York vs Port Vale• League Two, England

#51.2:1.02-0FT24/10 · York`s LNER Community Stadium, York0.8:0.6#23

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02BTNX3.60BFR23.75B365Margin at best3.9%Books9Markets81Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.02	3.60	3.65	4.7%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.70	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.00	3.59	3.67	5.1%
BetVictor	2.00	3.50	3.60	6.3%
Bet365	2.00	3.40	3.70	6.4%
Betano	2.05	3.45	3.45	6.8%
1xBet	1.96	3.48	3.54	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	3.48	3.52	8.7%
William Hill	2.00	3.30	3.50	8.9%
Best of all books	2.05	3.60	3.70	3.6%
Average	2.00	3.49	3.59	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

YorkPort Vale

Last 10#5Table position#231.67Points per game1.097Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 50.660Attack rating4038Defence rating6338Form rating6320H2H rating8090Goals model1047Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

York

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

20 Oct	H	Accrington ST	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Newport County	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Northampton	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Gillingham	3-0	W
22 Sep	H	Rotherham	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Chesterfield	0-2	L
15 Sep	H	Newcastle United U21	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Swindon Town	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Crewe	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Cheltenham	2-3	L

Port Vale

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	A	York	0-2	L
20 Oct	A	Gillingham	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Chesterfield	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Grimsby	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Mansfield Town	2-0	W
22 Sep	A	Chesterfield	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Walsall	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Exeter City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Salford City	0-1	L
1 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-3	L

Head to head

0York wins

1draws

1Port Vale wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for York

16 Mar 2013League Two	League Two	York0-2Port Vale
17 Nov 2012League Two	League Two	Port Vale2-2York

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 25 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the League Two table, York sit 5th with 20 points from 12 games, while Port Vale are 23rd with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	12	8	1	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Barnet	11	6	4	1	24:16	+8	22
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	22:22	0	21
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	16:16	0	21
5	York	12	5	5	2	21:13	+8	20
6	Walsall	11	4	7	0	16:7	+9	19
7	Chesterfield	13	5	4	4	23:17	+6	19
8	Exeter City	13	5	4	4	10:7	+3	19
9	Accrington ST	13	4	6	3	22:16	+6	18
10	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	16:20	-4	18
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19:16	+3	17
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18:18	0	17
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	16:16	0	16
14	Swindon Town	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16:20	-4	16
16	Newport County	13	3	6	4	16:16	0	15
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15:22	-7	15
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	5	5	15:17	-2	14
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	8:8	0	13
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	14:18	-4	12
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	11:16	-5	12
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	17:23	-6	12
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	6:12	-6	12
24	Crawley Town	11	1	3	7	12:21	-9	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.99X27%3.48226%3.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.95 → 1.98 +1.5%X3.43 → 3.48 +1.5%23.55 → 3.60 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	1.94	4.5%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.85	1.93	5.9%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.92	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.92	7.3%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.89	1.95	4.2%
Average	1.84	1.92	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.06	8.1%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.69	2.06	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

York 10%Draw 45%Port Vale 45%

The statistical model rated York at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Port Vale at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.48 | 3.62, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: York are 5th (20 pts, 21-13 goals), Port Vale 23rd (12 pts, 6-12).

Over their last five matches, York averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Port Vale averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Port Vale.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

York

3-4-2-1

Coach: S. Lindsey

Goalkeeper

1Alfie Shane McNally

Defence

2R. Fallowfield
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching

Midfield

32J. Hunt
8A. Hunt
16A. Read
12H. Boyes
28O. Banks
11F. Maguire

Attack

10O. Pearce

Substitutes (7)

21H. Boateng
23J. Felix
15J. King
30A. Newby
9J. Stones
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
24M. Williams

Port Vale

3-5-2

Coach: J. Brady

Goalkeeper

20M. Maroši

Defence

25C. Humphreys
4J. Moon
2K. John

Midfield

6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
38R. Walters
7G. Byers
10K. Dempsey
3J. Headley

Attack

14O. Lynch
24K. Figueroa

Substitutes (7)

27M. Asamoah
33G. Hall
11O. Hernández
36M. Watters
1J. Smith
22L. Montsma
12A. McGowan

Match Statistics

YorkPort Vale

1.21Expected Goals0.81

324Passes accurate355

8Shots insidebox9

5Shots outsidebox6

5Blocked Shots6

7Free Kicks12

4Shots on Goal5

5Goalkeeper Saves2

4Shots off Goal4

1Offsides4

404Total passes438

13Total Shots15

2Corner Kicks8

0Yellow Cards1

13Fouls7

0Red Cards0

48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.00	3.49	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.76	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.20	4.02

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.49	3.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.09	13.8	32.8
HT X	5.00	5.38	8.02
HT 2	24.4	14.4	5.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	10.1	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.65
1.5	1.25	3.59
2.5	1.84	1.92
3.5	3.06	1.33
4.5	5.88	1.11
5.5	11.6	1.04
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.12	4.71
1.75	1.30	3.04
2	1.39	2.73
2.25	1.61	2.19
2.75	2.04	1.71
3	2.40	1.51
3.25	2.62	1.40
3.75	3.51	1.23
4	4.65	1.12
4.25	5.00	1.10
5	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.85	1.39
-0.75	2.24	1.58
-0.5	1.99	1.80
-0.25	1.69	2.04
0	1.44	2.59
+0.25	1.34	3.00

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.20	1.05
-2.25	6.45	1.05
-2	6.37	1.07
-1.75	4.37	1.16
-1.5	3.55	1.25
-1.25	3.21	1.30
+0.5	1.28	3.60
+0.75	1.16	4.30
+1	1.07	6.53
+1.25	1.04	6.75
+1.5	1.05	7.23
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.77
7.5	1.22	3.69
8.5	1.43	2.59
9.5	1.74	2.00
10.5	2.20	1.60
11.5	2.92	1.34
12.5	4.13	1.15
13.5	6.22	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.52
7	1.08	5.26
7.25	1.14	4.21
7.75	1.23	3.40
8	1.26	3.21
8.25	1.35	2.79
8.75	1.49	2.38
9	1.55	2.29
9.25	1.67	2.07
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	1.98	1.77
10.25	2.10	1.65
10.75	2.40	1.49
11	2.62	1.42
11.25	2.79	1.35
11.75	3.28	1.25
12	3.78	1.18
12.25	3.96	1.16
12.75	4.79	1.10
13	5.81	1.05
13.25	6.02	1.04

Next League Two matches

26 Oct

Walsall – Salford City

All League Two fixtures and the table

Latest League Two results

24 Oct	Crawley Town 1-1 Tranmere
24 Oct	Chesterfield 5-1 Crewe
24 Oct	Barnet 1-1 Oldham
24 Oct	Gillingham 1-4 Grimsby
24 Oct	Rochdale 0-5 Accrington ST
24 Oct	Rotherham 3-3 Shrewsbury