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Luton vs Doncaster• League One, England

#101.8:1.219:45Today · Kenilworth Road, Luton1.2:0.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55PINX4.61PIN25.50B365Margin at best4.4%Books10Markets82Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:32 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.554.615.374.8%
Dafabet1.544.605.405.2%
Betfair1.534.505.505.8%
BetVictor1.534.335.506.6%
1xBet1.544.405.167.0%
Betano1.534.355.307.2%
Marathonbet1.524.405.257.6%
Bet3651.504.335.507.9%
William Hill1.534.205.009.2%
SBO1.473.774.5616.5%
Best of all books1.554.615.504.4%
Average1.524.355.257.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LutonDoncaster
Last 10#10Table position#171.55Points per game1.0910Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.860Attack rating4040Defence rating6050Form rating5062H2H rating3861Goals model3957Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:40 UTC

Luton

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

24 OctHLeicester2-1W
20 OctHBarnsley2-1W
17 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1-2L
10 OctAWycombe4-1W
3 OctAColchester1-1D
22 SepHIpswich Town U216-0W
19 SepHBradford0-1L
10 SepAStevenage1-2L
5 SepHLeyton Orient1-1D
2 SepHStockport County2-0W

Doncaster

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

24 OctHSheffield Wednesday2-0W
20 OctHStockport County0-2L
17 OctALeicester1-2L
10 OctHBurton Albion1-0W
6 OctHLiverpool U211-0W
19 SepAPeterborough2-0W
12 SepAAFC Wimbledon0-1L
8 SepHHuddersfield1-3L
5 SepHPlymouth2-3L
1 SepHNotts County1-1D

Head to head

3Luton wins
2draws
1Doncaster wins

6 meetings · goals 11:5 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for Luton

10 Mar 2026League OneLeague OneDoncaster1-1Luton
27 Sep 2025League OneLeague OneLuton1-0Doncaster
23 Mar 2019League OneLeague OneLuton4-0Doncaster
8 Sep 2018League OneLeague OneDoncaster2-1Luton
18 Feb 2017League TwoLeague TwoDoncaster1-1Luton
24 Sep 2016League TwoLeague TwoLuton3-1Doncaster

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 26 Oct 18:01 UTC

In the League One table, Luton sit 10th with 17 points from 11 games, while Doncaster are 17th with 12 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Huddersfield1274124:11+1325
2Stockport County1272324:12+1223
3Bradford1264210:5+522
4Plymouth1371521:19+222
5Reading1263325:13+1221
6Cambridge United1255220:17+320
7Oxford United1054118:10+819
8Sheffield Wednesday1153320:12+818
9Mansfield Town1153320:16+418
10Luton1152421:19+217
11Burton Albion1345418:19-117
12Stevenage1143415:11+415
13Leicester1143417:17015
14Wycombe1236319:23-415
15Leyton Orient1242616:14+214
16AFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113
17Doncaster1133512:13-112
18Milton Keynes Dons1126312:18-612
19Notts County1125411:14-311
20Blackpool1132616:20-411
21Peterborough1224611:21-1010
22Bromley1123610:26-169
23Barnsley1122711:21-108
24Wigan112188:17-97

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.52X21%4.36218%5.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 00:0127 Oct 07:401 1.52X 4.362 5.27
11.73 → 1.52 -12.1%X3.85 → 4.36 +13.2%24.14 → 5.27 +27.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.532.564.4%
Betano1.552.425.8%
Bet3651.532.407.0%
Betfair1.502.457.5%
BetVictor1.522.319.1%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.552.563.6%
Average1.512.407.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.592.218.1%
Betano1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.592.188.8%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.602.217.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Luton 45%Draw 45%Doncaster 10%

The statistical model rates Luton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Doncaster at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.36 | 5.27, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Luton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Luton are 10th (17 pts, 21-19 goals), Doncaster 17th (12 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Luton averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Doncaster averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Luton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.524.355.25

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.411.18

Draw no bet

12
1.204.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.21

1st half

1X2
1.962.505.20

2nd half

1X2
1.832.854.78

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2115.540.9
HT X4.517.0611.7
HT 219.516.38.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4418.02.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.4
1.51.145.10
2.51.512.40
3.52.301.58
4.53.981.21
5.57.501.06
6.514.71.02
7.529.01.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.5
1.251.066.05
1.751.164.19
21.203.78
2.251.382.78
2.751.622.16
31.821.90
3.252.051.71
3.752.591.42
43.171.28
4.253.461.24
4.754.761.12
56.401.05
5.256.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.771.39
-1.52.361.53
-1.252.101.66
-11.861.92
-0.751.632.16
-0.51.522.46
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.301.03
-37.401.03
-2.755.331.11
-2.54.261.18
-2.253.911.19
-23.561.25
-0.251.352.95
01.194.11
+0.251.154.53
+0.51.155.50
+0.751.076.60
+11.028.70
+1.51.029.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0113.0
6.51.056.70
7.51.124.76
8.51.253.28
9.51.472.49
10.51.801.94
11.52.221.59
12.52.951.33
13.53.921.20
14.55.491.09
15.58.001.05
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.22
81.153.79
91.302.72
9.751.532.28
101.632.17
10.251.722.00
10.751.951.80
112.011.76
11.252.151.59
11.752.461.43
122.581.38
133.291.20
144.291.11
155.371.05

Next League One matches

27 OctOxford United – Stockport County
27 OctMilton Keynes Dons – Bromley
27 OctSheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United
27 OctLeicester – Wigan

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

24 OctBlackpool 1-4 Mansfield Town
24 OctBurton Albion 2-1 Leyton Orient
24 OctBromley 1-1 Peterborough
24 OctDoncaster 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
24 OctCambridge United 2-3 Plymouth
24 OctReading 2-1 Barnsley