Port Vale vs Rochdale• League Two, England

#230.6:1.012:30Today · Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent1.2:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67BTNX3.95DAF25.64PINMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets83Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.62	3.92	5.64	5.0%
Dafabet	1.65	3.95	5.20	5.2%
BetVictor	1.62	3.80	5.50	6.2%
Betfair	1.65	3.90	5.00	6.2%
Betano	1.67	3.75	4.90	7.0%
Bet365	1.62	3.80	5.25	7.1%
1xBet	1.63	3.75	5.02	7.9%
William Hill	1.65	3.60	5.00	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.75	5.05	8.6%
SBO	1.60	3.26	4.18	17.1%
Best of all books	1.67	3.95	5.64	2.9%
Average	1.63	3.75	5.07	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Port ValeRochdale

Last 10#23Table position#171.09Points per game1.1510Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.233Attack rating6769Defence rating3158Form rating4271H2H rating2983Goals model1762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:11 UTC

Port Vale

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

27 Oct	H	Manchester City U21	5-0	W
24 Oct	A	York	0-2	L
20 Oct	A	Gillingham	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Chesterfield	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Grimsby	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Mansfield Town	2-0	W
22 Sep	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Walsall	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Exeter City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Salford City	0-1	L

Rochdale

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	H	Accrington ST	0-5	L
20 Oct	H	Grimsby	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Crewe	2-3	L
10 Oct	A	Tranmere	1-1	D
6 Oct	A	Huddersfield	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	Swindon Town	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Liverpool U21	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Oldham	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Walsall	0-0	D

Head to head

6Port Vale wins

3draws

5Rochdale wins

14 meetings · goals 20:19 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Port Vale

23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Rochdale2-3Port Vale
22 Feb 2022League Two	League Two	Rochdale1-1Port Vale
5 Oct 2021EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Port Vale1-0Rochdale
4 Sep 2021League Two	League Two	Port Vale2-3Rochdale
29 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Port Vale2-1Rochdale
4 Apr 2017League One	League One	Rochdale3-0Port Vale
16 Aug 2016League One	League One	Port Vale1-0Rochdale
23 Apr 2016League One	League One	Port Vale4-1Rochdale
28 Nov 2015League One	League One	Rochdale2-1Port Vale
6 Apr 2015League One	League One	Rochdale1-0Port Vale

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 30 Oct 23:50 UTC

In the League Two table, Port Vale sit 23rd with 12 points from 11 games, while Rochdale are 17th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	13	9	1	3	23:14	+9	28
2	Barnet	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	22:22	0	21
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	16:16	0	21
5	York	13	5	5	3	22:16	+6	20
6	Walsall	12	4	7	1	18:11	+7	19
7	Chesterfield	14	5	4	5	24:21	+3	19
8	Exeter City	13	5	4	4	10:7	+3	19
9	Accrington ST	13	4	6	3	22:16	+6	18
10	Newport County	14	4	6	4	20:17	+3	18
11	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	16:20	-4	18
12	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19:16	+3	17
13	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18:18	0	17
14	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16:16	0	16
15	Swindon Town	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
16	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16:20	-4	16
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15:22	-7	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	5	5	15:17	-2	14
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	8:8	0	13
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	11:16	-5	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	17:23	-6	12
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6:12	-6	12
24	Crawley Town	11	1	3	7	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.63X25%3.75218%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.63 -4.7%X3.59 → 3.75 +4.5%24.52 → 5.07 +12.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.89	4.5%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
SBO	1.97	1.79	6.6%
1xBet	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.83	7.3%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.97	1.89	3.7%
Average	1.92	1.83	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.88	1.83	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Port Vale 45%Draw 45%Rochdale 10%

The statistical model rates Port Vale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rochdale at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.07, which imply roughly 61.3% for a Port Vale win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Port Vale are 23rd (12 pts, 6-12 goals), Rochdale 17th (15 pts, 15-22).

Over their last five matches, Port Vale averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Rochdale averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.63	3.75	5.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.14	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.20	5.23

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.51	4.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.47	15.5	46.9
HT X	4.38	5.47	10.5
HT 2	23.9	16.3	8.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	10.8	2.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.74
1.5	1.28	3.37
2.5	1.92	1.83
3.5	3.28	1.30
4.5	6.37	1.09
5.5	13.1	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.70
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.51
1.75	1.34	2.86
2	1.46	2.55
2.25	1.68	2.08
2.75	2.14	1.63
3	2.59	1.44
3.25	2.87	1.34
3.75	3.93	1.18
4	5.40	1.09
4.25	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.77	1.39
-1.25	2.41	1.50
-1	2.11	1.68
-0.75	1.80	1.94
-0.5	1.62	2.25
-0.25	1.40	2.71

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.03
-3	10.5	1.01
-2.75	7.10	1.04
-2.5	5.64	1.11
-2.25	5.08	1.12
-2	4.58	1.16
-1.75	3.38	1.28
0	1.22	3.85
+0.25	1.17	4.43
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.50
+1	1.02	9.00
+1.5	1.02	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	5.00
7.5	1.24	3.53
8.5	1.45	2.54
9.5	1.81	1.94
10.5	2.24	1.57
11.5	2.92	1.33
12.5	3.70	1.21
13.5	5.00	1.11

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.13
7	1.10	4.88
7.25	1.16	3.95
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.30	3.02
8.25	1.39	2.66
8.75	1.48	2.40
9	1.60	2.22
9.25	1.66	2.09
9.75	1.84	1.82
10	2.04	1.71
10.25	2.10	1.60
10.75	2.38	1.46
11	2.71	1.40
11.25	2.95	1.31
11.75	3.48	1.22
12	4.07	1.15
12.25	4.24	1.14
12.75	5.17	1.08
13	6.34	1.03
13.25	6.56	1.03

Next League Two matches

31 Oct	Grimsby – York
31 Oct	Crewe – Barnet
31 Oct	Shrewsbury – Gillingham
31 Oct	Swindon Town – Rotherham
31 Oct	Accrington ST – Northampton
31 Oct	Oldham – Crawley Town

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

30 Oct	Newport County 4-1 Chesterfield
27 Oct	Barnet 3-1 York
26 Oct	Walsall 2-4 Salford City
24 Oct	Crawley Town 1-1 Tranmere
24 Oct	Chesterfield 5-1 Crewe
24 Oct	Barnet 1-1 Oldham