Newport County vs Chesterfield• League Two, England

#160.8:0.819:4530/10 · Rodney Parade, Newport2.4:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.61PINX3.75BFR22.07DAFMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets81Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 20:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.55	2.07	5.0%
Betfair	3.50	3.75	1.95	6.5%
Pinnacle	3.61	3.53	1.98	6.5%
Betano	3.45	3.45	2.05	6.8%
Bet365	3.30	3.50	2.05	7.7%
1xBet	3.46	3.48	1.99	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.44	3.48	1.97	8.6%
William Hill	3.50	3.30	2.00	8.9%
BetVictor	3.40	3.50	1.95	9.3%
SBO	3.02	3.01	1.98	16.8%
Best of all books	3.61	3.75	2.07	2.7%
Average	3.42	3.46	2.00	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Newport CountyChesterfield

Last 10#16Table position#71.15Points per game1.466Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 51.425Attack rating7564Defence rating3643Form rating5720H2H rating8061Goals model3940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:01 UTC

Newport County

3W 6D 1L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against

24 Oct	A	Cheltenham	0-1	L
20 Oct	A	Rotherham	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	York	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Colchester	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Plymouth	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Gillingham	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-1	W
22 Sep	A	Swindon Town	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Accrington ST	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Fleetwood Town	1-1	D

Chesterfield

5W 3D 2L · goals 23:14 · per match 2.3 for, 1.4 against

24 Oct	H	Crewe	5-1	W
20 Oct	H	Colchester	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Port Vale	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Crawley Town	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Tranmere	4-2	W
26 Sep	A	Cheltenham	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	Port Vale	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	York	2-0	W
15 Sep	H	Manchester City U21	5-3	W
12 Sep	A	Oldham	2-1	W

Head to head

3Newport County wins

1draws

4Chesterfield wins

8 meetings · goals 12:15 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Newport County

24 Jan 2026League Two	League Two	Newport County2-1Chesterfield
27 Sep 2025League Two	League Two	Chesterfield4-1Newport County
8 Mar 2025League Two	League Two	Chesterfield2-1Newport County
18 Oct 2024League Two	League Two	Newport County0-3Chesterfield
1 May 2018League Two	League Two	Chesterfield1-0Newport County
26 Aug 2017League Two	League Two	Newport County4-1Chesterfield
5 Apr 2014League Two	League Two	Chesterfield1-1Newport County
1 Dec 2013League Two	League Two	Newport County3-2Chesterfield

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 27 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the League Two table, Newport County sit 16th with 15 points from 13 games, while Chesterfield are 7th with 19 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	13	9	1	3	23:14	+9	28
2	Barnet	11	6	4	1	24:16	+8	22
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	22:22	0	21
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	16:16	0	21
5	York	12	5	5	2	21:13	+8	20
6	Walsall	12	4	7	1	18:11	+7	19
7	Chesterfield	13	5	4	4	23:17	+6	19
8	Exeter City	13	5	4	4	10:7	+3	19
9	Accrington ST	13	4	6	3	22:16	+6	18
10	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	16:20	-4	18
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19:16	+3	17
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18:18	0	17
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16:16	0	16
14	Swindon Town	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16:20	-4	16
16	Newport County	13	3	6	4	16:16	0	15
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15:22	-7	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	5	5	15:17	-2	14
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	8:8	0	13
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	11:16	-5	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	17:23	-6	12
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6:12	-6	12
24	Crawley Town	11	1	3	7	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.42X27%3.45246%2.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.82	1.97	5.7%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betano	1.80	1.98	6.1%
SBO	1.83	1.93	6.5%
1xBet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.83	2.08	2.7%
Average	1.79	1.96	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
Betano	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.65	2.11	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newport County 10%Draw 45%Chesterfield 45%

The statistical model rates Newport County at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chesterfield at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.42 | 3.45 | 2.00, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: Newport County are 16th (15 pts, 16-16 goals), Chesterfield 7th (19 pts, 23-17).

Over their last five matches, Newport County averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Chesterfield averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chesterfield.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.42	3.45	2.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.76	1.27	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
3.88	2.21	2.53

2nd half

1	X	2
3.55	2.52	2.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.62	14.3	23.4
HT X	7.73	5.52	5.14
HT 2	33.3	13.9	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.26	12.8	1.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.1
1.5	1.23	3.72
2.5	1.79	1.96
3.5	2.89	1.36
4.5	5.44	1.12
5.5	10.4	1.05
6.5	19.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.70
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.11	4.90
1.75	1.29	3.12
2	1.37	2.82
2.25	1.58	2.22
2.75	1.99	1.73
3	2.32	1.53
3.25	2.59	1.41
3.75	3.51	1.23
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.11	1.10
4.75	6.85	1.04
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.93	1.35
0	2.54	1.47
+0.25	2.03	1.71
+0.5	1.78	2.00
+0.75	1.57	2.26
+1	1.38	2.83

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.82	1.01
-1.5	7.37	1.04
-1.25	6.80	1.06
-1	6.32	1.08
-0.75	4.19	1.18
-0.5	3.44	1.30
+1.25	1.29	3.23
+1.5	1.25	3.49
+1.75	1.15	4.50
+2	1.07	6.63
+2.25	1.07	6.72
+2.5	1.06	7.05
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.96
6.5	1.21	3.76
7.5	1.44	2.59
8.5	1.77	1.97
9.5	2.30	1.56
10.5	3.13	1.31
11.5	4.70	1.11
12.5	6.47	1.03

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.06	5.68
6	1.07	5.40
6.25	1.14	4.24
6.75	1.24	3.36
7	1.27	3.16
7.25	1.37	2.74
7.75	1.52	2.31
8	1.60	2.17
8.25	1.72	2.00
8.75	1.94	1.77
9	2.04	1.73
9.25	2.21	1.58
9.75	2.56	1.42
10	2.87	1.33
10.25	3.03	1.30
10.75	3.63	1.20
11	4.30	1.13
11.25	4.50	1.12
11.75	5.55	1.06
12	6.95	1.02

Next League Two matches

27 Oct

Barnet – York

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

26 Oct	Walsall 2-4 Salford City
24 Oct	Rotherham 3-3 Shrewsbury
24 Oct	Barnet 1-1 Oldham
24 Oct	Gillingham 1-4 Grimsby
24 Oct	Chesterfield 5-1 Crewe
24 Oct	Crawley Town 1-1 Tranmere