra	8	3	2	3	10:10	0	11
15	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
16	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8
17	Deportivo La Coruña II	9	2	2	5	8:16	-8	8
18	Unionistas de Salamanca	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	3:15	-12	5
20	Arenas Getxo	9	1	2	6	7:22	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.04X30%2.98225%3.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.99 → 2.04 +2.5%X3.10 → 2.98 -3.9%23.60 → 3.58 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Betano	2.20	1.53	10.8%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.28	1.54	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.94	1.75	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.73	9.3%
Betano	1.90	1.72	10.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Average	1.94	1.73	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pontevedra 45%Draw 45%Ponferradina 10%

The statistical model rated Pontevedra at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ponferradina at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 2.98 | 3.58, which imply roughly 49% for a Pontevedra win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table: Pontevedra are 14th (11 pts, 10-10 goals), Ponferradina 12th (12 pts, 6-6).

Over their last five matches, Pontevedra averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Ponferradina averaged 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pontevedra or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.37	3.04	2.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.49	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	1.93	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.95	7.10	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.13
1.5	1.41	2.57
2.5	2.28	1.54
3.5	4.16	1.17
4.5	8.47	1.03
5.5	12.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.55
1	1.07	5.80
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.51	2.30
2	1.70	1.97
2.25	1.98	1.69
2.75	2.66	1.37
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.88	1.18
3.75	5.45	1.08
4	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.89	1.35
-0.5	2.38	1.55
-0.25	2.01	1.68
0	1.71	2.01
+0.25	1.49	2.36
+0.5	1.40	2.85

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.80	1.01
-1.75	6.80	1.06
-1.5	5.15	1.12
-1.25	4.57	1.15
-1	4.10	1.18
+0.75	1.24	3.46
+1	1.11	5.33
+1.25	1.09	5.83
+1.5	1.08	6.33
+1.75	1.01	8.50

Next Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches

25 Oct

Mérida AD – CD Coria

All Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results

24 Oct	Real Avilés 1-3 UD Logroñés
24 Oct	Ponferradina 0-0 Barakaldo
24 Oct	Cacereño 1-0 Zamora
24 Oct	Unionistas de Salamanca 2-1 Athletic Club II
24 Oct	Mirandes 2-0 Racing Ferrol
24 Oct	Arenas Getxo 2-0 UD Ourense