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Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons• League One, England

#121.2:0.80-1FT24/10 · Broadhall Way, Stevenage0.8:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07DAFX3.45DAF24.03PINMargin at best2.1%Books9Markets69Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.003.384.094.0%
Dafabet2.063.403.655.4%
Betfair2.003.254.005.8%
BetVictor1.953.403.807.0%
1xBet1.973.343.807.0%
Betano1.983.353.757.0%
Marathonbet1.953.343.807.5%
Bet3651.953.403.707.7%
William Hill2.003.203.609.0%
Best of all books2.063.404.092.4%
Average1.983.343.806.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StevenageMilton Keynes Dons
Last 10#12Table position#181.36Points per game1.0912Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4069Defence rating3164Form rating3662H2H rating3872Goals model2863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Stevenage

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

20 OctHPlymouth3-0W
17 OctABradford0-2L
10 OctHWigan1-0W
6 OctHLeicester2-1W
22 SepAWalsall6-1W
19 SepALeyton Orient0-1L
10 SepHLuton2-1W
5 SepABarnsley5-1W
1 SepAPeterborough0-0D
29 AugHDoncaster2-2D

Milton Keynes Dons

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

24 OctAStevenage1-0W
20 OctABlackpool0-2L
17 OctHLuton2-1W
10 OctHReading1-5L
6 OctHBrentford U217-1W
22 SepHCrawley Town4-1W
17 SepAAFC Wimbledon0-0D
12 SepHPeterborough1-1D
5 SepAWycombe3-3D
2 SepAWigan1-3L

Head to head

6Stevenage wins
4draws
6Milton Keynes Dons wins

16 meetings · goals 23:27 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Stevenage

26 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsStevenage2-1Milton Keynes Dons
16 Nov 2021FA CupFA CupStevenage2-1Milton Keynes Dons
6 Nov 2021FA CupFA CupMilton Keynes Dons2-2Stevenage
6 Oct 2020EFL TrophyEFL TrophyStevenage2-3Milton Keynes Dons
18 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMilton Keynes Dons1-1Stevenage
3 Sep 2019EFL TrophyEFL TrophyStevenage0-3Milton Keynes Dons
16 Mar 2019League TwoLeague TwoMilton Keynes Dons1-1Stevenage
24 Nov 2018League TwoLeague TwoStevenage3-2Milton Keynes Dons
3 Oct 2017EFL TrophyEFL TrophyMilton Keynes Dons0-0Stevenage
22 Mar 2014League OneLeague OneStevenage2-3Milton Keynes Dons

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 26 Oct 18:01 UTC

In the League One table, Stevenage sit 12th with 15 points from 11 games, while Milton Keynes Dons are 18th with 12 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Huddersfield1274124:11+1325
2Stockport County1272324:12+1223
3Bradford1264210:5+522
4Plymouth1371521:19+222
5Reading1263325:13+1221
6Cambridge United1255220:17+320
7Oxford United1054118:10+819
8Sheffield Wednesday1153320:12+818
9Mansfield Town1153320:16+418
10Luton1152421:19+217
11Burton Albion1345418:19-117
12Stevenage1143415:11+415
13Leicester1143417:17015
14Wycombe1236319:23-415
15Leyton Orient1242616:14+214
16AFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113
17Doncaster1133512:13-112
18Milton Keynes Dons1126312:18-612
19Notts County1125411:14-311
20Blackpool1132616:20-411
21Peterborough1224611:21-1010
22Bromley1123610:26-169
23Barnsley1122711:21-108
24Wigan112188:17-97

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.98X28%3.34225%3.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 06:0024 Oct 00:301 1.99X 3.342 3.76
11.91 → 1.99 +4.2%X3.40 → 3.34 -1.8%23.60 → 3.76 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.131.763.8%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Betano2.051.755.9%
1xBet2.041.736.8%
Marathonbet2.041.736.8%
BetVictor1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.131.802.5%
Average2.051.746.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.841.868.1%
Betano1.831.878.1%
Marathonbet1.841.848.7%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Best of all books1.952.10-1.1%
Average1.841.887.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stevenage 45%Draw 45%Milton Keynes Dons 10%

The statistical model rated Stevenage at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Milton Keynes Dons at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.80, which imply roughly 50.5% for a Stevenage win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Stevenage are 12th (15 pts, 15-11 goals), Milton Keynes Dons 18th (12 pts, 12-18).

Over their last five matches, Stevenage averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Milton Keynes Dons averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Stevenage or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Stevenage

4-4-1-1

Coach: A. Revell

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Setford

Defence

  • 2L. James-Wildin
  • 15T. Vancooten
  • 5C. Piergianni
  • 14S. Earley

Midfield

  • 28M. Mellon
  • 23L. Thompson
  • 8D. Phillips
  • 27B. Broggio
  • 10D. Kemp

Attack

  • 9J. Magennis
Substitutes (7)
  • 19T. Turhan
  • 7T. Taylor
  • 18O. Sanderson
  • 44P. Patterson
  • 16K. Casey
  • 20C. Campbell
  • 12D. Barden

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Coach: P. Warne

Goalkeeper

  • 23W. Dennis

Defence

  • 21M. Ekpiteta
  • 5C. Goode
  • 32J. Sanders

Midfield

  • 24R. Wintle
  • 17S. Silvera
  • 7D. Crowley
  • 8A. Gilbey
  • 20Elijah Xavier Campbell

Attack

  • 9S. Nombe
  • 10A. Collins
Substitutes (7)
  • 26B. Wiles
  • 13C. Paterson
  • 2G. Jones
  • 22I. Fullah
  • 15C. Bramall
  • 4D. Barlaser
  • 51S. Stacey

Match Statistics

StevenageMilton Keynes Dons
0.53Expected Goals1.96
224Passes accurate117
7Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox3
4Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks9
2Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
4Shots off Goal5
3Offsides1
323Total passes221
10Total Shots11
2Yellow Cards3
7Corner Kicks9
9Fouls13
0Red Cards0
60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.983.343.80

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.781.30

Draw no bet

12
1.412.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.88

1st half

1X2
2.572.094.39

2nd half

1X2
2.332.393.87

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1414.339.0
HT X4.874.898.26
HT 225.815.06.52

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.698.352.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.43
1.51.333.10
2.52.051.74
3.53.531.26
4.57.301.07
5.513.91.02
6.534.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.076.20
1.251.203.84
1.751.412.69
21.542.34
2.251.801.94
2.752.341.54
32.781.36
3.253.081.29
3.754.311.15
45.901.07
4.256.201.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.831.38
-0.752.231.60
-0.51.971.83
-0.251.672.11
01.412.77
+0.251.313.23
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.571.04
-2.256.751.04
-26.351.06
-1.754.591.15
-1.53.671.24
-1.253.251.30
+0.51.253.78
+0.751.144.72
+11.067.07
+1.251.037.50
+1.51.038.43

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0113.0
5.51.067.50
6.51.174.41
7.51.342.95
8.51.642.14
9.52.081.68
10.52.741.40
11.53.981.21
12.56.501.08
13.58.501.04
14.513.01.01
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.352.84
81.412.82
8.251.502.37
8.751.682.06
91.812.00
9.251.861.78
9.752.131.57
102.241.62

Next League One matches

27 OctOxford United – Stockport County
27 OctMilton Keynes Dons – Bromley
27 OctLuton – Doncaster
27 OctSheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United
27 OctLeicester – Wigan

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

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24 OctReading 2-1 Barnsley