Zagłębie Lubin II vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec• III Liga - Group 3, Poland

#32.0:1.40-1FT17/10 · KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin1.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BVCX3.60B36522.70BVCMargin at best8.3%Books5Markets40Rating36 · 65Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.30	3.50	2.70	9.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	2.55	11.4%
1xBet	2.25	3.46	2.57	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.25	3.46	2.57	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.23	3.26	2.70	12.6%
Best of all books	2.30	3.60	2.70	8.3%
Average	2.26	3.46	2.62	11.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Zagłębie Lubin IIZaglebie Sosnowiec

Last 10#3Table position#11.85Points per game2.157Form pts · last 5122.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.459Attack rating4122Defence rating7832Form rating6820H2H rating8055Goals model4536Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:20 UTC

Zagłębie Lubin II

5W 5D 0L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Górnik Polkowice	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	3-3	D
18 Sep	H	Carina Gubin	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	ROW Rybnik	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Warta Gorzów	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Miedź Legnica II	3-2	W
19 Aug	A	Kluczbork	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Rakow II	2-2	D

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

7W 0D 3L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

14 Oct	H	Rakow II	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Kluczbork	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Legia Warszawa	2-4	L
18 Sep	A	Górnik Polkowice	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Polonia Nysa	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Barycz Sułów	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Sparta Katowice	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Carina Gubin	4-0	W
19 Aug	H	Ślęza Wrocław	3-1	W

Head to head

0Zagłębie Lubin II wins

1draws

1Zaglebie Sosnowiec wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Zagłębie Lubin II

8 Mar 2025II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Zaglebie Sosnowiec3-1Zagłębie Lubin II
11 Aug 2024II Liga - East	II Liga - East	Zagłębie Lubin II0-0Zaglebie Sosnowiec

III Liga - Group 3 tableGroup IIIupdated 17 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 3 table, Zagłębie Lubin II sit 3rd with 24 points from 13 games, while Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st with 28 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	13	9	1	3	18:9	+9	28
2	Sparta Katowice	13	8	3	2	21:8	+13	27
3	Zagłębie Lubin II	13	6	6	1	24:15	+9	24
4	Odra Bytom Odrzański	12	7	3	2	13:6	+7	24
5	Barycz Sułów	13	6	3	4	20:17	+3	21
6	ROW Rybnik	13	6	2	5	25:21	+4	20
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	13	5	4	4	15:11	+4	19
8	Górnik Polkowice	12	5	3	4	23:19	+4	18
9	Miedź Legnica II	12	5	2	5	27:22	+5	17
10	Stilon Gorzów	12	4	4	4	20:19	+1	16
11	Goczałkowice Zdrój	13	4	3	6	14:17	-3	15
12	Warta Gorzów	13	3	5	5	13:21	-8	14
13	Stal Brzeg	12	3	3	6	19:18	+1	12
14	Rakow II	12	3	3	6	16:22	-6	12
15	Kluczbork	11	4	0	7	10:18	-8	12
16	Polonia Nysa	13	3	3	7	15:26	-11	12
17	Carina Gubin	13	3	3	7	11:23	-12	12
18	Ślęza Wrocław	13	3	1	9	19:31	-12	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.26X26%3.46234%2.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.25 → 2.26 +0.4%X3.51 → 3.46 -1.4%22.56 → 2.62 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.58	2.16	9.6%
Best of all books	1.59	2.35	5.4%
Average	1.58	2.22	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.48	2.45	8.4%
Average	1.48	2.41	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zagłębie Lubin II 10%Draw 45%Zaglebie Sosnowiec 45%

The statistical model rated Zagłębie Lubin II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.26 | 3.46 | 2.62, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 3 table: Zagłębie Lubin II are 3rd (24 pts, 24-15 goals), Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1st (28 pts, 18-9).

Over their last five matches, Zagłębie Lubin II averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.26	3.46	2.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.50	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.72	2.03

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	2.31	3.14

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.62	2.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	13.0	25.0
HT X	6.00	6.40	6.80
HT 2	23.5	14.0	4.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	15.5	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.16	4.37
2.5	1.58	2.22
3.5	2.39	1.47
4.5	4.30	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.18	3.88
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.40	2.59
2.75	1.70	1.96
3	1.92	1.75
3.25	2.17	1.58
3.75	2.79	1.34
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.39
-0.5	2.23	1.57
-0.25	1.97	1.71
0	1.72	1.99
+0.25	1.52	2.28
+0.5	1.40	2.62

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.85	1.04
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.80	1.19
-1	3.36	1.24
+0.75	1.29	3.04
+1	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.11	4.90

Latest III Liga - Group 3 results

17 Oct	Kluczbork 2-0 Miedź Legnica II
17 Oct	Ślęza Wrocław 1-3 Carina Gubin
17 Oct	Stilon Gorzów 0-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański
17 Oct	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Barycz Sułów
17 Oct	Rakow II 3-2 Warta Gorzów
17 Oct	Sparta Katowice 2-0 ROW Rybnik